FC Augsburg’s recent dip after a 0-4 loss to Union Berlin contrasts with Schalke’s five-match run that includes a win over Eintracht Braunschweig. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 46% chance, a draw at 27%, and an away win at 26%. The expected total is 2.8 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9% probability. Augsburg averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Schalke scores 1.43 and concedes 1.14 on the road. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8% with a 5% edge), Under 6.5 (98.3% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (95.2% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (94.2% with a 10% edge), Home +2 handicap (93.9% with an 11% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (90.5% with a 1% edge), and Under 4.5 (87.9% with a 6% edge).
Results analysis
The match saw FC Augsburg extend a winning streak, securing a 3-0 victory over FC Schalke 04. The Pythia model had correctly predicted a home win, assigning a 47% probability to this outcome. The final score matched the model’s forecast, and the result was a home win as expected. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit with 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.3%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.2%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 94.2%, Home +2 handicap hit at 93.9%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 90.5%, and Under 4.5 hit at 87.9%. All picks settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Augsburg win✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.22
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Dafabet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.49
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
FC Schalke 04 win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.14
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.35
Marathonbet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Dafabet
3.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Augsburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.70
1.47
1.40
1.07
2.00
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.09
1.00
2.60
1.17
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.47
1.70
0.80
1.00
2.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Schalke 04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.93
1.67
0.80
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.46
0.96
1.50
0.79
1.43
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
@ 1.21-0.4%
Under 1.5
23.1%
@ 4.13+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.30
888Sport
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.73-3.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 2.10+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.75
SBO
1.74
888Sport
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.16
SBO
2.16
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
@ 2.80-4.5%
Under 3.5
70.7%
@ 1.43+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
@ 1.58-3.7%
No
44.7%
@ 2.27+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
No
William Hil
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betfair
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.50+5.8%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.27+3.7%
1-0
9.2%@ 8.79+3.9%
2-0
8.3%@ 11.30+4.1%
0-0
7.7%@ 12.41+3.9%
1-2
6.7%@ 10.15+2.1%
0-1
6.2%@ 10.85+1.9%
2-2
5.4%@ 11.30+1.2%
FC Augsburg goals ↓
FC Schalke 04 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.2%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
1
9.2%
13%
6.7%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.4%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.4%
5.0%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.7%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Augsburg goals (down), columns = FC Schalke 04 goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
FC Augsburg is 0.27 points better than FC Schalke 04 in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
FC Augsburg is 0.18 goals better than FC Schalke 04 in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
FC Augsburg is 0.32 goals better than FC Schalke 04 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 2.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Augsburg
For 4.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 10.3 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Schalke 04
For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Augsburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
21.8
21.5
22.0
vs Stronger (18)
11.3
10.4
12.1
3.7
4.6
2.9
19.7
21.7
17.8
vs Similar (32)
8.9
9.8
8.0
4.1
3.7
4.6
22.9
21.4
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
52%
56%
58%
56%
60%
56%
56%
56%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
42%
44%
40%
44%
44%
44%
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Schalke 04
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.5
9.8
4.4
4.0
4.9
23.8
23.4
24.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
9.5
9.5
9.6
4.4
4.1
4.7
24.0
23.9
24.1
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
9.5
11.3
4.6
3.2
6.3
22.4
21.0
24.3
% over line
44%
44%
44%
64%
60%
68%
64%
60%
68%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
36%
40%
32%
36%
40%
32%
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
FC Schalke 04
9.6
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.4
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
Werder Bremen
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.1
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
SC Freiburg
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
RB Leipzig
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.8
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
SC Freiburg
22.7
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FC Augsburg
21.8
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
1. FC Köln
20.5
Werder Bremen
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.3%
@ 1.87+1.4%
Under 9.5
48.7%
@ 1.86-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.91
Unibet
1.89
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.9%
@ 1.53-2.2%
Under 3.5
41.1%
@ 2.40+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Unibet
1.37
Under
Unibet
2.75
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.19
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.0%
@ 1.65-10.7%
Under 21.5
54.0%
@ 2.16+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.02
Betano
1.87
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Augsburg or Draw✓ Hit
82.2%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.35
Edge
+12.6%
47%
27%
26%
covers FC Augsburg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
FC Augsburg or FC Schalke 04✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.6%
47%
27%
26%
covers FC Augsburg + FC Schalke 04
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw or FC Schalke 04✗ Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied 57.0% · @ 1.65
Edge
-13.2%
47%
27%
26%
covers Draw + FC Schalke 04
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
SBO
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Augsburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.0%
@ 1.19+3.5%
Under
18.0%
@ 4.34-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.69
BetVictor
4.33
888Sport
4.33
Bet365
4.33
FC Augsburg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.1%
@ 1.97+3.6%
Under
48.9%
@ 1.78-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
FC Augsburg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.7%
@ 4.08+1.8%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.21-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.28
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
FC Augsburg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 9.29-0.5%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.04+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.20
Unibet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.2%
@ 1.30-13.7%
Under
41.8%
@ 3.31+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.30
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 2.46-16.3%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.51+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.54
1xBet
2.54
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
Under
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.51
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 5.78-10.3%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.11+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
888Sport
5.75
Under
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
FC Schalke 04 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 14.50-5.4%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Augsburg, so a minus line means FC Augsburg give that many goals of a start and FC Schalke 04 receive them. At -1, FC Augsburg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Augsburg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Augsburg)Actual: FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg -2
14.3%
@ 8.90+4.2%
Draw -2
17.7%
@ 6.24+3.2%
FC Schalke 04 +2
68.0%
@ 1.20-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
6.00
Away
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Handicap -1 (FC Augsburg)Actual: FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg -1
32.0%
@ 4.05+9.7%
Draw -1
24.2%
@ 3.93+1.2%
FC Schalke 04 +1
43.8%
@ 1.65-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Draw
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Away
Marathonbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Handicap +1 (FC Augsburg)Actual: FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg +1
82.2%
@ 1.35+15.5%
Draw +1
11.7%
@ 4.77-7.2%
FC Schalke 04 -1
6.1%
@ 6.31-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Away
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Handicap +2 (FC Augsburg)Actual: FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg +2
93.9%
@ 1.09+10.8%
Draw +2
4.6%
@ 8.50-6.1%
FC Schalke 04 -2
1.5%
@ 14.50-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Augsburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.67
0.73
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.18
0.60
1.60
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.68
0.70
0.30
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Schalke 04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.43
0.71
0.21
0.86
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.36
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
SBO
2.63
Betano
2.62
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.54
Under
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Augsburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Unibet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
FC Augsburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Unibet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
FC Augsburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Unibet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Augsburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.80
0.67
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.91
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.79
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Schalke 04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.87
0.60
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.54
0.79
0.57
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Unibet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.95
888Sport
1.91
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
888Sport
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
888Sport
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Augsburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.22
FC Augsburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
FC Augsburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.90
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.06
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.2%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
82.2%
1.35
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
+15.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.0%
1.19
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.3%
1.51
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.51
+16.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.20
-
-
-
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.9%
1.21
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.7%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.42
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.32
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.3%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.0%
1.29
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
1.30
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.7%
1.43
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.0%
1.77
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.54
-
-
-
+17.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Augsburg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Gregoritsch24%
Arthur Chaves18%
Anton Kade17%
Alexis Claude-Maurice17%
Fabian Rieder15%
Rodrigo Ribeiro14%
Samuel Essende12%
Phillip Tietz8%
Robin Fellhauer8%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj7%
Kristijan Jakić7%
Dimitrios Giannoulis7%
Mert Kömür7%
Han-Noah Massengo6%
Chrislain Matsima5%
Noahkai Banks4%
Marius Wolf3%
Mads Pedersen0%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw0%
Finn Dahmen0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Elias Saad0%
Aiman Dardari0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Noahkai Banks35%
Yannik Keitel33%
Aiman Dardari33%
Chrislain Matsima30%
Dimitrios Giannoulis28%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw25%
Phillip Tietz25%
Cedric Zesiger24%
Keven Schlotterbeck23%
Kristijan Jakić21%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj15%
Han-Noah Massengo15%
Anton Kade14%
Marius Wolf13%
Samuel Essende12%
Fabian Rieder12%
Michael Gregoritsch12%
Alexis Claude-Maurice10%
Arthur Chaves9%
Elias Saad9%
Rodrigo Ribeiro7%
Robin Fellhauer6%
Mert Kömür3%
Finn Dahmen3%
Mads Pedersen0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dimitrios Giannoulis17%
Mert Kömür13%
Michael Gregoritsch12%
Fabian Rieder9%
Elias Saad9%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw8%
Robin Fellhauer8%
Alexis Claude-Maurice7%
Chrislain Matsima5%
Noahkai Banks4%
Keven Schlotterbeck4%
Kristijan Jakić4%
Marius Wolf3%
Han-Noah Massengo3%
Samuel Essende0%
Mads Pedersen0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Finn Dahmen0%
Phillip Tietz0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Anton Kade0%
Arthur Chaves0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Aiman Dardari0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Kade28%
Alexis Claude-Maurice27%
Michael Gregoritsch24%
Rodrigo Ribeiro21%
Mert Kömür10%
Fabian Rieder9%
Robin Fellhauer3%
Marius Wolf0%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Dimitrios Giannoulis0%
Samuel Essende0%
Kristijan Jakić0%
Mads Pedersen0%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Finn Dahmen0%
Phillip Tietz0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Chrislain Matsima0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Arthur Chaves0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Elias Saad0%
Aiman Dardari0%
Noahkai Banks0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
FC Schalke 04 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edin Džeko45%
Kenan Karaman35%
Bryan Lasme23%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Moussa Sylla19%
Hasan Kuruçay12%
Vitalie Becker9%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Timo Becker0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitalie Becker32%
Nikola Katić25%
Adrian Gantenbein24%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Mertcan Ayhan21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Emil Højlund20%
Hasan Kuruçay19%
Amin Younes17%
Max Grüger17%
Finn Porath16%
Timo Becker15%
Kenan Karaman15%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Ron Schallenberg12%
Soufian El-Faouzi11%
Felipe Sánchez11%
Christian Gomis11%
Loris Karius10%
Janik Bachmann8%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla3%
Edin Džeko0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Peter Remmert0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Remmert25%
Edin Džeko18%
Kenan Karaman15%
Adil Aouchiche14%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Soufian El-Faouzi14%
Dejan Ljubičić13%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Nikola Katić7%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Vitalie Becker5%
Timo Becker4%
Ron Schallenberg3%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edin Džeko64%
Moussa Sylla47%
Adil Aouchiche29%
Kenan Karaman24%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Bryan Lasme15%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Christian Gomis5%
Timo Becker4%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Finn Porath0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Vitalie Becker0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
FC Augsburg's squad is €94m more valuable than FC Schalke 04's (€161m vs €67m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FC Augsburg's attack is €47m more valuable than FC Schalke 04's (€64m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
FC Augsburg's midfield is €1m less valuable than FC Schalke 04's (€23m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
FC Augsburg's defence is €48m more valuable than FC Schalke 04's (€74m vs €26m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart