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Estrela vs SC Braga Result & Analysis

Date: 19/01/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 0-1
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
19%
23%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SC Braga
SC Braga
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.76
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.82
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Braga win✓ Hit
57.8%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.68
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D15L20W07L01L21W02L10W11D24LH·GUI27/10A·SPO01/11H·NAC10/11A·BEN23/11A·FAR29/11H·ARO09/12A·FC 16/12H·RIO23/12A·AVS28/12H·EST05/01
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.831.431.570.442.06
vs Stronger (10)0.502.601.002.330.292.71
vs Similar (20)1.101.451.551.360.561.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W10W22D03L33D20W12L21W21WA·LEI23/11H·18928/11A·AVS01/12H·EST06/12A·AS 12/12H·FAM16/12A·SAN22/12H·CAS29/12A·BEN04/01H·LUS15/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.171.871.331.401.00
vs Stronger (3)1.672.332.004.001.501.50
vs Similar (5)1.201.802.001.000.003.00
vs Weaker (22)1.730.861.821.181.640.55
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.83+10.2%
Under 2.5
38.2%
@ 1.95-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.7%
0-1 ✓
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
Estrela goals ↓
SC Braga goals →
01234
05.1%7.5%8.7%6.0%3.1%
13.7%11%9.9%6.8%3.5%
22.6%5.4%5.6%3.8%2.0%
31.0%2.0%2.1%1.4%0.7%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = SC Braga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Estrela is 1.09 points worse than SC Braga in terms of average points per game (0.85 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Estrela is 0.91 goals worse than SC Braga in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Estrela is 0.59 goals worse than SC Braga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.88).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Estrela is 12.3 percentage points worse than SC Braga in terms of average possession (45% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 4.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1503367564112763104212348613111599141478H·ESTA·AVSH·RIOA·FC H·AROA·FARH·NACA·SPOH·GUIA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

802122444422411423123484662453H·ESTA·AVSH·RIOA·FC H·AROA·FARH·NACA·SPOH·GUIA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 15.9 · Total 31.5

⚠️ Fouls

390201812131716191712191920101215131717151438253336313922283429H·ESTA·AVSH·RIOA·FC H·AROA·FARH·NACA·SPOH·GUIA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SC BragaSC Braga

For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

19028102221035143292195631012413195111059A·BENH·CASA·SANH·FAMA·AS H·ESTA·AVSH·189H·SPOA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

903423541313514154227591485194A·BENH·CASA·SANH·FAMA·AS H·ESTA·AVSH·189H·SPOA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

3901189141514121411918211612913201381319232926203928223321A·BENH·CASA·SANH·FAMA·AS H·ESTA·AVSH·189H·SPOA·IF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.911.24.64.84.427.428.526.3
vs Stronger (17)11.49.912.74.45.13.826.827.426.2
vs Similar (33)10.19.910.34.74.74.827.728.926.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%54%62%68%75%62%85%83%88%
% under line42%46%38%32%25%38%15%17%12%
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.310.34.74.84.625.026.023.9
vs Stronger (6)8.78.58.85.37.54.223.828.021.8
vs Similar (7)11.110.012.76.05.27.025.124.825.7
vs Weaker (37)10.410.610.24.44.54.325.226.124.1
% over line60%59%60%68%58%79%74%86%60%
% under line40%41%40%32%42%21%26%14%40%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.8
Nacional
11.5
Guimaraes
11.1
Estrela
10.7
Benfica
10.6
AVS
10.6
SC Braga
10.2
Estoril
10.1
Rio Ave
10.1
FC Porto
10.0
Casa Pia
10.0
Famalicao
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Vizela
9.9
Boavista
9.4
GIL Vicente
9.2
Sporting CP
9.1
Moreirense
9.0
Santa Clara
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.4
Famalicao
5.8
FC Porto
5.8
Boavista
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Arouca
5.5
AVS
5.3
SC Braga
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Estoril
5.2
Nacional
5.1
Vizela
5.0
Farense
5.0
Moreirense
4.9
Benfica
4.8
Estrela
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.7
Sporting CP
4.6
Casa Pia
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.4
Rio Ave
28.8
Moreirense
28.7
Santa Clara
28.6
FC Porto
27.8
Boavista
27.7
Nacional
27.3
Estoril
27.2
Estrela
27.0
Farense
26.8
GIL Vicente
26.7
Guimaraes
26.7
AVS
26.5
Casa Pia
26.4
Arouca
26.2
Vizela
25.8
SC Braga
24.7
Sporting CP
24.7
Benfica
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.5%
Under 3.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L00D03L01L01L01L10W10W03LH·GUI27/10A·SPO01/11H·NAC10/11A·BEN23/11A·FAR29/11H·ARO09/12A·FC 16/12H·RIO23/12A·AVS28/12H·EST05/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.900.570.860.120.94
vs Stronger (10)0.301.200.671.330.141.14
vs Similar (20)0.350.750.550.730.110.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W01L01L00D11D20W20WA·LEI23/11H·18928/11A·AVS01/12H·EST06/12A·AS 12/12H·FAM16/12A·SAN22/12H·CAS29/12A·BEN04/01H·LUS15/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.270.870.270.470.27
vs Stronger (3)1.330.332.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (5)0.400.600.670.330.001.00
vs Weaker (22)0.640.180.820.270.450.09
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L20W04L00D20W01L00D01L21WH·GUI27/10A·SPO01/11H·NAC10/11A·BEN23/11A·FAR29/11H·ARO09/12A·FC 16/12H·RIO23/12A·AVS28/12H·EST05/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.860.710.311.12
vs Stronger (10)0.201.400.331.000.141.57
vs Similar (20)0.750.701.000.640.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W12L02L32W20W01L01L01LA·LEI23/11H·18928/11A·AVS01/12H·EST06/12A·AS 12/12H·FAM16/12A·SAN22/12H·CAS29/12A·BEN04/01H·LUS15/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.901.001.070.930.73
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.004.000.501.00
vs Similar (5)0.801.201.330.670.002.00
vs Weaker (22)1.090.681.000.911.180.45
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls85.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho15%
Nani11%
Tiago Gabriel9%
André Luiz8%
Jovane Cabral8%
Chico Banza8%
Leonel Bucca6%
Diogo Travassos4%
Paulo Moreira4%
Alan Ruiz4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
João Costa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Caio Santana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alan Ruiz46%
Nani33%
Guilherme Montóia33%
Manu33%
Manuel Keliano32%
Ferro32%
Chico Banza31%
Igor Jesus29%
Danilo Veiga27%
Leonel Bucca26%
Till Cissokho25%
Diogo Travassos24%
Miguel Lopes19%
Tiago Gabriel18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Gerson Sousa17%
Jovane Cabral15%
Issiar Drame14%
Nilton Varela14%
Rúben Lima12%
Caio Santana12%
Kikas12%
Paulo Moreira12%
Léo Cordeiro11%
Amine Oudrhiri9%
Renato Pantalon8%
André Luiz8%
Bruno Brígido0%
João Costa0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Petterson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Henrique25%
Danilo Veiga13%
Rúben Lima8%
André Luiz8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Nilton Varela7%
Leonel Bucca6%
Manuel Keliano5%
Jovane Cabral4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Kikas3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Chico Banza0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rodrigo Pinho0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Jovane Cabral12%
André Luiz8%
Chico Banza8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Léo Cordeiro7%
Leonel Bucca3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
SC Braga
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruma29%
Fran Navarro25%
Ricardo Horta23%
Amine El Ouazzani20%
Afonso Patrao14%
Rodrigo Zalazar14%
Uroš Račić13%
Gabriel Martínez11%
Ismael Gharbi9%
Roger Fernandes8%
Sikou Niakaté7%
Robson Bambu5%
Roberto Fernández5%
Paulo Oliveira4%
João Moutinho3%
Vítor Carvalho3%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby3%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
Matheus0%
Adrián Marín0%
André Horta0%
João Ferreira0%
Victor Gómez0%
Bright Arrey-Mbi0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Joao Marques0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Diego Rodrigues0%
Ruben Furtado0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joao Marques50%
Robson Bambu35%
Uroš Račić33%
João Ferreira28%
Paulo Oliveira26%
Yuri Ribeiro25%
João Moutinho24%
Sikou Niakaté20%
Rodrigo Zalazar18%
Fran Navarro17%
Vítor Carvalho17%
Francisco Chissumba17%
Bright Arrey-Mbi14%
Ricardo Horta11%
Gabriel Martínez11%
Roberto Fernández10%
Ismael Gharbi9%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby9%
Roger Fernandes8%
Matheus4%
Bruma4%
Victor Gómez3%
Amine El Ouazzani2%
Adrián Marín0%
André Horta0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Diego Rodrigues0%
Ruben Furtado0%
Afonso Patrao0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruma25%
André Horta24%
Rodrigo Zalazar23%
Afonso Patrao14%
Ricardo Horta14%
Adrián Marín13%
Diego Rodrigues10%
Victor Gómez9%
Roger Fernandes8%
Uroš Račić7%
Ismael Gharbi6%
Francisco Chissumba6%
Gabriel Martínez5%
Roberto Fernández5%
João Moutinho3%
João Ferreira3%
Sikou Niakaté3%
Amine El Ouazzani2%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
Fran Navarro0%
Vítor Carvalho0%
Robson Bambu0%
Matheus0%
Paulo Oliveira0%
Bright Arrey-Mbi0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Joao Marques0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby0%
Ruben Furtado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruma21%
Rodrigo Zalazar18%
Roberto Fernández14%
Gabriel Martínez13%
Roger Fernandes13%
Ricardo Horta11%
Paulo Oliveira7%
Amine El Ouazzani5%
Vítor Carvalho3%
Sikou Niakaté3%
Ismael Gharbi3%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
Fran Navarro0%
João Moutinho0%
Robson Bambu0%
Matheus0%
Uroš Račić0%
Adrián Marín0%
André Horta0%
João Ferreira0%
Victor Gómez0%
Bright Arrey-Mbi0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Joao Marques0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby0%
Diego Rodrigues0%
Ruben Furtado0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Afonso Patrao0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Estrela's squad is €145m less valuable than SC Braga's (€20m vs €165m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Estrela's attack is €35m less valuable than SC Braga's (€6m vs €41m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Estrela's midfield is €53m less valuable than SC Braga's (€3m vs €56m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Estrela's defence is €57m less valuable than SC Braga's (€11m vs €68m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
EST wins
1
Draws
2
SB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs SC Braga · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24ASC Braga Vs EST1-1
02/03/24ASC Braga Vs EST3-0
28/09/23HEST Vs SC Braga2-4

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/25HEST Vs Estoril2-4
28/12/24AAVS Vs EST1-1
23/12/24HEST Vs Rio Ave1-0
16/12/24AFC Porto Vs EST2-0
09/12/24HEST Vs Arouca2-1
29/11/24AFarense Vs EST1-0
23/11/24ABenfica Vs EST7-0
10/11/24HEST Vs Nacional2-0
01/11/24ASporting CP Vs EST5-1
27/10/24HEST Vs Guimaraes2-2

SC BragaSC Braga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/25HSB Vs Lusitano Évora 19112-1
04/01/25ABenfica Vs SB1-2
29/12/24HSB Vs Casa Pia1-2
22/12/24ASanta Clara Vs SB0-2
16/12/24HSB Vs Famalicao3-3
12/12/24AAS Roma Vs SB3-0
06/12/24HSB Vs Estoril2-2
01/12/24AAVS Vs SB0-1
28/11/24HSB Vs 1899 Hoffenheim3-0
23/11/24ALeixoes Vs SB0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL0.94
HomeDWWWL1.33
AwayLLLLD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%38%4%
AVG goals2.683.002.38
Over 1.5 %72%75%69%
Over 2.5 %48%62%35%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored0.961.380.58
Conceded1.721.621.81
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners10.549.9211.17
Cards4.794.834.75
SC Braga
SC Braga
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.92
HomeWDDLW1.81
AwayWWLWW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%54%62%
AVG goals3.043.152.92
Over 1.5 %84%88%79%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.781.811.75
Conceded1.261.351.17
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet36%27%46%
Corners10.3110.3210.30
Cards5.135.005.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches