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Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 1-2
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
18%
21%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 9.7% · @ 9.66
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied 14.5% · @ 6.50
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven win✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W20W50W12L05L12L14L10W01L21WA·FC 20/04H·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08H·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.231.600.601.731.87
vs Stronger (5)1.202.801.001.001.334.00
vs Similar (24)1.750.961.670.581.831.33
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W41W31W61W20W42W02L53W13L22DA·FEY11/05H·HER14/05A·SPA18/05H·SPA09/08A·TWE17/08H·GRO23/08H·TEL30/08A·NEC13/09H·UNI16/09H·AJA21/09
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.531.732.391.782.751.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.822.271.572.432.252.00
vs Weaker (19)2.951.422.911.363.001.50
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.5%
@ 1.28-4.7%
Under 2.5
31.5%
@ 3.49+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2 ✓
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
0-3
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
Excelsior goals ↓
PSV Eindhoven goals →
01234
03.8%5.9%7.8%6.0%3.4%
12.8%9.1%9.5%7.3%4.2%
22.2%5.1%5.9%4.5%2.6%
30.9%2.1%2.4%1.8%1.1%
40.3%0.6%0.7%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = PSV Eindhoven goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Excelsior is 1.35 points worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Excelsior is 1.71 goals worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 2.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Excelsior is 0.32 goals worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Excelsior is 13.3 percentage points worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of average possession (48% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 4.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

130357214575627431036518951211971366A·FC H·SPAH·TWEA·UTRH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

60235132211221121115652241321A·FC H·SPAH·TWEH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 9.6 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

300191111813111561781414179118161417730192421252826193024A·FC H·SPAH·TWEA·UTRH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

For 8.1 · Against 4.2 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

14095774810364688591011211414121310141391113H·AJAH·UNIA·NECH·TELH·GROA·TWEH·SPAA·SPAH·HERA·FEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

702552112211121332327722323625H·AJAA·NECH·TELH·GROA·TWEH·SPAA·SPAA·FEYH·FORA·TWE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

30017139918810111111121082897814730182621222210171521H·AJAH·UNIA·NECH·TELH·GROA·TWEH·SPAA·SPAH·HERA·FEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.73.43.23.622.522.222.8
vs Stronger (5)9.28.010.51.83.50.724.524.524.5
vs Similar (43)9.69.69.53.63.34.022.321.922.8
vs Weaker (2)12.012.012.03.01.05.021.523.020.0
% over line49%50%48%48%44%52%53%54%52%
% under line51%50%52%52%56%48%47%46%48%
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.410.23.02.63.618.718.219.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)10.910.611.53.83.83.822.522.822.2
vs Weaker (34)10.811.89.72.61.93.516.915.618.3
% over line63%80%43%40%31%52%30%24%38%
% under line37%20%57%60%69%48%70%76%62%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Heracles
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
FC Volendam
10.4
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
Telstar
10.2
Utrecht
10.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.1
Excelsior
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.7
PEC Zwolle
9.5
Twente
9.5
Heerenveen
9.4
NAC Breda
9.4
Ajax
9.0
Groningen
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.7
Ajax
4.5
Twente
4.0
Utrecht
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.8
Excelsior
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Heracles
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
Heerenveen
3.3
Telstar
3.3
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.9
Ajax
24.1
FC Volendam
23.3
Heracles
23.3
AZ Alkmaar
22.3
Fortuna Sittard
22.3
Excelsior
22.2
Twente
22.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
PEC Zwolle
21.7
Heerenveen
21.6
Utrecht
21.5
Groningen
21.4
Feyenoord
21.0
NAC Breda
21.0
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
18.5
Sparta Rotterdam
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.1%
Under 9.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.1%
Under 3.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
38.7%
Under 21.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W20W11D01L12L02L00D00D11DA·FC 20/04H·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08H·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.670.400.730.60
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.501.000.331.00
vs Similar (24)0.750.420.670.330.830.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W10W30W10W11D01L31W02L11DA·FEY11/05H·HER14/05A·SPA18/05H·SPA09/08A·TWE17/08H·GRO23/08H·TEL30/08A·NEC13/09H·UNI16/09H·AJA21/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.801.330.831.330.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.911.270.861.291.001.25
vs Weaker (19)1.580.531.640.551.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D30W01L04L00D12L10W01L10WA·FC 20/04H·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08H·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.730.930.201.001.27
vs Stronger (5)0.801.800.500.001.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.000.541.000.251.000.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L21W31W10W31W01L22D11D11DA·FEY11/05H·HER14/05A·SPA18/05H·SPA09/08A·TWE17/08H·GRO23/08H·TEL30/08A·NEC13/09H·UNI16/09H·AJA21/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.931.060.941.420.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.911.000.711.141.250.75
vs Weaker (19)1.370.891.270.821.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls87.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards84.6%--------
Under 23.5 fouls76.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.0%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
PSV Eindhoven
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruben van Bommel57%
Ricardo Pepi52%
Ismael Saibari42%
Guus Til36%
Dennis Man29%
Ivan Perišić21%
Joey Veerman20%
Couhaib Driouech18%
Myron Boadu18%
Paul Wanner16%
Esmir Bajraktarević11%
Yarek Gasiorowski8%
Armando Obispo8%
Kiliann Sildillia8%
Noah Fernandez8%
Ryan Flamingo7%
Mauro Júnior3%
Sergiño Dest3%
Jerdy Schouten3%
Matěj Kovář0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Joel Van Den Berg0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Wanner19%
Ivan Perišić17%
Joel Van Den Berg17%
Jerdy Schouten15%
Couhaib Driouech15%
Noah Fernandez15%
Joey Veerman15%
Ruben van Bommel14%
Mauro Júnior14%
Ismael Saibari14%
Sergiño Dest14%
Anass Salah-Eddine12%
Kiliann Sildillia12%
Guus Til10%
Ryan Flamingo10%
Yarek Gasiorowski8%
Armando Obispo8%
Dennis Man6%
Ricardo Pepi3%
Myron Boadu0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mauro Júnior31%
Joey Veerman30%
Ivan Perišić29%
Ismael Saibari22%
Couhaib Driouech21%
Dennis Man20%
Kiliann Sildillia19%
Guus Til18%
Sergiño Dest16%
Paul Wanner12%
Esmir Bajraktarević8%
Noah Fernandez8%
Ricardo Pepi6%
Yarek Gasiorowski5%
Jerdy Schouten3%
Ryan Flamingo2%
Armando Obispo0%
Myron Boadu0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Ruben van Bommel0%
Joel Van Den Berg0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismael Saibari50%
Guus Til28%
Ricardo Pepi21%
Myron Boadu18%
Ivan Perišić17%
Esmir Bajraktarević17%
Paul Wanner12%
Dennis Man9%
Armando Obispo8%
Couhaib Driouech8%
Kiliann Sildillia4%
Sergiño Dest3%
Yarek Gasiorowski3%
Joey Veerman2%
Ryan Flamingo2%
Mauro Júnior0%
Jerdy Schouten0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Ruben van Bommel0%
Joel Van Den Berg0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Noah Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Excelsior's squad is €264m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€16m vs €280m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Excelsior's attack is €99m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€7m vs €106m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Excelsior's midfield is €57m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€3m vs €60m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Excelsior's defence is €108m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€6m vs €115m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
EXC wins
1
Draws
7
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/25APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC3-3
02/04/24HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven0-2
13/01/24APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC3-1
08/04/23APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC4-0
28/08/22HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven1-6
02/03/19HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven0-2
07/12/18APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC6-0
07/02/18APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC1-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AFC Volendam Vs EXC1-2
14/09/25HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam0-1
30/08/25HEXC Vs Twente1-0
24/08/25AUtrecht Vs EXC4-1
16/08/25HEXC Vs Feyenoord1-2
09/08/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC5-0
09/05/25AJong AZ Vs EXC2-1
02/05/25HEXC Vs Jong PSV U215-0
27/04/25HEXC Vs Emmen2-0
20/04/25AFC Volendam Vs EXC1-4

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HPE Vs Ajax2-2
16/09/25HPE Vs Union St. Gilloise1-3
13/09/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs PE3-5
30/08/25HPE Vs Telstar0-2
23/08/25HPE Vs Groningen4-2
17/08/25ATwente Vs PE0-2
09/08/25HPE Vs Sparta Rotterdam6-1
18/05/25ASparta Rotterdam Vs PE1-3
14/05/25HPE Vs Heracles4-1
11/05/25AFeyenoord Vs PE2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.86
HomeWWLWL2.28
AwayWLLLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals3.283.043.52
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %64%52%76%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored2.002.241.76
Conceded1.280.801.76
BTTS60%48%72%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners9.649.589.70
Cards3.723.334.14
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.98
HomeWWLLD2.07
AwayWWWWW1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%57%
AVG goals4.184.413.86
Over 1.5 %96%100%90%
Over 2.5 %80%83%76%
Over 3.5 %62%66%57%
Scored2.702.972.33
Conceded1.481.451.52
BTTS70%69%71%
Clean Sheet22%24%19%
Corners10.8311.3610.19
Cards3.663.523.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches