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Estrela vs Guimaraes Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 20:30
Final 2-2
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
26%
28%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.51
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.42
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes win✗ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.83
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D03L01L01L22D01L21W03L11DH·GIL18/05A·SC 11/08H·FAM19/08A·BEN24/08H·CAS31/08H·BOA16/09A·SAN21/09H·MOR28/09A·GIL05/10A·ANA19/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.631.291.790.381.50
vs Stronger (9)0.332.110.673.000.171.67
vs Similar (21)1.001.431.451.450.501.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W21W20W03L11D31W22D31W21WA·AVS25/08A·ZRI29/08H·FAM01/09A·SC 15/09H·FC 21/09A·CAS28/09H·CEL02/10H·BOA06/10A·PAC19/10A·DJU24/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.901.640.931.810.88
vs Stronger (5)1.202.001.003.001.331.33
vs Similar (10)2.200.502.330.332.000.75
vs Weaker (15)1.600.801.170.831.890.78
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.9%
@ 2.26+6.0%
Under 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.63-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2 ✓
5.0%
Estrela goals ↓
Guimaraes goals →
01234
08.7%10%8.7%4.4%1.7%
16.8%13%9.3%4.7%1.8%
24.3%6.5%5.0%2.5%1.0%
31.5%2.3%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Guimaraes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Estrela is 0.74 points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average points per game (0.85 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Estrela is 0.68 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Estrela is 0.38 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Estrela is 12.3 percentage points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average possession (45% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 4.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

170827839227212244134374891111914617711A·GILH·MORA·SANH·BOAH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC H·GILA·VIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

80123332341134315341233657274855A·GILH·MORA·SANH·BOAH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC H·GILA·VIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 16.8 · Total 30.3

⚠️ Fouls

460151427191817817823121910169141713111629463525313126233027A·GILH·MORA·SANH·BOAH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC H·GILA·VIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GuimaraesGuimaraes

For 5.8 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1606365559756465763933291110161110129125A·DJUH·BOAH·CELA·CASH·FC A·SC H·FAMA·AVSH·ESTH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

905245224434533321227922878634A·DJUH·BOAH·CELA·CASH·FC A·SC H·FAMA·AVSH·ESTH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.4

⚠️ Fouls

37017171816879137181720181214161418111434341522253730303225A·DJUH·BOAH·CELA·CASH·FC A·SC H·FAMA·AVSH·ESTH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.610.74.74.64.826.026.625.4
vs Stronger (15)11.510.712.24.95.44.525.527.024.2
vs Similar (33)10.410.510.24.54.24.726.026.425.5
vs Weaker (2)8.0-8.07.0-7.029.5-29.5
% over line62%65%58%66%75%58%79%74%83%
% under line38%35%42%34%25%42%21%26%17%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.410.812.05.45.45.427.026.327.6
vs Stronger (10)11.413.09.86.27.05.425.927.024.8
vs Similar (15)11.411.211.64.34.24.328.927.231.0
vs Weaker (25)11.49.813.05.75.46.026.525.727.3
% over line71%70%73%72%76%68%84%83%86%
% under line29%30%27%28%24%32%16%17%14%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.7
Nacional
11.5
Guimaraes
11.4
AVS
11.0
Rio Ave
10.8
Benfica
10.8
Estrela
10.6
FC Porto
10.3
Estoril
10.3
Casa Pia
10.1
SC Braga
10.1
Vizela
10.0
Famalicao
10.0
Arouca
9.9
Boavista
9.3
Moreirense
9.3
GIL Vicente
8.9
Sporting CP
8.9
Santa Clara
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.3
Famalicao
6.2
Guimaraes
6.1
Santa Clara
6.0
Boavista
6.0
AVS
5.6
Arouca
5.5
Estoril
5.5
Rio Ave
5.3
Vizela
5.2
Nacional
5.1
Estrela
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Farense
4.8
Benfica
4.8
Moreirense
4.8
Sporting CP
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.6
Casa Pia
4.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.6
Rio Ave
29.6
Santa Clara
28.9
FC Porto
28.2
Boavista
27.8
Farense
27.5
Moreirense
27.5
Vizela
27.5
Nacional
27.4
Guimaraes
27.1
AVS
26.8
Estoril
26.6
Casa Pia
26.5
Arouca
26.4
GIL Vicente
26.1
Estrela
26.1
Sporting CP
24.0
SC Braga
24.0
Benfica
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.7%
Under 9.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.3%
Under 21.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L01L00D12L00D20W02L01LH·GIL18/05A·SC 11/08H·FAM19/08A·BEN24/08H·CAS31/08H·BOA16/09A·SAN21/09H·MOR28/09A·GIL05/10A·ANA19/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.930.710.000.62
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.671.670.000.50
vs Similar (21)0.520.571.000.450.000.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D00D00D01L20W10W11D00DA·AVS25/08A·ZRI29/08H·FAM01/09A·SC 15/09H·FC 21/09A·CAS28/09H·CEL02/10H·BOA06/10A·PAC19/10A·DJU24/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.860.360.750.50
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.500.500.671.00
vs Similar (10)1.100.201.330.170.750.25
vs Weaker (15)0.670.470.500.500.780.44
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L00D01L10W01L01L01L10WH·GIL18/05A·SC 11/08H·FAM19/08A·BEN24/08H·CAS31/08H·BOA16/09A·SAN21/09H·MOR28/09A·GIL05/10A·ANA19/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.970.361.070.380.88
vs Stronger (9)0.111.220.001.330.171.17
vs Similar (21)0.480.860.451.000.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W20W03L10W11D12L20W21WA·AVS25/08A·ZRI29/08H·FAM01/09A·SC 15/09H·FC 21/09A·CAS28/09H·CEL02/10H·BOA06/10A·PAC19/10A·DJU24/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.470.790.571.060.38
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.502.500.670.33
vs Similar (10)1.100.301.000.171.250.50
vs Weaker (15)0.930.330.670.331.110.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls78.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho15%
Nani11%
Tiago Gabriel9%
André Luiz8%
Jovane Cabral8%
Chico Banza8%
Leonel Bucca6%
Diogo Travassos4%
Paulo Moreira4%
Alan Ruiz4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
João Costa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Caio Santana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alan Ruiz46%
Nani33%
Guilherme Montóia33%
Manu33%
Manuel Keliano32%
Ferro32%
Chico Banza31%
Igor Jesus29%
Danilo Veiga27%
Leonel Bucca26%
Till Cissokho25%
Diogo Travassos24%
Miguel Lopes19%
Tiago Gabriel18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Gerson Sousa17%
Jovane Cabral15%
Issiar Drame14%
Nilton Varela14%
Rúben Lima12%
Caio Santana12%
Kikas12%
Paulo Moreira12%
Léo Cordeiro11%
Amine Oudrhiri9%
Renato Pantalon8%
André Luiz8%
Bruno Brígido0%
João Costa0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Petterson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Henrique25%
Danilo Veiga13%
Rúben Lima8%
André Luiz8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Nilton Varela7%
Leonel Bucca6%
Manuel Keliano5%
Jovane Cabral4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Kikas3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Chico Banza0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rodrigo Pinho0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Jovane Cabral12%
André Luiz8%
Chico Banza8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Léo Cordeiro7%
Leonel Bucca3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gustavo Silva36%
Úmaro Embaló22%
Tomás Ribeiro20%
Dieu-Merci Michel20%
Tiago Silva18%
Ricardo Mangas17%
Óscar Rivas15%
João Mendes15%
Telmo Arcanjo14%
Manuel Silva13%
Nélson Oliveira12%
Jesús Ramírez12%
Samu10%
Nuno Santos9%
Kaio César8%
Alberto Costa7%
Tomás Händel5%
Bruno Varela0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Toni Borevković0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Filipe Relvas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
José Bica0%
Vando Félix0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Mendes32%
Óscar Rivas31%
Mikel Villanueva30%
Toni Borevković26%
Tiago Silva25%
Manuel Silva22%
Alberto Costa21%
Gustavo Silva20%
Filipe Relvas18%
Telmo Arcanjo16%
Kaio César16%
Nélson Oliveira15%
Tomás Händel15%
Miguel Maga14%
Samu13%
Beni Mukendi12%
Vando Félix12%
João Mendes12%
Bruno Gaspar12%
Nuno Santos12%
Bruno Varela11%
Úmaro Embaló11%
Jesús Ramírez9%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
José Bica0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Zé Carlos0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kaio César20%
Nuno Santos16%
Tiago Silva12%
Bruno Gaspar12%
Nélson Oliveira10%
Manuel Silva9%
João Mendes7%
Alberto Costa7%
Jesús Ramírez6%
Telmo Arcanjo5%
Miguel Maga5%
Gustavo Silva4%
Samu3%
Tomás Händel2%
João Mendes2%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Toni Borevković0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Beni Mukendi0%
José Bica0%
Vando Félix0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Zé Carlos0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ricardo Mangas33%
Jesús Ramírez25%
Gustavo Silva16%
Kaio César16%
José Bica14%
Telmo Arcanjo14%
Nélson Oliveira10%
João Mendes10%
Nuno Santos9%
Tiago Silva8%
Alberto Costa7%
Vando Félix6%
Samu5%
Manuel Silva4%
Bruno Varela0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Toni Borevković0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Tomás Händel0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Estrela's squad is €26m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€20m vs €46m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Estrela's attack is €16m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€6m vs €22m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Estrela's midfield is €8m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€3m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Estrela and Guimaraes have a similar defence value (both €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
EST wins
0
Draws
2
GUI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Guimaraes · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/24AGuimaraes Vs EST3-0
13/08/23HEST Vs Guimaraes0-1

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AAnadia Vs EST1-1
05/10/24AGIL Vicente Vs EST3-0
28/09/24HEST Vs Moreirense2-1
21/09/24ASanta Clara Vs EST1-0
16/09/24HEST Vs Boavista2-2
31/08/24HEST Vs Casa Pia0-1
24/08/24ABenfica Vs EST1-0
19/08/24HEST Vs Famalicao0-3
11/08/24ASC Braga Vs EST1-1
18/05/24HEST Vs GIL Vicente1-0

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/24ADjurgardens IF Vs GUI1-2
19/10/24APacos Ferreira Vs GUI1-3
06/10/24HGUI Vs Boavista2-2
02/10/24HGUI Vs Celje3-1
28/09/24ACasa Pia Vs GUI1-1
21/09/24HGUI Vs FC Porto0-3
15/09/24ASC Braga Vs GUI0-2
01/09/24HGUI Vs Famalicao2-1
29/08/24AZrinjski Vs GUI0-4
25/08/24AAVS Vs GUI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD0.98
HomeWLLDW1.17
AwayDLLLD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals2.642.922.38
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.041.250.85
Conceded1.601.671.54
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners10.6410.5710.71
Cards5.004.785.21
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW2.02
HomeWWLWD2.16
AwayWWDWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%68%56%
AVG goals2.682.922.44
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.701.921.48
Conceded0.981.000.96
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners11.3810.8311.95
Cards5.985.836.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches