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Estrela vs SC Braga Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2023
Time: 19:15
Final 2-4
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
23%
26%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SC Braga
SC Braga
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.63
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.95
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Braga win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.70
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L42W21W12L01L02L21W11D01L22DH·NAC21/05A·PEN27/05H·MAR03/06A·MAR11/06H·GUI13/08A·BEN19/08H·EST25/08A·POR02/09H·FC 15/09A·CHA24/09← Segunda LigaPrimeira Liga →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.071.531.001.471.13
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.621.101.801.101.451.09
vs Weaker (6)1.830.831.670.672.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L41W42W21W10W11D32W13L12L41WH·FAM11/08A·TSC15/08A·CHA19/08H·PAN23/08A·PAN29/08H·SPO03/09A·MOR09/09A·FAR16/09H·NAP20/09H·BOA24/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.302.311.061.861.57
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.500.500.003.00
vs Similar (5)1.202.001.002.331.501.50
vs Weaker (21)2.671.053.000.822.301.30
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.71-2.7%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 2.12+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
Estrela goals ↓
SC Braga goals →
01234
07.3%9.3%8.9%5.0%2.1%
15.6%13%9.7%5.4%2.3%
23.7%6.2%5.3%3.0%1.3%
31.3%2.3%1.9%1.1%0.5%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = SC Braga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Estrela is 1.03 points worse than SC Braga in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Estrela is 1.12 goals worse than SC Braga in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 2.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Estrela is 0.09 goals worse than SC Braga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Estrela is 10.1 percentage points worse than SC Braga in terms of average possession (47% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 6.3 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

160591067388493107410316821416101613131113710A·CHAH·FC A·PORH·ESTA·BENH·GUIA·PENH·NACA·TROH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.0

🟨 Cards

110543563113343634743298926794115A·CHAH·FC A·PORH·ESTA·BENH·GUIA·PENH·NACA·TROH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

41011111221161296148141711141114172411422332815223125254115A·CHAH·FC A·PORH·ESTA·BENH·GUIA·PENH·NACA·TROH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SC BragaSC Braga

For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

2106211104754423115165313482111961461147H·BOAH·NAPA·FARA·MORH·SPOA·PANH·PANA·CHAA·TSCH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

9024365422253423232446994775528H·BOAH·NAPA·FARA·MORH·SPOA·PANH·PANA·CHAA·TSCH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

2909111412101611121710151218111112721171220262623272729232829H·BOAH·NAPA·FARA·MORH·SPOA·PANH·PANA·CHAA·TSCH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (42)11.912.111.74.43.85.027.727.228.1
vs Stronger (3)14.014.513.07.07.56.028.732.022.0
vs Similar (31)12.212.212.23.62.64.526.225.027.3
vs Weaker (8)10.110.310.06.46.26.531.130.731.5
% over line76%71%80%62%57%67%83%79%87%
% under line24%29%20%38%43%33%17%21%13%
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.59.62.12.22.025.425.824.9
vs Stronger (6)6.06.0-1.22.30.027.027.0-
vs Similar (7)10.610.011.35.35.55.026.327.025.3
vs Weaker (37)8.37.88.71.61.41.824.624.624.7
% over line26%10%44%32%32%32%84%70%100%
% under line74%90%56%68%68%68%16%30%0%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Casa Pia
12.2
Estrela
11.9
Chaves
11.3
Farense
11.2
Vizela
10.8
Benfica
10.5
Portimonense
10.4
Guimaraes
10.2
Moreirense
10.0
Estoril
9.9
Rio Ave
9.9
Boavista
9.8
Famalicao
9.8
GIL Vicente
9.8
FC Porto
9.8
Arouca
9.7
SC Braga
9.3
Sporting CP
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Arouca
6.7
FC Porto
6.5
Boavista
6.5
Famalicao
6.5
Estrela
6.3
Guimaraes
6.2
Moreirense
6.1
Sporting CP
6.1
GIL Vicente
6.0
Vizela
6.0
Farense
5.9
Portimonense
5.7
Estoril
5.7
SC Braga
5.5
Chaves
5.3
Benfica
5.2
Rio Ave
4.5
Casa Pia
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Chaves
31.6
Farense
31.4
Rio Ave
31.3
Famalicao
31.0
Arouca
30.8
Guimaraes
30.6
Boavista
29.5
Estoril
29.4
Portimonense
29.1
Moreirense
28.2
Vizela
28.0
FC Porto
27.8
Casa Pia
27.7
Estrela
27.7
GIL Vicente
27.1
Sporting CP
26.8
SC Braga
25.8
Benfica
25.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.6%
Under 9.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.4%
Under 3.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.9%
Under 21.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W11D01L00D00D11D01L10WH·NAC21/05A·PEN27/05H·MAR03/06A·MAR11/06H·GUI13/08A·BEN19/08H·EST25/08A·POR02/09H·FC 15/09A·CHA24/09← Segunda LigaPrimeira Liga →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.600.270.670.53
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.330.700.100.640.55
vs Weaker (6)0.830.500.670.331.000.67
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W11D00D00D01L12L02L01L21WH·FAM11/08A·TSC15/08A·CHA19/08H·PAN23/08A·PAN29/08H·SPO03/09A·MOR09/09A·FAR16/09H·NAP20/09H·BOA24/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.601.120.380.860.86
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.500.000.50
vs Similar (5)0.400.600.000.671.000.50
vs Weaker (21)1.330.621.640.271.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W11D01L00D02L21W00D00D12LH·NAC21/05A·PEN27/05H·MAR03/06A·MAR11/06H·GUI13/08A·BEN19/08H·EST25/08A·POR02/09H·FC 15/09A·CHA24/09← Segunda LigaPrimeira Liga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.930.730.800.60
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.950.761.101.000.820.55
vs Weaker (6)1.000.331.000.331.000.33
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D31W21W10W10W20W11D11D20WH·FAM11/08A·TSC15/08A·CHA19/08H·PAN23/08A·PAN29/08H·SPO03/09A·MOR09/09A·FAR16/09H·NAP20/09H·BOA24/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.701.190.691.000.71
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.500.000.002.50
vs Similar (5)0.801.401.001.670.501.00
vs Weaker (21)1.330.431.360.551.300.30
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards92.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners77.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls76.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas23%
Léo Jabá16%
André Luiz15%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Léo Cordeiro9%
Leonel Bucca7%
Ronald6%
Jean Felipe4%
Regis Ndo4%
Kialonda Gaspar4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Aloisio0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Leonel Bucca27%
Regis Ndo26%
Aloisio25%
Rodrigo Pinho25%
Ronald24%
Rúben Lima21%
Mansur20%
Johnstone Omurwa20%
Nanú17%
Nilton Varela17%
João Reis16%
Léo Cordeiro16%
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Kikas13%
Miguel Lopes12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Hevertton Santos10%
Léo Jabá10%
Ronaldo Tavares8%
Pedro Mendes8%
André Luiz7%
Pedro Sá6%
Vitó0%
António Filipe0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Léo Jabá13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronald12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Jean Felipe9%
Nanú8%
Rúben Lima7%
Mansur5%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Hevertton Santos3%
Kikas3%
Miguel Lopes0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Vitó0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Léo Cordeiro0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Leonel Bucca0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
André Luiz0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Luiz19%
Kikas13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Léo Jabá10%
Leonel Bucca7%
Léo Cordeiro6%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Ronald0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
SC Braga
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Simon Banza47%
Álvaro Djaló27%
Ricardo Horta24%
Bruma24%
André Castro20%
Abel Ruíz17%
Mutassim Al Musrati17%
Roger Fernandes16%
Rodrigo Zalazar12%
Cher Ndour9%
Rony Lopes8%
André Horta5%
João Moutinho5%
Sikou Niakaté4%
Pizzi3%
Vítor Carvalho3%
Cristián Borja2%
José Fonte0%
Matheus0%
Adrián Marín0%
Paulo Oliveira0%
Victor Gómez0%
Serdar Saatçı0%
Josafat Mendes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Fonte41%
Paulo Oliveira28%
Serdar Saatçı24%
João Moutinho23%
Álvaro Djaló22%
Sikou Niakaté21%
Vítor Carvalho21%
Cher Ndour18%
Abel Ruíz17%
Rodrigo Zalazar14%
Simon Banza13%
Ricardo Horta13%
Cristián Borja12%
Bruma12%
Victor Gómez10%
Josafat Mendes8%
Matheus7%
Mutassim Al Musrati6%
Roger Fernandes5%
Rony Lopes4%
Pizzi3%
Adrián Marín0%
André Castro0%
André Horta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Roger Fernandes26%
Ricardo Horta21%
Rodrigo Zalazar21%
Simon Banza13%
Cristián Borja12%
Álvaro Djaló12%
Bruma12%
Josafat Mendes8%
Pizzi8%
Paulo Oliveira8%
André Horta5%
Victor Gómez5%
Abel Ruíz5%
Serdar Saatçı4%
Vítor Carvalho3%
João Moutinho3%
Rony Lopes0%
José Fonte0%
Sikou Niakaté0%
Matheus0%
Mutassim Al Musrati0%
Adrián Marín0%
André Castro0%
Cher Ndour0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Banza47%
Álvaro Djaló27%
Ricardo Horta24%
Mutassim Al Musrati22%
Bruma18%
Roger Fernandes16%
Abel Ruíz12%
Rodrigo Zalazar9%
Serdar Saatçı4%
Pizzi3%
Vítor Carvalho3%
Cristián Borja2%
Victor Gómez2%
Rony Lopes0%
José Fonte0%
João Moutinho0%
Sikou Niakaté0%
Matheus0%
Adrián Marín0%
Paulo Oliveira0%
André Castro0%
André Horta0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Cher Ndour0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Estrela's squad is €145m less valuable than SC Braga's (€20m vs €165m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €35m less valuable than SC Braga's (€6m vs €41m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €53m less valuable than SC Braga's (€3m vs €56m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Estrela's defence is €57m less valuable than SC Braga's (€11m vs €68m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
EST wins
0
Draws
0
SB wins

Head-to-head

Estrela vs SC Braga · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23AChaves Vs EST2-2
15/09/23HEST Vs FC Porto0-1
02/09/23APortimonense Vs EST1-1
25/08/23HEST Vs Estoril2-1
19/08/23ABenfica Vs EST2-0
13/08/23HEST Vs Guimaraes0-1
11/06/23AMaritimo Vs EST2-1
03/06/23HEST Vs Maritimo2-1
27/05/23APenafiel Vs EST2-4
21/05/23HEST Vs Nacional0-1

SC BragaSC Braga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23HSB Vs Boavista4-1
20/09/23HSB Vs Napoli1-2
16/09/23AFarense Vs SB3-1
09/09/23AMoreirense Vs SB2-3
03/09/23HSB Vs Sporting CP1-1
29/08/23APanathinaikos Vs SB0-1
23/08/23HSB Vs Panathinaikos2-1
19/08/23AChaves Vs SB2-4
15/08/23ATSC Backa Topola Vs SB1-4
11/08/23HSB Vs Famalicao1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.69
HomeLWLWL1.76
AwayWLLDD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%48%38%
AVG goals2.602.572.62
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %26%24%29%
Scored1.501.521.48
Conceded1.101.051.14
BTTS67%62%71%
Clean Sheet21%24%19%
Corners11.9012.1411.67
Cards6.315.646.93
SC Braga
SC Braga
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW2.06
HomeLWDLW2.12
AwayWWWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%68%64%
AVG goals3.122.803.44
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored2.001.922.08
Conceded1.120.881.36
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners9.008.509.56
Cards5.425.405.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3490
85%
2.6
9629+67
3.7
91%
76%
41%
9.2
44%
5.5
76%
24.3
76%
414
146911762.80.9
59%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
7728+49
3.1
82%
62%
41%
10.5
59%
5.4
73%
23.6
71%
357
172771082.30.8
59%
3FC PortoFC Porto3472
65%
2.1
6327+36
2.6
76%
56%
24%
11.2
62%
7.1
88%
30.0
91%
467
2141051481.90.8
64%
4SC BragaSC Braga3468
62%
2.0
7150+21
3.6
82%
71%
47%
9.9
56%
5.1
73%
24.0
65%
165
4156682.11.5
57%
5GuimaraesGuimaraes3463
56%
1.9
5238+14
2.6
74%
56%
26%
11.6
71%
6.0
82%
26.8
82%
46
2211121.51.1
48%
6MoreirenseMoreirense3455
47%
1.6
3635+1
2.1
47%
35%
21%
9.4
32%
5.0
69%
27.8
85%
22
5891.11.0
46%
7AroucaArouca3446
38%
1.4
5450+4
3.1
79%
65%
35%
9.0
38%
5.7
74%
25.7
76%
28
11881.61.5
54%
8FamalicaoFamalicao3442
29%
1.2
3741-4
2.3
65%
44%
24%
9.7
44%
6.2
91%
31.6
94%
57
1620221.11.2
47%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3438
29%
1.1
3850-12
2.6
65%
47%
35%
10.1
47%
4.3
59%
26.6
79%
27
96121.11.5
44%
10FarenseFarense3437
29%
1.1
4651-5
2.9
79%
56%
35%
12.3
74%
4.7
68%
26.6
79%
8
3241.41.5
42%
11Rio AveRio Ave3437
18%
1.1
3843-5
2.4
79%
35%
21%
9.8
44%
5.8
82%
29.6
94%
37
88211.11.3
49%
12GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3436
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
74%
50%
29%
8.9
44%
4.7
69%
26.3
74%
29
118111.21.5
49%
13EstorilEstoril3433
26%
1.0
4958-9
3.1
71%
62%
47%
10.2
53%
5.6
75%
26.1
79%
42
248101.41.7
49%
14EstrelaEstrela3433
21%
1.0
3353-20
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.7
65%
4.7
68%
25.0
76%
20
63111.01.6
47%
15BoavistaBoavista3432
21%
0.9
3962-23
3.0
85%
53%
38%
9.9
47%
5.9
85%
28.8
97%
0
0001.11.8
48%
16PortimonensePortimonense3632
22%
0.9
4176-35
3.2
83%
64%
39%
11.1
67%
5.5
80%
27.2
89%
6
2131.12.1
46%
17VizelaVizela3426
15%
0.8
3666-30
3.0
71%
56%
44%
9.9
50%
5.2
82%
29.3
100%
12
5241.11.9
50%
18ChavesChaves3423
15%
0.7
3172-41
3.0
79%
62%
38%
10.2
56%
5.9
88%
28.6
97%
9
3240.92.1
43%
19AVSAVS26
100%
3.0
42+2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.5
50%
8.5
100%
32.0
100%
7
3232.01.0
35%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches