Eibar and Valladolid face off in the Spain: Segunda División on August 23. Recent form suggests Eibar is struggling, having lost two straight matches, including a 1-3 defeat to Tenerife. In contrast, Valladolid has been on a four-match losing streak, but their last match ended in a 0-2 defeat to Mallorca.
Eibar is the favourite to win, with a 58% chance of a home victory, followed by a 24% draw probability, and a 18% chance of Valladolid emerging victorious. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 11.4% probability.
Eibar's average goals scored at home is 1.85, while they concede 1 goal on average. Conversely, Valladolid averages 1.23 goals scored away from home and concedes 2.15 goals.
The model's selection is the Home win, and it also suggests Over 21.5 fouls (82.7%), Home or Draw (81.8% with a 9% edge), Over 1.5 goals (79.7% with a 12% edge), Over 3.5 cards (77.6%), and Home or Away (75.9% with an 8% edge). The probabilities for each match result are 58% for Eibar to win, 24% for a draw, and 18% for Valladolid to win.
Results analysis
Eibar’s victory extends their recent win streak, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win, which the model picked with a 58 % probability. The match finished 1-0, a clean result that matched the expected total of 2.9 goals and the most likely score of 1-1. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well: Under 7.5 hit at 99 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1 % with a 2 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 % with a 4 % edge, Under 6.5 at 97.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.8 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.4 % with a 3 % edge, and Home +2 handicap at 93.3 % with a 6 % edge. All selections hit, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Eibar win✓ Hit
57.8%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.21
Edge
+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.27
Dafabet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied 31.1% · @ 2.99
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Dafabet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Valladolid win✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.49
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
1xBet
3.76
Betano
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
Dafabet
3.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Eibar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.87
1.73
1.00
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.30
0.87
1.73
1.00
0.87
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.60
0.86
1.00
1.06
2.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.70
0.85
1.08
1.21
2.29
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.39+12.5%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 2.84-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Under
Betano
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.95
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 2.25+13.7%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 1.62-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
SBO
2.31
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
@ 4.09+10.3%
Under 3.5
66.8%
@ 1.21-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
Pinnacle
4.38
Betfair
4.33
888Sport
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
@ 1.90+6.0%
No
45.3%
@ 1.81-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.95
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Superbet
1.92
No
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 5.43+3.4%
2-0
10.0%@ 9.15+5.2%
2-1
9.9%@ 8.34+4.7%
1-0 ✓
9.4%@ 6.05+2.2%
0-0
6.5%@ 7.11+0.4%
3-0
6.4%@ 18.94+4.1%
3-1
6.3%@ 17.97+3.9%
1-2
5.2%@ 11.08+1.2%
Eibar goals ↓
Valladolid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
4.4%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.4%
11%
5.2%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10.0%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.4%
6.3%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eibar goals (down), columns = Valladolid goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Eibar is 0.50 points better than Valladolid in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Eibar is 0.19 goals better than Valladolid in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Eibar is 0.40 goals better than Valladolid in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Eibar is 1.0 percentage points worse than Valladolid in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eibar
For 3.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
For 4.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.8
9.9
5.0
5.4
4.5
25.8
27.0
24.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.3
8.8
9.9
5.1
5.4
4.7
25.8
27.0
24.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
32%
57%
74%
88%
60%
79%
80%
78%
% under line
56%
68%
43%
26%
12%
40%
21%
20%
22%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.2
8.8
5.3
5.3
5.3
28.4
28.8
28.1
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
12.0
8.0
3.0
5.0
1.0
20.5
27.0
14.0
vs Similar (44)
9.1
9.3
8.9
5.3
5.4
5.3
28.9
28.9
28.9
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
7.0
9.0
6.0
4.5
7.5
27.8
29.5
26.0
% over line
43%
50%
36%
70%
71%
69%
86%
83%
88%
% under line
57%
50%
64%
30%
29%
31%
14%
17%
12%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Leganes
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Eldense
9.4
Oviedo
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Girona
9.3
Tenerife
9.1
FC Andorra
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.3
Celta de Vigo II
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
Leganes
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
35.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.7
Valladolid
28.5
Castellón
28.1
Sabadell
27.8
AD Ceuta FC
27.8
FC Andorra
27.7
Granada CF
27.3
Las Palmas
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Burgos
26.6
Almeria
26.5
Leganes
26.2
Eibar
25.7
Cadiz
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.2
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.7%
@ 2.25-1.5%
Under 9.5
60.3%
@ 1.57+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Unibet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.2%
Under 3.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eibar or Draw✓ Hit
81.8%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
+8.8%
58%
24%
18%
covers Eibar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Eibar or Valladolid✓ Hit
75.9%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.34
Edge
+6.4%
58%
24%
18%
covers Eibar + Valladolid
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
Draw or Valladolid✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied 57.3% · @ 1.63
Edge
-15.1%
58%
24%
18%
covers Draw + Valladolid
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.64
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eibar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.2%
@ 1.28+12.8%
Under
14.8%
@ 3.36-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.62
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Eibar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
57.0%
@ 2.39+17.8%
Under
43.0%
@ 1.54-17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
888Sport
2.50
BetVictor
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Eibar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.0%
@ 5.51+13.1%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.12-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Eibar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 14.50+6.1%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.02-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Valladolid over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.0%
@ 1.47-0.1%
Under
37.0%
@ 2.52+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.61
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Valladolid over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.32-1.8%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.29+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.68
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Valladolid over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 9.14-2.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.50
888Sport
9.50
Superbet
8.50
Under
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Valladolid over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 23.50-2.3%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Eibar, so a minus line means Eibar give that many goals of a start and Valladolid receive them. At -1, Eibar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eibar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eibar)Actual: Valladolid
Eibar -2
16.7%
@ 9.67+7.4%
Draw -2
18.0%
@ 6.17+3.5%
Valladolid +2
65.3%
@ 1.18-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Superbet
9.20
10Bet
9.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.70
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Away
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Eibar)Actual: Draw
Eibar -1
34.7%
@ 4.28+13.8%
Draw -1
23.1%
@ 3.72-1.1%
Valladolid +1
42.2%
@ 1.63-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.15
Draw
Marathonbet
3.96
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Away
Unibet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Handicap +1 (Eibar)Actual: Eibar
Eibar +1
81.8%
@ 1.28+11.8%
Draw +1
11.5%
@ 4.88-6.9%
Valladolid -1
6.7%
@ 7.73-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.40
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.75
Away
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Eibar)Actual: Eibar
Eibar +2
93.3%
@ 1.05+6.2%
Draw +2
4.9%
@ 10.50-3.9%
Valladolid -2
1.8%
@ 22.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.87
0.53
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.43
0.87
0.53
0.47
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.36
0.43
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.74
0.38
0.46
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.49+7.7%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 2.50-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Pinnacle
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 3.23+3.5%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.31-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.30
Pinnacle
3.23
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 8.79+2.7%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.04-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
BetVictor
9.50
William Hil
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.7%
@ 2.07+8.8%
Under
46.3%
@ 1.69-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 6.56+4.5%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.08-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.95
Marathonbet
6.95
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.20
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 19.83+0.4%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.2%
@ 2.57-1.0%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.45+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.74
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.45
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 9.35-3.5%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.05+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Superbet
8.80
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 36.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.87
0.47
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.43
0.87
0.47
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.50
0.57
0.44
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.96
0.46
0.62
0.50
1.29
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.29+8.3%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 3.33-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Betano
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.0%
@ 2.38+8.7%
Under 1.5
52.0%
@ 1.54-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 5.45+3.3%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.13-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Superbet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.0%
@ 1.72+11.1%
Under
35.0%
@ 2.01-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
1.92
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.5%
@ 4.60+9.3%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.16-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 12.50+0.1%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.02-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 2.06-2.6%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.68+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 6.62-3.4%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.08+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 17.00-3.6%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.3%
1.02
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.2%
1.28
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
83.1%
1.05
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-5.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.8%
1.28
Superbet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.8%
1.28
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.29
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
1.39
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
+12.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.9%
1.34
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.8%
1.29
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.0%
1.33
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-9.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.49
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
+7.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
70.0%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-13.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eibar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Valladolid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Eibar's squad is €10m less valuable than Valladolid's (€15m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Eibar's attack is €2m less valuable than Valladolid's (€7m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Eibar's midfield is €3m less valuable than Valladolid's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Eibar's defence is €5m less valuable than Valladolid's (€5m vs €10m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC