PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Elgin vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 0-1
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
32%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D30W32W30W22D01L21W14L02L02LH·EDI26/01A·ALB09/02H·STI16/02A·BER23/02H·QUE26/02A·PET02/03H·CLY09/03A·QUE16/03A·CLY19/03H·ALB23/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.971.602.131.471.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.821.651.752.381.891.00
vs Weaker (13)1.152.381.431.860.833.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W30W11D42W40W21W21W12L31W12LA·EDI19/01H·PET26/01H·CLY09/02A·COW16/02H·ALB23/02A·BER26/02H·QUE02/03A·PET09/03H·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.172.071.131.471.20
vs Stronger (19)2.000.952.300.901.671.00
vs Similar (7)1.711.572.001.671.501.50
vs Weaker (4)0.751.501.001.500.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
0-1 ✓
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
Elgin goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
04.8%5.6%5.9%3.4%1.5%
14.7%11%8.9%5.2%2.3%
24.3%7.6%6.7%4.0%1.7%
32.2%3.9%3.4%2.0%0.9%
40.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Elgin is 0.64 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Elgin is 0.50 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Elgin is 0.78 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 4.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1408421036525944656634461212971481112710H·ALBA·CLYA·QUEH·CLYA·PETH·QUEA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

501111212232221212221452321H·ALBA·CLYA·QUEH·CLYA·PETH·QUEA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 18.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

26067259479101512139137812145131371316252522152618H·ALBA·CLYA·QUEH·CLYA·PETH·QUEA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 5.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1404225367510473111456956791214101151114A·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·BERH·ALBA·COWH·CLYH·PETA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6031121123321422123124313636353A·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·BERH·ALBA·COWH·CLYH·PETA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

2809141210513910915149131311121315111123221819242326232822A·CLYH·EDIA·PETH·QUEA·BERH·ALBA·COWH·CLYH·PETA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.410.73.03.13.021.120.921.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)9.59.39.63.13.13.121.921.222.5
vs Weaker (25)10.69.411.93.03.22.820.220.719.8
% over line54%44%64%34%32%36%48%44%52%
% under line46%56%36%66%68%64%52%56%48%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.810.43.73.73.723.024.021.9
vs Stronger (29)9.79.310.13.63.83.423.624.622.4
vs Similar (15)9.78.611.03.53.43.621.922.621.0
vs Weaker (6)8.56.310.74.74.05.323.325.021.7
% over line44%31%58%46%50%42%74%85%62%
% under line56%69%42%54%50%58%26%15%38%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stirling
10.3
Elgin
10.0
Queens Park
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Peterhead
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.3
Berwick
9.2
Clyde
9.1
Cowdenbeath
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Clyde
3.5
Peterhead
3.5
Stirling
3.3
Berwick
3.1
Elgin
3.0
Albion Rvs
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.6
Edinburgh City
24.2
Cowdenbeath
23.1
Annan Athletic
23.0
Berwick
23.0
Stirling
22.3
Elgin
21.1
Albion Rvs
20.8
Clyde
20.3
Queens Park
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.9%
Under 21.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D00D00D01L11D11D01L02LH·EDI26/01A·ALB09/02H·STI16/02A·BER23/02H·QUE26/02A·PET02/03H·CLY09/03A·QUE16/03A·CLY19/03H·ALB23/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.070.471.270.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.880.381.380.780.44
vs Weaker (13)0.541.310.571.140.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L12L30W10W10W11D10W00DA·EDI19/01H·PET26/01H·CLY09/02A·COW16/02H·ALB23/02A·BER26/02H·QUE02/03A·PET09/03H·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.670.270.530.53
vs Stronger (19)0.680.320.700.100.670.56
vs Similar (7)0.570.570.670.330.500.75
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W21W30W22D00D10W03L01L00DH·EDI26/01A·ALB09/02H·STI16/02A·BER23/02H·QUE26/02A·PET02/03H·CLY09/03A·QUE16/03A·CLY19/03H·ALB23/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.901.130.870.800.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.240.761.381.001.110.56
vs Weaker (13)0.621.080.860.710.331.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W10W30W10W11D11D01L21W12LA·EDI19/01H·PET26/01H·CLY09/02A·COW16/02H·ALB23/02A·BER26/02H·QUE02/03A·PET09/03H·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.771.400.870.930.67
vs Stronger (19)1.320.631.600.801.000.44
vs Similar (7)1.141.001.331.331.000.75
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.500.500.501.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls71.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ELG wins
1
Draws
6
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Annan Athletic · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/19AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG2-0
27/10/18HELG Vs Annan Athletic0-1
04/08/18AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG1-1
07/04/18AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG4-1
10/02/18HELG Vs Annan Athletic2-1
02/12/17AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG2-0
09/09/17HELG Vs Annan Athletic0-1
11/03/17AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG1-0

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/19HELG Vs Albion Rvs0-2
19/03/19AClyde Vs ELG2-0
16/03/19AQueens Park Vs ELG4-1
09/03/19HELG Vs Clyde2-1
02/03/19APeterhead Vs ELG1-0
26/02/19HELG Vs Queens Park2-2
23/02/19ABerwick Vs ELG0-3
16/02/19HELG Vs Stirling3-2
09/02/19AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-3
26/01/19HELG Vs Edinburgh City3-3

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/19AClyde Vs AA2-1
16/03/19HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-1
09/03/19APeterhead Vs AA2-1
02/03/19HAA Vs Queens Park2-1
26/02/19ABerwick Vs AA1-2
23/02/19HAA Vs Albion Rvs4-0
16/02/19ACowdenbeath Vs AA2-4
09/02/19HAA Vs Clyde1-1
26/01/19HAA Vs Peterhead3-0
19/01/19AEdinburgh City Vs AA1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.28
HomeDWDWL1.60
AwayWWLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals3.343.203.48
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %42%36%48%
Scored1.421.601.24
Conceded1.921.602.24
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners10.049.3610.72
Cards3.043.122.96
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.48
HomeWDWWW1.69
AwayWWWLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.883.082.67
Over 1.5 %86%92%79%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %28%42%12%
Scored1.641.921.33
Conceded1.241.151.33
BTTS66%69%62%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners9.568.7710.42
Cards3.683.693.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches