Excelsior face a tough challenge at home as the model favours an away win for NEC Nijmegen, with a 53% chance of victory compared to 23% for a home win and 24% for a draw. The expected total goals hover around 3.1, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.1% chance. Excelsior’s home form shows a modest 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against stronger opposition, while NEC’s away form is stronger, averaging 2.6 scored and 2.2 conceded against weaker teams. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 87%, Over 1.5 goals at 83.1% (hit), Under 25.5 fouls at 78.4% (hit), and Under 4.5 cards at 74.3%. The home win probability is 23%, the draw 24%, and the away win 53%.
Results analysis
The latest Eredivisie clash saw NEC Nijmegen’s away form continue its upward swing, extending a win after a 3-1 triumph over PEC Zwolle, while Excelsior returned from a 2-1 victory at Sparta Rotterdam. The model’s pre-match favourite, an away win at 53% probability, proved correct as NEC secured a 0-2 victory. The model also predicted an over 1.5 total, a hit with 83.1% confidence, and an under 25.5 fouls, also a hit at 78.4%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.7%) did not materialise, but the overall predictions were largely accurate, confirming the model’s assessment of NEC’s advantage.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Excelsior win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.87
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen win✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.91
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Excelsior
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.63
1.00
1.36
1.00
1.88
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
2.17
1.20
1.60
0.86
2.57
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.28
0.89
1.22
1.11
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
1.73
2.36
1.71
2.25
1.75
vs Stronger (8)
2.62
2.00
2.50
2.50
2.75
1.50
vs Similar (14)
2.07
1.57
2.43
1.57
1.71
1.57
vs Weaker (8)
2.38
1.75
2.00
1.00
2.60
2.20
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.48-1.9%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.49+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2 ✓
8.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
Excelsior goals ↓
NEC Nijmegen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
7.3%
8.0%
5.1%
2.5%
1
4.3%
11%
9.7%
6.2%
3.0%
2
3.2%
6.2%
5.9%
3.8%
1.8%
3
1.3%
2.5%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = NEC Nijmegen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Excelsior is 0.62 points worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Excelsior is 1.00 goals worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Excelsior is 0.09 goals worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Excelsior is 9.1 percentage points worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of average possession (48% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Excelsior
For 4.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 8.2 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NEC Nijmegen
For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Excelsior
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.2
2.9
2.9
2.9
22.3
21.7
22.8
vs Stronger (13)
9.9
7.6
11.6
2.2
2.2
2.1
19.4
18.4
20.1
vs Similar (36)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.2
3.2
3.3
23.2
22.6
23.9
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
48%
50%
46%
32%
25%
38%
52%
50%
54%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
68%
75%
62%
48%
50%
46%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.2
3.8
3.8
3.8
22.9
22.1
23.7
vs Stronger (12)
10.7
10.0
11.3
4.7
5.7
3.7
23.3
21.3
25.3
vs Similar (24)
10.3
10.9
10.0
3.8
3.4
3.9
23.1
22.9
23.2
vs Weaker (14)
8.9
8.8
9.2
3.1
2.9
3.6
22.4
21.9
23.2
% over line
56%
50%
62%
52%
54%
50%
58%
54%
62%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
48%
46%
50%
42%
46%
38%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PSV Eindhoven
10.9
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
Fortuna Sittard
10.7
Heracles
10.5
FC Volendam
10.4
Telstar
10.3
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
Heerenveen
10.0
Excelsior
10.0
NAC Breda
9.8
Groningen
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.7
Ajax
9.6
Feyenoord
9.6
Utrecht
9.6
Twente
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.2
NEC Nijmegen
4.0
Twente
3.9
NAC Breda
3.8
Feyenoord
3.8
Ajax
3.7
Heracles
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
Sparta Rotterdam
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Groningen
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Excelsior
3.2
Telstar
3.2
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fortuna Sittard
24.4
Heracles
24.1
NEC Nijmegen
22.9
Utrecht
22.9
FC Volendam
22.9
Feyenoord
22.7
Telstar
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Excelsior
22.3
AZ Alkmaar
22.3
NAC Breda
22.2
Ajax
21.9
Twente
21.2
Heerenveen
21.1
Groningen
20.3
GO Ahead Eagles
19.6
Sparta Rotterdam
19.3
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 3.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.9%
Under 21.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Excelsior
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.50
0.43
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.39
0.44
0.11
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.97
1.00
1.07
1.00
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.38
1.25
1.75
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.75
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Excelsior
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.00
0.50
0.93
0.44
1.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.17
0.60
0.60
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.89
0.44
1.11
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NEC Nijmegen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.77
1.36
0.64
1.25
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
0.62
1.25
0.75
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (14)
1.14
0.71
1.43
0.57
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.67
1.60
1.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
NEC Nijmegen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kento Shiogai43%
Bryan Linssen33%
Başar Önal26%
Tjaronn Chery24%
Koki Ogawa24%
Sami Ouaissa22%
Noe Lebreton19%
Rober González17%
Youssef El Kachati14%
Darko Nejašmić12%
Dirk Wanner Proper12%
Thomas Ouwejan11%
Vito van Crooij10%
Danilo8%
Eli Dasa8%
Kodai Sano8%
Ahmetcan Kaplan7%
Virgil Misidjan5%
Philippe Sandler3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Jetro Willems0%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Gonzalo Crettaz0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Brayann Pereira0%
Deveron Fonville0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ahmetcan Kaplan33%
Philippe Sandler31%
Bryan Linssen19%
Noe Lebreton19%
Willum Thor Willumsson17%
Sami Ouaissa16%
Başar Önal15%
Bram Nuytinck12%
Deveron Fonville12%
Vito van Crooij10%
Darko Nejašmić9%
Gonzalo Crettaz9%
Tjaronn Chery8%
Dirk Wanner Proper8%
Kodai Sano8%
Brayann Pereira7%
Kento Shiogai7%
Virgil Misidjan5%
Eli Dasa4%
Koki Ogawa3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Danilo0%
Rober González0%
Jetro Willems0%
Thomas Ouwejan0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Calvin Verdonk25%
Thomas Ouwejan22%
Noe Lebreton22%
Kodai Sano21%
Tjaronn Chery19%
Başar Önal18%
Rober González17%
Bryan Linssen17%
Sami Ouaissa16%
Brayann Pereira11%
Philippe Sandler10%
Koki Ogawa10%
Virgil Misidjan10%
Vito van Crooij10%
Youssef El Kachati9%
Deveron Fonville9%
Danilo8%
Dirk Wanner Proper4%
Darko Nejašmić3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Jetro Willems0%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Eli Dasa0%
Gonzalo Crettaz0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tjaronn Chery35%
Bryan Linssen22%
Koki Ogawa17%
Noe Lebreton15%
Sami Ouaissa14%
Başar Önal9%
Kodai Sano8%
Kento Shiogai7%
Youssef El Kachati5%
Eli Dasa4%
Ahmetcan Kaplan3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Danilo0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Rober González0%
Jetro Willems0%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Darko Nejašmić0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Thomas Ouwejan0%
Vito van Crooij0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Gonzalo Crettaz0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Brayann Pereira0%
Deveron Fonville0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Excelsior's squad is €37m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€16m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Excelsior's attack is €15m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€7m vs €22m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Excelsior's midfield is €3m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Excelsior's defence is €19m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€6m vs €26m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
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PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Heracles