This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.57
1.27
1.20
1.13
1.93
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.25
1.50
1.50
1.25
3.00
vs Similar (16)
0.88
1.56
0.88
1.25
0.88
1.88
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.67
2.00
0.67
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.81+2.5%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 1.99-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Eupen goals ↓
St. Truiden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
7.1%
6.1%
3.0%
1.1%
1
6.8%
13%
8.5%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.6%
8.2%
6.0%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.6%
3.9%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = St. Truiden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Eupen is 0.15 points better than St. Truiden in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Eupen is 0.09 goals better than St. Truiden in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Eupen is 0.09 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
For 4.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 14.8 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.5
4.0
3.4
4.6
27.9
28.5
27.4
vs Stronger (42)
9.6
10.2
9.1
4.1
3.5
4.7
28.0
28.7
27.4
vs Similar (8)
11.1
10.2
12.0
3.4
2.8
4.0
27.2
27.0
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
62%
50%
58%
42%
73%
88%
87%
88%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
42%
58%
27%
12%
13%
12%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.6
4.5
4.6
4.4
27.1
28.9
25.3
vs Stronger (13)
10.3
11.4
9.0
4.5
4.7
4.2
27.4
30.0
25.4
vs Similar (25)
10.6
10.7
10.5
4.0
3.9
4.2
26.9
28.0
25.8
vs Weaker (12)
9.2
9.8
8.7
5.5
6.4
4.9
27.1
29.5
24.0
% over line
52%
56%
48%
60%
60%
60%
88%
100%
75%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
40%
40%
40%
12%
0%
25%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
OH Leuven
10.7
Oostende
10.5
St. Truiden
10.2
SK Beveren
10.2
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
10.0
Antwerp
9.9
Eupen
9.9
KV Mechelen
9.7
Club Brugge KV
9.7
Standard Liege
9.6
Kortrijk
9.6
Anderlecht
9.5
Cercle Brugge
9.5
Mouscron
9.5
Gent
9.4
Zulte Waregem
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
4.8
Antwerp
4.7
Anderlecht
4.5
St. Truiden
4.5
Cercle Brugge
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Gent
4.2
Mouscron
4.2
SK Beveren
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.1
Charleroi
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
Eupen
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
OH Leuven
3.7
Beerschot VA
3.7
Oostende
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.5
Charleroi
29.3
Antwerp
28.3
SK Beveren
28.3
Standard Liege
28.3
Anderlecht
28.2
Eupen
27.9
Cercle Brugge
27.8
Zulte Waregem
27.3
KV Mechelen
27.3
Club Brugge KV
27.2
St. Truiden
27.1
Oostende
26.8
Mouscron
26.8
Genk
26.5
Gent
26.5
Beerschot VA
25.0
OH Leuven
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.5%
Under 21.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.57
0.79
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (26)
0.46
0.88
0.58
0.83
0.36
0.93
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.47
0.33
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (16)
0.25
0.56
0.25
0.00
0.25
1.12
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.36
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (26)
0.35
0.69
0.25
0.67
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.80
0.87
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.62
1.00
0.62
1.25
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Matsuzawa33%
Ryan Merlen25%
I. Sebaoui25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Ishiwatari75%
J. Pupe33%
A. Sissako25%
L. Kokubo25%
Ryan Merlen25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
V. Musliu0%
T. Hata0%
I. Sebaoui0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Kortrijk
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren