This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.90
1.93
1.07
1.88
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.60
1.50
1.00
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (25)
2.00
0.76
2.00
1.08
2.00
0.46
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.2%
No
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.7%
0-3
12.7%
0-1
10.7%
0-4 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
5.0%
Elche goals ↓
Atletico Madrid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
11%
15%
13%
8.2%
1
1.8%
6.7%
7.9%
6.8%
4.4%
2
0.6%
1.7%
2.1%
1.8%
1.2%
3
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elche goals (down), columns = Atletico Madrid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Valencia
2.40
Osasuna
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Almeria
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Pontevedra
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Zaragoza
2.00
Girona
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Zamora
2.00
Marbella
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Villarreal
1.50
Gimnastic
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Villamuriel
1.50
Astur
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Salamanca UDS
1.50
Conquense
1.50
UD San Pedro
1.50
Vic
1.50
Chiclana
1.50
Manises
1.50
Parla Escuela
1.50
Yeclano
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Valladolid
1.33
Tenerife
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Deportiva Minera
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Escobedo
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Ponferradina
0.67
Athletic Club
0.50
Olot
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Gévora
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Cacereño
0.50
Levante
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
L'Hospitalet
0.00
Lanzarote
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Móstoles
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Cortes
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
SS Reyes
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Don Benito
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Cuarte
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Dolorense
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Guijuelo
0.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
0.00
Bergantiños
0.00
Lleida Esportiu
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Elche is 0.04 points worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Barcelona
3.50
Zaragoza
3.50
Las Palmas
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Lanzarote
3.00
Yeclano
3.00
Unionistas de Salamanca
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Real Madrid
2.67
Valladolid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Almeria
2.50
Burgos
2.50
UD San Pedro
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Móstoles
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Vic
2.00
Chiclana
2.00
Pontevedra
2.00
Barakaldo
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Cadiz
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Astur
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Manises
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Levante
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Castellón
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Poblense
1.00
L'Hospitalet
1.00
Olot
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
SS Reyes
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Don Benito
1.00
Cuarte
1.00
Gévora
1.00
Zamora
1.00
Ejea
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
Marbella
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Dolorense
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Guijuelo
1.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.00
Bergantiños
1.00
Lleida Esportiu
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Eldense
0.67
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Villamuriel
0.50
Salamanca UDS
0.50
Conquense
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
Eibar
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Badalona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Cortes
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Elche is 0.71 goals worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Eibar
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Alaves
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Pontevedra
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Yeclano
0.50
Zamora
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Marbella
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Elche
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Compostela
1.00
Beasain
1.00
Águilas
1.00
Atlético Paso
1.00
Vic
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Xerez
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Sonseca
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Hércules
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Celta Vigo
1.25
Ourense CF
1.25
Barbastro
1.33
Osasuna
1.40
Almeria
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Valladolid
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Astur
2.00
Olot
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Badalona
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Cortes
2.00
SS Reyes
2.00
Don Benito
2.00
Llanera
2.00
Alfaro
2.00
Manises
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Promesas EDF
2.00
Guijuelo
2.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2.00
Bergantiños
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Villamuriel
2.50
San Tirso
2.50
Chiclana
2.50
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Las Rozas
3.00
CD Coria
3.00
Cuarte
3.00
Dolorense
3.00
Lleida Esportiu
3.00
Salamanca UDS
3.50
UD San Pedro
3.50
Gévora
3.50
Levante
4.00
Amorebieta
4.00
Lanzarote
4.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Ontiñena
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
4.00
Sporting Mahón
4.00
Melilla CD
4.00
L'Hospitalet
5.00
Móstoles
5.00
Jove Español
5.00
Tudelano
5.00
Poblense
6.00
Laredo
6.00
Elche is 0.14 goals worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Elche
For 5.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 16.6 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atletico Madrid
For 4.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elche
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.7
5.1
5.3
5.0
27.9
28.9
26.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
8.6
8.6
8.6
5.6
5.6
5.6
28.0
29.2
26.4
vs Weaker (20)
8.4
7.9
8.8
4.4
4.4
4.4
27.7
28.1
27.4
% over line
32%
33%
30%
74%
84%
64%
94%
96%
91%
% under line
68%
67%
70%
26%
16%
36%
6%
4%
9%
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.3
7.9
3.8
4.0
3.7
22.9
23.2
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
9.2
10.4
8.2
4.5
5.4
3.7
22.2
24.8
20.0
vs Weaker (39)
8.4
9.1
7.8
3.7
3.6
3.7
23.1
22.8
23.4
% over line
45%
67%
22%
56%
62%
50%
51%
58%
43%
% under line
55%
33%
78%
44%
38%
50%
49%
42%
57%
This opponent (Elche) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barcelona
10.4
Oviedo
10.3
Deportivo La Coruna
10.2
Racing Santander
10.2
Real Madrid
10.1
Real Sociedad
10.0
Burgos
9.7
Numancia
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Levante
9.7
Eibar
9.7
Rayo Vallecano
9.6
Alaves
9.6
Espanyol
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Real Betis
9.5
Cordoba
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Huesca
9.5
Sevilla
9.5
Tenerife
9.5
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Las Palmas
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Albacete
9.4
Castellón
9.4
Valladolid
9.4
Ponferradina
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Athletic Club
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Mirandes
9.2
Osasuna
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.0
Gimnastic
9.0
Alcorcon
9.0
Malaga
8.9
Celta Vigo
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.8
Valencia
8.8
FC Andorra
8.8
Elche
8.8
Atletico Madrid
8.8
Amorebieta
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Cadiz
8.7
Leganes
8.7
Mallorca
8.7
Girona
8.4
Getafe
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Racing Santander
6.1
Gimnastic
5.9
Villarreal
5.9
Cadiz
5.8
Zaragoza
5.7
Cultural Leonesa
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Elche
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Tenerife
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Alaves
5.3
Real Sociedad
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Espanyol
5.2
Cordoba
5.1
Sevilla
5.1
Real Betis
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Almeria
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Girona
5.0
Celta Vigo
4.9
Alcorcon
4.9
Ponferradina
4.8
FC Andorra
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Barcelona
4.8
Leganes
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Burgos
4.6
FC Cartagena
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Levante
4.5
Athletic Club
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Atletico Madrid
4.3
Castellón
4.2
Real Madrid
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Numancia
30.6
Gimnastic
30.1
Getafe
30.1
Cordoba
29.9
Cultural Leonesa
29.8
Cadiz
29.5
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.6
Elche
28.1
Espanyol
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Rayo Vallecano
27.3
Oviedo
27.2
Almeria
26.8
Zaragoza
26.7
Granada CF
26.7
Alaves
26.6
Tenerife
26.5
Real Sociedad
26.4
Leganes
26.3
Castellón
26.2
Eldense
26.0
Deportivo La Coruna
25.8
Valladolid
25.8
Racing Ferrol
25.6
Real Betis
25.6
Levante
25.4
Mallorca
25.4
Villarreal
25.2
Celta Vigo
25.1
Athletic Club
25.1
Mirandes
25.1
FC Andorra
25.0
Valencia
24.9
Las Palmas
24.7
Osasuna
24.6
Alcorcon
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Amorebieta
24.3
Albacete
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Huesca
23.8
Sevilla
23.8
FC Cartagena
23.8
Eibar
23.2
Real Madrid
23.1
Atletico Madrid
23.0
Girona
23.0
Burgos
22.8
Barcelona
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.4%
Under 9.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.5%
Under 21.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elche or Draw✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
5%
14%
81%
covers Elche + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elche or Atletico Madrid✓ Hit
85.8%
Avg Implied -
5%
14%
81%
covers Elche + Atletico Madrid
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Atletico Madrid✓ Hit
95.0%
Avg Implied -
5%
14%
81%
covers Draw + Atletico Madrid
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elche over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.5%
Under
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
47.9%
Under
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Elche, so a minus line means Elche give that many goals of a start and Atletico Madrid receive them. At -1, Elche must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elche win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elche)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Elche -2
0.2%
Draw -2
1.0%
Atletico Madrid +2
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Elche)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Elche -1
1.2%
Draw -1
3.8%
Atletico Madrid +1
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Elche)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Elche +1
19.2%
Draw +1
20.7%
Atletico Madrid -1
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Elche)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Elche +2
40.0%
Draw +2
22.8%
Atletico Madrid -2
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elche
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.33
0.53
0.27
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.32
0.64
0.18
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.27
0.36
0.25
0.50
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.68
0.40
0.58
0.42
0.77
0.38
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elche over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elche
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.13
0.60
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.53
1.27
0.36
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.55
0.75
1.25
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.43
1.36
0.64
1.19
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.32
0.36
1.42
0.67
1.23
0.08
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elche over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Elche
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Boayar33%
Mourad El Ghezouani28%
Elbasan Rashani25%
Agustín Álvarez21%
Germán Valera19%
Nicolás Fernández17%
Sory Kaba16%
Josan12%
Rafael Núñez12%
Nicolás Castro11%
Yago Santiago11%
Óscar Plano10%
John Nwankwo10%
Rodrigo Mendoza9%
Pejiño8%
Jose Salinas7%
Pedro Bigas6%
Alvaro Núñez5%
Aleix Febas3%
David Affengruber2%
Mario Gaspar0%
Bambo Diaby0%
Matías Dituro0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Raúl Guti0%
Álex Martín0%
Miguel San Román0%
Marc Aguado0%
Gerard Hernández0%
Matia Barzić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matia Barzić38%
Adam Boayar33%
Nicolás Fernández29%
Aleix Febas28%
Jose Salinas27%
Raúl Guti25%
Agustín Álvarez21%
Germán Valera19%
Cristian Salvador18%
Bambo Diaby17%
Elbasan Rashani17%
Sory Kaba16%
Josan16%
Marc Aguado15%
Pedro Bigas14%
Rodrigo Mendoza13%
Nicolás Castro11%
Alvaro Núñez11%
Yago Santiago11%
Álex Martín10%
Mario Gaspar10%
Mourad El Ghezouani9%
David Affengruber7%
John Nwankwo5%
Óscar Plano3%
Matías Dituro0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Miguel San Román0%
Pejiño0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Gerard Hernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josan28%
Nicolás Fernández23%
Germán Valera19%
Alvaro Núñez16%
Yago Santiago16%
Rodrigo Mendoza9%
Nicolás Castro9%
Raúl Guti8%
Marc Aguado8%
Jose Salinas7%
Pedro Bigas6%
Agustín Álvarez5%
Mario Gaspar5%
David Affengruber5%
Bambo Diaby4%
Óscar Plano3%
Matías Dituro0%
Sory Kaba0%
Elbasan Rashani0%
Aleix Febas0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Álex Martín0%
Mourad El Ghezouani0%
Miguel San Román0%
Pejiño0%
Rafael Núñez0%
John Nwankwo0%
Gerard Hernández0%
Matia Barzić0%
Adam Boayar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Agustín Álvarez18%
Nicolás Fernández14%
Nicolás Castro14%
Yago Santiago11%
Raúl Guti8%
Jose Salinas7%
Josan6%
Sory Kaba4%
Óscar Plano3%
Mourad El Ghezouani3%
Alvaro Núñez3%
Mario Gaspar0%
Bambo Diaby0%
Matías Dituro0%
Elbasan Rashani0%
Aleix Febas0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Pedro Bigas0%
Álex Martín0%
David Affengruber0%
Miguel San Román0%
Pejiño0%
Germán Valera0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Marc Aguado0%
John Nwankwo0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Gerard Hernández0%
Matia Barzić0%
Adam Boayar0%
Atletico Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Álvarez42%
Alexander Sørloth35%
Antoine Griezmann25%
Ángel Correa16%
Marcos Llorente11%
Samuel Lino9%
Clément Lenglet9%
Conor Gallagher9%
Giuliano Simeone9%
Rodrigo de Paul6%
César Azpilicueta5%
Rodrigo Riquelme4%
Robin Le Normand3%
José María Giménez3%
Pablo Barrios2%
Koke2%
Nahuel Molina2%
Axel Witsel0%
Jan Oblak0%
Thomas Lemar0%
Juan Musso0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Javi Galán0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Clément Lenglet32%
Javi Galán31%
Robin Le Normand30%
José María Giménez26%
Reinildo Mandava21%
César Azpilicueta20%
Rodrigo de Paul18%
Pablo Barrios15%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Koke12%
Ángel Correa11%
Julián Álvarez11%
Alexander Sørloth10%
Axel Witsel10%
Samuel Lino7%
Conor Gallagher7%
Nahuel Molina5%
Antoine Griezmann4%
Marcos Llorente2%
Jan Oblak0%
Thomas Lemar0%
Juan Musso0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Lino18%
Giuliano Simeone17%
Antoine Griezmann17%
Rodrigo de Paul16%
Marcos Llorente15%
Javi Galán14%
Julián Álvarez13%
Conor Gallagher13%
Pablo Barrios10%
Ángel Correa9%
Nahuel Molina7%
Clément Lenglet6%
Axel Witsel5%
Koke5%
Alexander Sørloth4%
Rodrigo Riquelme4%
José María Giménez3%
Jan Oblak0%
Thomas Lemar0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Juan Musso0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Sørloth27%
Julián Álvarez23%
Antoine Griezmann15%
Samuel Lino11%
Pablo Barrios7%
Ángel Correa7%
Conor Gallagher4%
Marcos Llorente2%
Rodrigo de Paul2%
Axel Witsel0%
Jan Oblak0%
José María Giménez0%
Thomas Lemar0%
Koke0%
Clément Lenglet0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Juan Musso0%
Nahuel Molina0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Javi Galán0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Giuliano Simeone0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
ZAR (20)
€9m
ELD (20)
€7m
MIR (21)
€6m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Elche's squad is €574m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€79m vs €653m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
ELD (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Elche's attack is €256m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€34m vs €290m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Elche's midfield is €143m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€12m vs €155m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Elche's defence is €175m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€33m vs €208m).
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mirandes
Oviedo
Levante
Racing Santander
Almeria
Granada CF
Huesca
Eibar
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
Cordoba
Burgos
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
Zaragoza
Eldense
Tenerife
Racing Ferrol
FC Cartagena
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Girona
Leganes
Las Palmas
Valladolid