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Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Result & Analysis

Date: 04/11/2023
Time: 17:45
Final 1-1
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
14%
22%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win✗ Miss
14.4%
Avg Implied 12.9% · @ 7.36
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.99
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar win✗ Miss
63.7%
Avg Implied 68.1% · @ 1.39
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-443W22D22D13L00D30W21W00D24L13LA·NEC13/08H·AJA19/08H·FOR26/08A·HER02/09H·ALM17/09A·HEE23/09H·SPA01/10A·VIT07/10H·PEC22/10A·FC 29/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.731.381.500.792.00
vs Stronger (9)0.782.670.602.201.003.25
vs Similar (21)1.241.331.731.180.701.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W34L30W11D40W10W21W30W14LA·VIT03/09H·SPA17/09A·ZRI21/09A·PEC24/09H·HER28/09H·FOR01/10H·LEG05/10A·AJA08/10H·HEE21/10H·AST26/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.972.000.821.921.15
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (8)1.001.381.251.500.751.25
vs Weaker (21)2.380.762.330.502.441.11
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.52-4.1%
Under 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.49+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.8%
1-1 ✓
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
Excelsior goals ↓
AZ Alkmaar goals →
01234
05.9%9.4%11%7.6%4.0%
13.5%10%9.9%6.9%3.6%
22.1%4.3%4.5%3.2%1.7%
30.6%1.3%1.4%1.0%0.5%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = AZ Alkmaar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.68
Feyenoord
2.47
NAC Breda
2.17
Twente
2.03
AZ Alkmaar
1.91
Ajax
1.65
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Utrecht
1.50
Sparta Rotterdam
1.40
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
Emmen
1.25
Fortuna Sittard
1.12
Heerenveen
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.06
Almere City FC
1.00
Excelsior
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Heracles
0.97
Waalwijk
0.85
Vitesse
0.71
FC Volendam
0.56
Dordrecht
0.50
De Graafschap
0.50
Roda
0.00
Excelsior is 0.91 points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.26
NAC Breda
3.17
Feyenoord
2.71
Ajax
2.18
AZ Alkmaar
2.06
Twente
2.03
De Graafschap
2.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.97
ADO Den Haag
1.75
Excelsior
1.71
Heerenveen
1.56
Sparta Rotterdam
1.49
Utrecht
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
PEC Zwolle
1.32
Heracles
1.21
Waalwijk
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
FC Volendam
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Almere City FC
0.97
Vitesse
0.88
Roda
0.50
Excelsior is 0.35 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 2.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.62
Feyenoord
0.76
Twente
1.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.33
NAC Breda
1.33
Utrecht
1.36
Sparta Rotterdam
1.46
Dordrecht
1.50
Emmen
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Fortuna Sittard
1.65
Waalwijk
1.65
Almere City FC
1.74
Ajax
1.79
PEC Zwolle
1.97
Heerenveen
2.06
Excelsior
2.16
Vitesse
2.18
Heracles
2.18
De Graafschap
2.50
FC Volendam
2.59
ADO Den Haag
3.25
Roda
4.00
Excelsior is 1.01 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.16 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
65%
Feyenoord
62%
Ajax
60%
Dordrecht
59%
De Graafschap
58%
Twente
56%
AZ Alkmaar
55%
Roda
53%
Vitesse
50%
Heerenveen
50%
PEC Zwolle
49%
NAC Breda
49%
NEC Nijmegen
48%
Utrecht
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Excelsior
46%
Heracles
46%
GO Ahead Eagles
45%
Waalwijk
45%
Almere City FC
44%
ADO Den Haag
44%
Emmen
44%
Fortuna Sittard
43%
FC Volendam
41%
Excelsior is 8.1 percentage points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average possession (46% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 3.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1606824511272345186410721461695996149A·FC H·PECA·VITH·SPAA·HEEH·ALMA·HERH·FORH·AJAA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

602122412423511221322565633A·FC H·PECA·VITH·SPAA·HEEH·ALMA·HERH·FORA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 8.9 · Total 18.2

⚠️ Fouls

2301358101199141112713126597710418182023232018141414A·FC H·PECA·VITH·SPAA·HEEH·ALMA·HERH·FORH·AJAA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

For 6.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

160416346261316629194959108416810139H·ASTH·HEEA·AJAH·LEGH·FORH·HERA·PECA·ZRIH·SPAA·VIT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

503211122113132314335233445533H·ASTH·HEEA·AJAH·LEGH·FORH·HERA·PECA·ZRIH·SPAA·VIT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

2701212310127141314129981415586101224131927261822201422H·ASTH·HEEA·AJAH·LEGH·FORH·HERA·PECA·ZRIH·SPAA·VIT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.610.70.90.81.018.317.618.9
vs Stronger (18)10.512.58.50.60.20.916.014.517.5
vs Similar (32)9.57.011.31.11.11.119.118.819.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%29%56%10%8%12%19%14%22%
% under line56%71%44%90%92%88%81%86%78%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.88.31.91.82.121.821.722.0
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (12)7.17.07.22.52.82.219.521.217.8
vs Weaker (36)9.29.68.91.91.62.222.921.924.1
% over line32%31%33%26%23%29%48%46%50%
% under line68%69%67%74%77%71%52%54%50%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Excelsior
11.6
FC Volendam
10.9
Heerenveen
10.5
Heracles
10.5
PSV Eindhoven
10.5
Roda
10.1
Almere City FC
10.0
Utrecht
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
De Graafschap
9.9
Ajax
9.9
Emmen
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Vitesse
9.8
ADO Den Haag
9.8
GO Ahead Eagles
9.7
Sparta Rotterdam
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
PEC Zwolle
9.7
Dordrecht
9.5
Waalwijk
9.5
NAC Breda
9.5
AZ Alkmaar
9.0
Twente
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Twente
4.3
Dordrecht
4.2
Roda
4.1
Almere City FC
4.0
NAC Breda
4.0
Heracles
3.8
Vitesse
3.7
ADO Den Haag
3.7
FC Volendam
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
Feyenoord
3.5
Ajax
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Emmen
3.4
AZ Alkmaar
3.4
Utrecht
3.3
De Graafschap
3.2
Fortuna Sittard
3.1
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
GO Ahead Eagles
3.0
Excelsior
2.9
Waalwijk
2.9
Heerenveen
2.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Almere City FC
24.3
Twente
24.2
Dordrecht
24.2
Heracles
23.0
Roda
22.7
Vitesse
22.3
ADO Den Haag
22.0
Emmen
22.0
NAC Breda
22.0
NEC Nijmegen
21.9
Utrecht
21.6
Fortuna Sittard
21.1
PEC Zwolle
20.7
Feyenoord
20.5
AZ Alkmaar
20.5
Waalwijk
20.4
Ajax
20.2
De Graafschap
20.1
Excelsior
20.1
PSV Eindhoven
19.6
FC Volendam
19.5
GO Ahead Eagles
18.8
Sparta Rotterdam
18.7
Heerenveen
17.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.5%
Under 9.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
35.5%
Under 21.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D10W10W00D20W00D00D10W10WA·NEC13/08H·AJA19/08H·FOR26/08A·HER02/09H·ALM17/09A·HEE23/09H·SPA01/10A·VIT07/10H·PEC22/10A·FC 29/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.620.380.360.93
vs Stronger (9)0.331.560.401.000.252.25
vs Similar (21)0.570.240.730.090.400.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W30W10W10W10W00D10W10W02LA·VIT03/09H·SPA17/09A·ZRI21/09A·PEC24/09H·HER28/09H·FOR01/10H·LEG05/10A·AJA08/10H·HEE21/10H·AST26/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.331.000.290.920.38
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.750.750.500.25
vs Weaker (21)1.140.291.170.171.110.44
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W11D12L03L00D10W21W00D14L03LA·NEC13/08H·AJA19/08H·FOR26/08A·HER02/09H·ALM17/09A·HEE23/09H·SPA01/10A·VIT07/10H·PEC22/10A·FC 29/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.100.751.120.431.07
vs Stronger (9)0.441.110.201.200.751.00
vs Similar (21)0.671.101.001.090.301.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D04L20W01L30W10W11D20W12LA·VIT03/09H·SPA17/09A·ZRI21/09A·PEC24/09H·HER28/09H·FOR01/10H·LEG05/10A·AJA08/10H·HEE21/10H·AST26/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.000.531.000.77
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (8)0.380.880.500.750.251.00
vs Weaker (21)1.240.481.170.331.330.67
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls88.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott41%
Lance Duijvestijn35%
Nikolas Agrafiotis28%
Couhaib Driouech23%
Kik Pierie20%
Lazaros Lamprou19%
Oscar Uddenäs13%
Julian Baas11%
Richie Omorowa8%
Siebe Horemans8%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Sven Nieuwpoort4%
Cisse Sandra3%
Arthur Zagre3%
Casper Widell3%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Siem de Moes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Siem de Moes33%
Arthur Zagre23%
Julian Baas22%
Ian Smeulers17%
Couhaib Driouech13%
Siebe Horemans13%
Mike van Duinen12%
Lazaros Lamprou12%
Serano Seymor11%
Kian Fitz-Jim10%
Kenzo Goudmijn9%
Sven Nieuwpoort9%
Mimeirhel Benita8%
Troy Parrott7%
Redouan El Yaakoubi7%
Cisse Sandra7%
Lance Duijvestijn6%
Oscar Uddenäs4%
Richie Omorowa4%
Noah Naujoks4%
Casper Widell3%
Kik Pierie0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lazaros Lamprou25%
Couhaib Driouech23%
Lance Duijvestijn18%
Troy Parrott17%
Arthur Zagre16%
Kenzo Goudmijn14%
Nikolas Agrafiotis11%
Siebe Horemans11%
Kian Fitz-Jim10%
Redouan El Yaakoubi10%
Richie Omorowa8%
Cisse Sandra7%
Julian Baas5%
Noah Naujoks4%
Mimeirhel Benita4%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes3%
Mike van Duinen0%
Kik Pierie0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Casper Widell0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Serano Seymor0%
Siem de Moes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Troy Parrott28%
Lazaros Lamprou19%
Couhaib Driouech10%
Lance Duijvestijn6%
Nikolas Agrafiotis6%
Redouan El Yaakoubi3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Kik Pierie0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Casper Widell0%
Julian Baas0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Serano Seymor0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Siem de Moes0%
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis61%
Dani de Wit26%
Mayckel Lahdo24%
Ruben van Bommel19%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos17%
Ibrahim Sadiq14%
Sven Mijnans13%
Mees de Wit9%
Myron Van Brederode9%
Yukinari Sugawara8%
Đorđe Mihailović6%
Jordy Clasie6%
Bruno Martins Indi5%
Jens Odgaard4%
Tiago Dantas4%
Ernest Poku4%
David Möller Wolfe2%
Mathew Ryan0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Riechedly Bazoer0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Denso Kasius0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Jayden Addai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Belić43%
Dani de Wit21%
Jordy Clasie19%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos17%
Bruno Martins Indi16%
Riechedly Bazoer15%
Ibrahim Sadiq14%
David Möller Wolfe14%
Wouter Goes12%
Sven Mijnans11%
Jayden Addai10%
Mees de Wit9%
Kenzo Goudmijn8%
Vangelis Pavlidis7%
Ruben van Bommel5%
Mathew Ryan5%
Yukinari Sugawara5%
Mayckel Lahdo5%
Ernest Poku4%
Alexandre Penetra3%
Myron Van Brederode3%
Jens Odgaard0%
Tiago Dantas0%
Đorđe Mihailović0%
Denso Kasius0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mayckel Lahdo29%
Yukinari Sugawara20%
Lequincio Zeefuik17%
Bruno Martins Indi16%
Ibrahim Sadiq14%
Vangelis Pavlidis14%
Sven Mijnans13%
Dani de Wit12%
Myron Van Brederode12%
Jordy Clasie8%
Ernest Poku7%
Kristijan Belić7%
Đorđe Mihailović6%
Riechedly Bazoer5%
Denso Kasius5%
David Möller Wolfe5%
Jens Odgaard4%
Tiago Dantas4%
Alexandre Penetra3%
Ruben van Bommel3%
Mathew Ryan0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Mees de Wit0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Jayden Addai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis59%
Dani de Wit14%
Sven Mijnans13%
Ruben van Bommel8%
Yukinari Sugawara8%
Ernest Poku7%
Jordy Clasie6%
Ibrahim Sadiq5%
Mayckel Lahdo5%
Tiago Dantas4%
Myron Van Brederode3%
David Möller Wolfe2%
Mathew Ryan0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jens Odgaard0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Riechedly Bazoer0%
Đorđe Mihailović0%
Mees de Wit0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Denso Kasius0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Jayden Addai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
Excelsior's squad is €119m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€16m vs €136m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
EMM (6)
€1m
Excelsior's attack is €54m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€7m vs €61m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
Excelsior's midfield is €19m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€3m vs €21m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
Excelsior's defence is €47m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€6m vs €54m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
EXC wins
2
Draws
3
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
10/02/23AAZ Alkmaar Vs EXC5-0
23/10/22HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar2-1
15/05/19HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar4-2
15/12/18AAZ Alkmaar Vs EXC2-1
03/03/18HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar1-2
24/09/17AAZ Alkmaar Vs EXC0-2
05/03/17AAZ Alkmaar Vs EXC1-1
03/12/16HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar3-3

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23AFC Volendam Vs EXC3-1
22/10/23HEXC Vs PEC Zwolle2-4
07/10/23AVitesse Vs EXC0-0
01/10/23HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam2-1
23/09/23AHeerenveen Vs EXC0-3
17/09/23HEXC Vs Almere City FC0-0
02/09/23AHeracles Vs EXC3-1
26/08/23HEXC Vs Fortuna Sittard2-2
19/08/23HEXC Vs Ajax2-2
13/08/23ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC3-4

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/23HAA Vs Aston Villa1-4
21/10/23HAA Vs Heerenveen3-0
08/10/23AAjax Vs AA1-2
05/10/23HAA Vs Legia Warszawa1-0
01/10/23HAA Vs Fortuna Sittard4-0
28/09/23HAA Vs Heracles1-1
24/09/23APEC Zwolle Vs AA0-3
21/09/23AZrinjski Vs AA4-3
17/09/23HAA Vs Sparta Rotterdam2-0
03/09/23AVitesse Vs AA0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.04
HomeDDDWL1.50
AwayWLWDL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%42%15%
AVG goals3.363.043.65
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %46%38%54%
Scored1.241.461.04
Conceded2.121.582.62
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners9.758.5710.67
Cards2.933.002.89
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.90
HomeDWWWL2.04
AwayDWLWW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals3.023.192.83
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.942.151.71
Conceded1.081.041.12
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners8.568.778.33
Cards3.883.624.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3491
85%
2.7
11121+90
3.9
94%
71%
62%
10.3
65%
3.0
35%
17.6
24%
280
106601153.30.6
65%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3484
76%
2.5
9226+66
3.5
79%
71%
56%
10.6
65%
3.3
38%
19.7
41%
229
9343932.70.8
62%
3TwenteTwente3469
62%
2.0
6936+33
3.1
76%
68%
32%
10.2
59%
3.7
53%
21.3
41%
87
3413392.01.1
56%
4AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3465
56%
1.9
7039+31
3.2
91%
68%
38%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.9
50%
136
6121542.11.1
55%
5AjaxAjax3456
44%
1.6
7461+13
4.0
97%
82%
68%
9.6
56%
3.3
39%
19.0
29%
173
9515632.21.8
60%
6UtrechtUtrecht3654
39%
1.5
5349+4
2.8
75%
42%
33%
10.8
67%
3.5
33%
20.9
47%
61
3314151.51.4
48%
7NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3553
40%
1.5
6953+16
3.5
94%
71%
46%
10.9
63%
3.8
55%
20.0
37%
54
225262.01.5
48%
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3650
36%
1.4
5048+2
2.7
83%
50%
28%
10.8
64%
3.0
34%
19.3
31%
22
9481.41.3
45%
9Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3549
40%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
86%
57%
34%
11.1
60%
3.1
38%
18.4
26%
28
142121.51.5
47%
10ExcelsiorExcelsior3838
24%
1.0
6582-17
3.9
95%
82%
55%
10.0
50%
3.8
45%
17.0
13%
16
7361.72.2
46%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3438
26%
1.1
3756-19
2.7
71%
56%
41%
9.7
53%
3.7
55%
20.7
41%
17
6471.11.6
43%
12HeerenveenHeerenveen3437
29%
1.1
5370-17
3.6
97%
71%
47%
10.8
62%
2.8
28%
19.4
29%
50
246201.62.1
50%
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3436
26%
1.1
4567-22
3.3
91%
65%
44%
10.3
65%
3.7
53%
19.4
35%
21
84101.32.0
49%
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC3434
21%
1.0
3359-26
2.7
76%
50%
32%
10.2
74%
3.9
50%
24.0
68%
10
5231.01.7
44%
15HeraclesHeracles3433
26%
1.0
4174-33
3.4
88%
71%
53%
11.9
79%
3.6
53%
21.1
44%
8
4131.22.2
46%
16WaalwijkWaalwijk3429
21%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
76%
53%
35%
11.0
65%
3.1
32%
19.9
41%
8
3131.11.6
45%
17VitesseVitesse3424
18%
0.7
3074-44
3.1
82%
59%
44%
11.2
62%
3.6
47%
21.8
50%
7
4120.92.2
50%
18FC VolendamFC Volendam3419
12%
0.6
3488-54
3.6
85%
68%
53%
11.3
68%
3.4
41%
17.2
18%
6
2131.02.6
41%
19NAC BredaNAC Breda613
67%
2.2
198+11
4.5
100%
83%
67%
9.5
50%
4.0
67%
19.8
33%
10
4243.21.3
49%
20EmmenEmmen45
25%
1.2
46-2
2.5
75%
50%
25%
10.5
50%
3.8
50%
22.0
50%
5
1211.01.5
44%
21ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag44
25%
1.0
713-6
5.0
100%
100%
75%
11.8
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
25%
13
7151.83.2
44%
22De GraafschapDe Graafschap21
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
14.5
100%
4.0
50%
20.0
0%
6
2222.02.5
58%
23DordrechtDordrecht21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
4.0
50%
22.0
50%
6
2221.01.5
59%
24RodaRoda20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
11.5
50%
4.0
100%
19.5
50%
8
4220.54.0
53%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches