This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guimaraes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.30
1.07
0.80
1.20
1.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.14
0.50
1.00
0.33
3.67
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.22
1.00
0.75
2.00
1.60
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.93
1.43
0.71
1.00
1.14
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Estrela is 0.88 points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Estrela is 0.56 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Estrela is 0.44 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Estrela is 1.5 percentage points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Estrela
For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guimaraes
For 9.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 14.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Estrela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
11.4
11.4
11.5
3.9
3.4
4.4
28.3
27.5
29.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
12.0
11.8
12.2
3.2
2.6
3.9
27.1
26.2
27.9
vs Weaker (8)
10.1
10.3
10.0
6.4
6.2
6.5
31.1
30.7
31.5
% over line
70%
64%
75%
58%
56%
61%
83%
82%
83%
% under line
30%
36%
25%
42%
44%
39%
17%
18%
17%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guimaraes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.3
8.6
1.9
2.2
1.6
30.6
30.3
31.2
vs Stronger (10)
4.5
4.5
-
1.5
2.5
0.0
28.5
28.5
-
vs Similar (18)
9.5
10.0
8.8
3.2
3.6
2.6
31.2
31.5
30.0
vs Weaker (22)
7.8
6.0
8.3
1.1
0.6
1.5
31.0
29.0
31.7
% over line
25%
22%
29%
26%
27%
25%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
78%
71%
74%
73%
75%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estrela
11.4
Vizela
11.3
Chaves
11.1
Casa Pia
11.0
Farense
10.7
Benfica
10.6
Guimaraes
10.2
Rio Ave
10.1
Estoril
10.0
Portimonense
10.0
Moreirense
9.9
Boavista
9.9
GIL Vicente
9.8
FC Porto
9.6
Famalicao
9.6
Arouca
9.4
Sporting CP
9.3
SC Braga
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arouca
6.5
Famalicao
6.4
Boavista
6.4
FC Porto
6.4
Estrela
6.2
Sporting CP
6.1
Vizela
6.0
GIL Vicente
6.0
Casa Pia
6.0
Farense
5.9
Moreirense
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Portimonense
5.7
Estoril
5.6
SC Braga
5.5
Benfica
5.1
Chaves
5.0
Rio Ave
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
32.3
Chaves
31.6
Arouca
31.1
Famalicao
30.8
Rio Ave
30.8
Guimaraes
30.6
Boavista
30.0
Estoril
29.9
Portimonense
29.1
Estrela
28.3
FC Porto
28.1
Moreirense
28.0
Vizela
27.8
Sporting CP
27.4
Casa Pia
27.0
GIL Vicente
26.8
SC Braga
26.4
Benfica
25.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.1%
Under 3.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.6%
Under 21.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Estrela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.33
0.73
0.13
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.32
0.73
0.09
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.38
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guimaraes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.53
0.13
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.50
0.25
0.00
2.67
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.33
0.25
0.00
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.29
0.71
0.14
0.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Estrela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.00
0.93
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.82
1.00
1.09
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guimaraes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.53
0.67
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.86
0.00
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.89
0.75
0.75
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.57
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas23%
Léo Jabá16%
André Luiz15%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Léo Cordeiro9%
Leonel Bucca7%
Ronald6%
Jean Felipe4%
Regis Ndo4%
Kialonda Gaspar4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Aloisio0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Leonel Bucca27%
Regis Ndo26%
Aloisio25%
Rodrigo Pinho25%
Ronald24%
Rúben Lima21%
Mansur20%
Johnstone Omurwa20%
Nanú17%
Nilton Varela17%
João Reis16%
Léo Cordeiro16%
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Kikas13%
Miguel Lopes12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Hevertton Santos10%
Léo Jabá10%
Ronaldo Tavares8%
Pedro Mendes8%
André Luiz7%
Pedro Sá6%
Vitó0%
António Filipe0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Léo Jabá13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronald12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Jean Felipe9%
Nanú8%
Rúben Lima7%
Mansur5%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Hevertton Santos3%
Kikas3%
Miguel Lopes0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Vitó0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Léo Cordeiro0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Leonel Bucca0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
André Luiz0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Luiz19%
Kikas13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Léo Jabá10%
Leonel Bucca7%
Léo Cordeiro6%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Ronald0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
André Silva45%
Jota Silva33%
João Mendes23%
Tiago Silva17%
Nélson Oliveira13%
Allison Safira12%
Manuel Silva9%
Nuno Santos7%
Bruno Gaspar7%
Nelson Luz7%
Tomás Händel6%
Daniel Silva6%
Ricardo Mangas4%
Jorge Fernandes3%
Tomás Ribeiro3%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
André André0%
Toni Borevković0%
Charles0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Kaio César0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
André André50%
Nélson Oliveira33%
Tiago Silva28%
Tomás Ribeiro28%
Bruno Gaspar25%
Charles25%
Kaio César25%
Afonso Freitas23%
Manuel Silva22%
Jota Silva21%
Nuno Santos19%
Zé Carlos17%
Jorge Fernandes17%
Mikel Villanueva17%
Tomás Händel16%
João Mendes15%
André Silva14%
Bruno Varela11%
Miguel Maga9%
Toni Borevković9%
Ricardo Mangas9%
Nelson Luz7%
Daniel Silva6%
Allison Safira0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Silva17%
Nélson Oliveira13%
Ricardo Mangas13%
Jota Silva12%
João Mendes12%
André André11%
Nuno Santos11%
Bruno Gaspar11%
André Silva9%
Daniel Silva6%
Jorge Fernandes3%
Tomás Ribeiro3%
Tomás Händel3%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Nelson Luz0%
Allison Safira0%
Toni Borevković0%
Charles0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Manuel Silva0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Kaio César0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Silva32%
Jota Silva30%
João Mendes27%
Kaio César8%
Nuno Santos7%
Tiago Silva7%
Nélson Oliveira7%
Ricardo Mangas4%
Bruno Gaspar4%
Tomás Händel3%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Nelson Luz0%
Allison Safira0%
André André0%
Toni Borevković0%
Charles0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Daniel Silva0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Manuel Silva0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Estrela's squad is €26m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€20m vs €46m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €16m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€6m vs €22m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €8m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€3m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Estrela and Guimaraes have a similar defence value (both €11m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Sporting CP
Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Moreirense
Arouca
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Farense
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Estoril
Boavista
Portimonense
Vizela
Chaves
AVS