This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.83
1.53
1.93
1.27
1.73
vs Stronger (25)
1.36
2.04
1.50
2.08
1.23
2.00
vs Similar (5)
1.60
0.80
1.67
1.33
1.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
Eupen goals ↓
Mouscron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
4.5%
4.0%
1.9%
0.7%
1
5.9%
11%
7.3%
3.5%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.1%
6.6%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.8%
5.5%
4.0%
1.9%
0.7%
4
1.7%
2.5%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = Mouscron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.23
Anderlecht
1.83
Charleroi
1.70
Gent
1.67
Genk
1.47
Standard Liege
1.47
Kortrijk
1.40
Antwerp
1.37
Zulte Waregem
1.23
St. Truiden
1.23
Oostende
1.20
SK Beveren
1.17
Lokeren
1.03
Mouscron
1.00
Eupen
0.90
KV Mechelen
0.90
Eupen is 0.10 points worse than Mouscron in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.27
SK Beveren
1.67
Anderlecht
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.57
Charleroi
1.53
Gent
1.50
Genk
1.47
Standard Liege
1.43
Oostende
1.40
Kortrijk
1.40
Eupen
1.33
Mouscron
1.33
Antwerp
1.27
Lokeren
1.10
KV Mechelen
1.03
St. Truiden
0.97
Eupen and Mouscron are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gent
0.90
Charleroi
1.00
Club Brugge KV
1.10
Genk
1.20
Kortrijk
1.30
Antwerp
1.33
Oostende
1.37
St. Truiden
1.37
Standard Liege
1.37
Anderlecht
1.40
Lokeren
1.63
KV Mechelen
1.63
SK Beveren
1.70
Zulte Waregem
1.73
Eupen
1.90
Mouscron
1.97
Eupen is 0.07 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 1.97).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 4.4 · Against 8.6 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
M
Mouscron
For 3.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.0
10.1
2.9
3.0
2.9
-
-
-
vs Stronger (41)
10.3
10.6
10.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
11.6
13.5
10.3
2.8
3.3
2.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
64%
47%
44%
44%
44%
-
-
-
% under line
45%
36%
53%
56%
56%
56%
-
-
-
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.4
9.3
2.8
3.0
2.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (42)
9.2
8.4
9.9
2.7
3.1
2.3
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
7.2
8.3
5.5
3.6
2.7
6.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
27%
43%
44%
48%
40%
-
-
-
% under line
66%
73%
57%
56%
52%
60%
-
-
-
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kortrijk
12.2
Oostende
11.1
Lokeren
10.8
Anderlecht
10.8
SK Beveren
10.6
Eupen
10.5
Gent
10.4
Zulte Waregem
10.3
Club Brugge KV
10.2
Antwerp
10.1
Standard Liege
9.8
Genk
9.7
KV Mechelen
9.5
St. Truiden
9.2
Mouscron
8.8
Charleroi
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
6.0
Gent
5.8
St. Truiden
5.4
Zulte Waregem
5.1
Eupen
5.1
KV Mechelen
5.0
Mouscron
4.9
Genk
4.8
Oostende
4.6
Antwerp
4.6
Anderlecht
4.6
Charleroi
4.6
Kortrijk
4.6
Lokeren
4.5
Club Brugge KV
4.4
SK Beveren
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.4%
Under 3.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.87
0.60
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (25)
0.68
0.96
0.77
0.54
0.58
1.42
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.60
1.50
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.93
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (25)
0.64
0.76
0.75
0.92
0.54
0.62
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.10
0.60
1.07
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (25)
0.52
1.04
0.54
1.15
0.50
0.92
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.40
1.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.10
0.87
1.00
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (25)
0.72
1.28
0.75
1.17
0.69
1.38
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.20
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →