This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.62
1.19
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.16
1.69
1.15
0.75
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.33
2.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.18-2.8%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.65+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0 ✓
12.6%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
FC Cartagena goals ↓
Mirandes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.0%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.5%
8.8%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.4%
4.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Cartagena goals (down), columns = Mirandes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
FC Cartagena is 0.14 points better than Mirandes in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
FC Cartagena is 0.02 goals worse than Mirandes in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
FC Cartagena is 0.12 goals better than Mirandes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Cartagena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Mirandes
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
8.8
6.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
29.1
31.0
27.1
vs Stronger (27)
7.6
8.2
6.3
1.8
2.4
1.0
29.1
32.8
21.7
vs Similar (23)
7.9
10.5
6.8
1.3
0.3
2.2
29.0
25.5
30.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
38%
12%
22%
16%
28%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
75%
62%
88%
78%
84%
72%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
11.4
12.0
1.8
1.8
1.9
25.2
23.9
26.6
vs Stronger (3)
16.0
-
16.0
2.0
0.0
3.0
29.0
-
29.0
vs Similar (41)
11.7
11.4
12.0
1.8
1.9
1.6
24.7
24.3
25.2
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
11.0
8.0
2.3
2.0
2.7
27.0
21.0
33.0
% over line
81%
75%
88%
26%
27%
25%
62%
38%
88%
% under line
19%
25%
12%
74%
73%
75%
38%
62%
12%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.7%
Under 21.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.27
0.20
0.27
0.73
0.27
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
0.25
0.38
0.38
0.62
0.12
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.29
0.00
0.14
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.94
0.31
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.32
1.00
0.23
0.25
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.80
0.87
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.69
0.75
1.00
0.62
0.38
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.86
0.86
0.71
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.69
0.88
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.84
0.69
0.92
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armando Sadiku26%
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Darío Poveda20%
Borja Valle13%
Óscar Arribas Pasero10%
Mikel Rico8%
Franchu7%
Isak Jansson7%
Iván Martos6%
Pablo Vázquez6%
Jairo Izquierdo González5%
Pablo De Blasis5%
Kiko Olivas4%
Pedro Alcalá3%
Damián Musto3%
Ivan Calero3%
Toni Datković0%
Pêpê0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Yan Eteki0%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Luca Sangalli0%
David Ferreiro0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Oscar Ureña0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Damián Musto44%
Toni Datković33%
Yan Eteki30%
Franchu26%
Sergio Tejera25%
Pêpê24%
Luca Sangalli23%
Pablo Vázquez22%
Jairo Izquierdo González21%
Ivan Calero21%
Oscar Ureña20%
David Ferreiro19%
Pablo De Blasis17%
Pedro Alcalá16%
Darío Poveda13%
Iván Martos12%
Mikel Rico11%
Borja Valle10%
Armando Sadiku10%
Aarón Escandell8%
Isak Jansson4%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pêpê29%
Oscar Ureña20%
David Ferreiro19%
Pablo De Blasis17%
Jairo Izquierdo González16%
Julián Delmás11%
Pablo Vázquez11%
Ivan Calero8%
Toni Datković5%
Luca Sangalli5%
Damián Musto3%
Franchu0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Borja Valle0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Iván Martos0%
Yan Eteki0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Jaime Romero0%
Mikel Rico0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Armando Sadiku0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Darío Poveda0%
Isak Jansson0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alfredo Ortuño30%
Oscar Ureña20%
Borja Valle10%
Armando Sadiku10%
Jairo Izquierdo González8%
Ivan Calero8%
Darío Poveda7%
Pablo Vázquez6%
Franchu4%
Pedro Alcalá3%
Pablo De Blasis2%
Toni Datković0%
Pêpê0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Iván Martos0%
Yan Eteki0%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Mikel Rico0%
Luca Sangalli0%
Kiko Olivas0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Isak Jansson0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Mirandes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Raúl García41%
Roberto López18%
Óscar Pinchi11%
Barbu10%
Manu García8%
César Gelabert8%
Marcos Paulo8%
Javi Llabrés7%
Juanlu Sánchez5%
Jose Salinas5%
Raúl Navas4%
Jofre4%
Álex Martín3%
Samuel Mráz0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
David Vicente0%
Oriol Rey0%
Ramón Juan0%
Simón Moreno0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Sergio Santos0%
Beñat Prados0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Raúl Parra0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Nico Serrano0%
Javier Serrano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Barbu33%
Manu García24%
Beñat Prados23%
Raúl Navas22%
Álex Martín22%
Jose Salinas17%
Simón Moreno17%
Oriol Rey15%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán13%
César Gelabert12%
David Vicente11%
Juanlu Sánchez11%
Óscar Pinchi11%
Roberto López10%
Raúl García8%
Nikolaos Michelis6%
Nico Serrano6%
Raúl Parra5%
Alfonso Herrero3%
Marcos Paulo0%
Samuel Mráz0%
Ramón Juan0%
Sergio Santos0%
Jofre0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Javi Llabrés0%
Javier Serrano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
César Gelabert16%
Raúl García15%
Juanlu Sánchez14%
Raúl Navas11%
Marcos Paulo8%
Roberto López8%
Jose Salinas7%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán7%
Nico Serrano6%
Óscar Pinchi5%
Beñat Prados5%
Oriol Rey5%
Samuel Mráz0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
David Vicente0%
Manu García0%
Álex Martín0%
Ramón Juan0%
Simón Moreno0%
Sergio Santos0%
Jofre0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Barbu0%
Raúl Parra0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Javi Llabrés0%
Javier Serrano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Raúl García31%
Roberto López18%
Óscar Pinchi13%
César Gelabert8%
Marcos Paulo8%
Nico Serrano6%
Raúl Parra5%
Barbu3%
Samuel Mráz0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
David Vicente0%
Raúl Navas0%
Manu García0%
Oriol Rey0%
Álex Martín0%
Ramón Juan0%
Simón Moreno0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Sergio Santos0%
Beñat Prados0%
Jofre0%
Juanlu Sánchez0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Jose Salinas0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Javi Llabrés0%
Javier Serrano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →