This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.47
1.25
0.94
0.86
2.07
vs Stronger (20)
1.05
1.50
1.20
1.00
0.90
2.00
vs Similar (10)
1.10
1.40
1.33
0.83
0.75
2.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.11+1.9%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.70-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
Espanyol goals ↓
Amorebieta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
5.5%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.6%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.5%
5.4%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.8%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Espanyol goals (down), columns = Amorebieta goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Espanyol is 0.58 points better than Amorebieta in terms of average points per game (1.65 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Espanyol is 0.47 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Espanyol is 0.37 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Espanyol is 5.1 percentage points better than Amorebieta in terms of average possession (51% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Espanyol
For 5.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amorebieta
For 5.8 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Espanyol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
10.9
1.3
1.0
1.5
28.4
31.8
26.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.7
-
9.7
1.5
0.0
2.4
25.7
-
25.7
vs Similar (35)
10.4
9.6
12.5
0.9
1.3
0.5
29.4
31.8
23.5
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
-
11.0
6.0
-
6.0
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
67%
60%
71%
18%
17%
19%
75%
80%
71%
% under line
33%
40%
29%
82%
83%
81%
25%
20%
29%
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
9.6
9.2
9.9
4.1
4.7
3.4
25.7
26.2
25.1
vs Stronger (29)
9.0
8.8
9.1
4.0
4.6
3.4
25.6
27.1
24.1
vs Similar (16)
10.6
10.0
11.2
4.1
4.9
3.4
25.8
24.6
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
43%
50%
51%
57%
45%
84%
87%
82%
% under line
53%
57%
50%
49%
43%
55%
16%
13%
18%
This opponent (Espanyol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Espanyol
10.4
Huesca
10.2
Mirandes
10.0
Valladolid
9.7
Sporting Gijon
9.6
Amorebieta
9.6
Eldense
9.3
Zaragoza
9.3
Eibar
9.3
Burgos
9.2
Racing Santander
9.1
Levante
9.1
Elche
8.9
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Alcorcon
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.6
Leganes
8.5
Albacete
8.4
Racing Ferrol
7.2
Villarreal II
7.2
FC Andorra
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
5.9
Espanyol
5.7
Levante
5.6
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.2
Oviedo
5.2
Albacete
5.2
Valladolid
5.2
FC Andorra
5.0
FC Cartagena
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Elche
5.0
Mirandes
4.8
Leganes
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Alcorcon
4.5
Eibar
4.4
Burgos
4.2
Amorebieta
4.1
Villarreal II
4.0
Eldense
3.3
Racing Ferrol
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.6
Leganes
29.9
Albacete
28.9
FC Cartagena
28.8
FC Andorra
28.0
Tenerife
27.9
Huesca
27.9
Valladolid
27.3
Oviedo
27.1
Alcorcon
27.0
Elche
26.8
Eldense
26.7
Espanyol
26.6
Zaragoza
26.2
Levante
25.9
Amorebieta
25.7
Mirandes
25.2
Burgos
24.7
Eibar
24.4
Racing Ferrol
24.0
Villarreal II
24.0
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.4%
Under 21.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Espanyol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.36
0.93
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.00
1.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.50
0.56
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
0.75
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.70
0.33
0.33
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Espanyol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.90
1.14
0.71
0.81
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.38
1.75
1.25
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.75
0.90
0.50
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.75
0.38
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (20)
0.45
0.75
0.60
0.30
0.30
1.20
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.70
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Espanyol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Braithwaite40%
Javi Puado32%
Nicolás Melamed12%
Pere Milla10%
Jofre8%
Fernando Calero7%
Salvi Sánchez7%
José Carlos Lazo7%
Edu Expósito5%
José Gragera3%
Sergi Gómez3%
Álvaro Aguado3%
Leandro Cabrera2%
Keita Baldé0%
Víctor Ruiz0%
Brian Oliván0%
Keidi Bare0%
Óscar Gil0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
Ramon0%
Pol Lozano0%
Joan García0%
Ruben Sanchez Saez0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Gaston Valles0%
Rafael Bauza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antoniu Roca50%
Óscar Gil40%
Fernando Calero37%
José Gragera29%
Omar El Hilali28%
Keita Baldé27%
Pol Lozano26%
Keidi Bare26%
Víctor Ruiz25%
Brian Oliván24%
Leandro Cabrera20%
Nicolás Melamed19%
Javi Puado16%
Ramon15%
Edu Expósito14%
Gaston Valles14%
José Carlos Lazo13%
Pere Milla12%
Martin Braithwaite9%
Sergi Gómez9%
Joan García6%
Jofre5%
Álvaro Aguado3%
Salvi Sánchez0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
Ruben Sanchez Saez0%
Rafael Bauza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Edu Expósito19%
Ramon15%
Nicolás Melamed15%
Víctor Ruiz12%
Jofre10%
Omar El Hilali10%
Pere Milla10%
Brian Oliván8%
Keidi Bare8%
Gaston Valles7%
Martin Braithwaite7%
Álvaro Aguado6%
Javi Puado5%
Pol Lozano4%
Salvi Sánchez4%
Leandro Cabrera2%
Keita Baldé0%
Sergi Gómez0%
Óscar Gil0%
José Carlos Lazo0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
Fernando Calero0%
José Gragera0%
Joan García0%
Ruben Sanchez Saez0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Rafael Bauza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martin Braithwaite37%
Nicolás Melamed19%
Javi Puado18%
Edu Expósito5%
Pere Milla5%
Keita Baldé5%
Fernando Calero4%
Álvaro Aguado3%
Brian Oliván3%
Víctor Ruiz0%
Sergi Gómez0%
Salvi Sánchez0%
Keidi Bare0%
Óscar Gil0%
José Carlos Lazo0%
Leandro Cabrera0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
José Gragera0%
Ramon0%
Pol Lozano0%
Jofre0%
Joan García0%
Ruben Sanchez Saez0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Gaston Valles0%
Rafael Bauza0%
Amorebieta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Unzueta Arregui25%
Eneko Jauregi16%
Félix Garreta13%
Manu Hernando9%
Javier Eraso9%
Ryan Edwards8%
Jon Morcillo8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Unai Bustinza6%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Josep Gayá5%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Daniel Lasure0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Luis Quintero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josep Gayá33%
Unai Bustinza29%
Manu Hernando23%
Kwasi Sibo21%
Álvaro Núñez21%
Iker Seguin20%
Félix Garreta19%
Xabier Etxeita19%
Erik Morán19%
Daniel Lasure17%
Àlex Carbonell16%
Jorge Mier10%
Javier Eraso9%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca8%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Jorge Yriarte7%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia6%
Ryan Edwards6%
Luis Quintero6%
Jon Morcillo5%
Pablo Cunat4%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Angel Troncho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erik Morán12%
Josué Dorrio12%
Daniel Lasure7%
Rayco Rodriguez7%
Luis Quintero6%
Eneko Jauregi5%
Jon Morcillo5%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Xabier Etxeita4%
Félix Garreta3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Jorge Mier0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Eraso0%
Javier Avilés0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jürgen Locadia25%
Jon Morcillo14%
Eneko Jauregi11%
Josué Dorrio7%
Iker Unzueta Arregui5%
Javier Eraso4%
Daniel Lasure3%
Àlex Carbonell3%
Álvaro Núñez3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Rayco Rodriguez0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Avilés0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Félix Garreta0%
Luis Quintero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →