FC Copenhagen’s recent 3-1 win over Sonderjyske and a two-game winning streak set a positive tone for the home side, while FC Nordsjælland’s five-game winning run and 3-1 victory against Brøndby underline their sharp form away. The model favours a home win, assigning a 54% chance to FC Copenhagen, a 24% chance of a draw and a 21% chance for FC Nordsjælland. The expected total is 3.1 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.3% probability.
Against a similar-strength opponent, FC Copenhagen averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home, whereas FC Nordsjælland averages 1.12 goals scored and 2.25 conceded away. The model’s suggested picks span a range of outcomes: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9% (edge 5%), Under 7.598.2% (edge 3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7% (edge 6%), Away under 3.5 goals96.8% (edge 6%), Under 6.595.4% (edge 2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals92.2% (edge 1%), Away under 1.5 HT goals92.0% (edge 8%), and Home +2 handicap91.7% (edge 8%).
Results analysis
FC Copenhagen’s three-game winning streak carried into the Superliga clash, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win at 55% probability proved accurate, as the final score was 2-0. The model also forecasted a 2-0 result with a 9.9% chance, and the actual score matched that most likely outcome. Every model selection hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7% hit, Under 7.5 at 98.2% hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3% hit, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.8% hit, Under 6.5 at 95.4% hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.7% hit, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.9% hit, and Home +2 handicap at 91.7% hit. The model’s predictions were largely correct, confirming the favoured outcome and the accuracy of the suggested picks.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Copenhagen win✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.14
Edge
+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
William Hil
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.76
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
Bet365
3.90
10Bet
3.85
1xBet
3.82
Betano
3.80
FC Nordsjaelland win✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.96
Edge
-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.02
Betano
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.23
2.67
1.00
2.07
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
2.75
1.08
3.17
0.92
2.33
1.25
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.20
2.31
0.81
1.43
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.57
1.50
0.67
1.12
2.25
vs Weaker (16)
2.44
0.88
2.80
0.90
1.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
@ 1.11-2.1%
Under 1.5
17.8%
@ 5.96+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Pinnacle
6.04
Unibet
6.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.42-6.8%
Under 2.5
40.7%
@ 2.77+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Bet365
2.88
Betano
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
@ 2.07-8.5%
Under 3.5
63.1%
@ 1.73+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
@ 1.38-8.2%
No
40.9%
@ 2.83+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
No
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Unibet
2.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 7.75+5.3%
2-1
9.9%@ 8.52+4.5%
2-0 ✓
8.7%@ 13.50+5.3%
1-0
7.9%@ 12.23+4.2%
3-1
6.4%@ 13.47+3.0%
1-2
5.8%@ 10.29+1.3%
0-0
5.6%@ 17.93+3.1%
3-0
5.6%@ 21.07+3.4%
FC Copenhagen goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
4.2%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
1
7.9%
11%
5.8%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.9%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.6%
6.4%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.7%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Copenhagen goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
FC Copenhagen is 0.33 points better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
FC Copenhagen is 1.00 goals better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
FC Copenhagen is 0.67 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
FC Copenhagen is 6.5 percentage points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average possession (52% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Copenhagen
For 6.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
For 7.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Copenhagen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
10.0
3.0
2.8
3.2
23.6
21.6
25.5
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.5
11.0
4.3
4.0
5.0
22.7
22.5
23.0
vs Similar (11)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.5
3.6
5.2
29.8
27.0
31.7
vs Weaker (36)
10.2
10.5
9.9
2.4
2.5
2.4
21.6
20.1
23.1
% over line
65%
67%
64%
44%
38%
50%
60%
52%
68%
% under line
35%
33%
36%
56%
62%
50%
40%
48%
32%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.0
8.7
3.4
3.4
3.5
21.9
20.7
23.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.6
8.5
8.6
3.5
3.2
4.0
23.0
21.7
24.3
vs Weaker (26)
9.0
9.4
8.7
3.3
3.6
3.1
21.1
19.8
22.2
% over line
39%
39%
39%
44%
44%
44%
52%
39%
65%
% under line
61%
61%
61%
56%
56%
56%
48%
61%
35%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
11.0
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.6
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.7
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
28.1
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lyngby
24.1
FC Copenhagen
23.7
Randers FC
22.1
Odense
21.8
Sonderjyske
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.5
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.1%
@ 1.71+0.8%
Under 9.5
44.9%
@ 2.03-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.4%
@ 1.71-3.9%
Under 3.5
49.6%
@ 2.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
Unibet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
Unibet
2.08
Superbet
1.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.7%
Under 21.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Copenhagen or Draw✓ Hit
79.5%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.37
Edge
+11.0%
55%
24%
21%
covers FC Copenhagen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
FC Copenhagen or FC Nordsjaelland✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.3%
55%
24%
21%
covers FC Copenhagen + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or FC Nordsjaelland✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.68
Edge
-12.3%
55%
24%
21%
covers Draw + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.76
Superbet
1.72
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.1%
@ 1.12+4.0%
Under
12.9%
@ 5.51-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.55
BetVictor
5.50
Unibet
5.40
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.7%
@ 1.68+5.0%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.11-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.12
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
33.6%
@ 3.15+4.1%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.32-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.38
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.16
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
FC Copenhagen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 6.52+1.0%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.08-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.75
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.3%
@ 1.19-8.4%
Under
30.7%
@ 4.16+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.41
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.00-13.6%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.75+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 4.17-10.7%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.20+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.56
Superbet
4.55
Unibet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
BetVictor
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 9.50-6.6%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.60
Unibet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Copenhagen, so a minus line means FC Copenhagen give that many goals of a start and FC Nordsjaelland receive them. At -1, FC Copenhagen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Copenhagen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: Draw
FC Copenhagen -2
17.2%
@ 7.34+5.0%
Draw -2
17.4%
@ 6.04+2.5%
FC Nordsjaelland +2
65.4%
@ 1.24-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Away
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap -1 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen -1
34.6%
@ 3.57+9.6%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 4.15+0.2%
FC Nordsjaelland +1
43.5%
@ 1.68-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Handicap +1 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen +1
79.5%
@ 1.36+13.5%
Draw +1
12.2%
@ 4.99-5.8%
FC Nordsjaelland -1
8.3%
@ 5.61-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.80
Away
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Superbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Handicap +2 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen +2
91.7%
@ 1.11+9.5%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 8.50-5.0%
FC Nordsjaelland -2
2.6%
@ 12.83-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
12.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.57
1.27
0.53
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.58
1.17
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.94
0.19
0.64
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.38
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.25
1.10
0.10
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.5%
@ 1.22-1.6%
Under 0.5
25.5%
@ 3.88+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Superbet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.3%
@ 2.07-5.7%
Under 1.5
60.7%
@ 1.70+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.11
Unibet
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 4.41-4.8%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.18+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.40
Under
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
61.6%
@ 1.67+5.8%
Under
38.4%
@ 2.10-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Unibet
2.14
1xBet
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.8%
@ 4.23-0.1%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.19+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.25
Betano
4.25
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 10.85-2.4%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.50
10Bet
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.9%
@ 1.87-10.8%
Under
61.1%
@ 1.85+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Unibet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 5.32-9.2%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.12+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Unibet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 15.33-4.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.67
1.40
0.47
1.07
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
1.42
0.42
1.67
0.33
1.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.60
1.38
0.62
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.57
0.83
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (16)
1.38
0.62
1.70
0.80
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.12-0.2%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 5.62+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Betano
5.60
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.6%
@ 1.63-5.8%
Under 1.5
48.4%
@ 2.19+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.27
Unibet
2.23
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.6%
@ 2.94-7.1%
Under 2.5
75.4%
@ 1.36+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.20
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
William Hil
2.90
Unibet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.6%
@ 1.44+1.3%
Under
34.4%
@ 2.60-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.50
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.5%
@ 3.07-1.6%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.32+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 7.60-3.6%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.05+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.10
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 1.60-10.5%
Under
52.4%
@ 2.21+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.06
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 3.76-9.5%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.23+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.92-6.7%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.02
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.1%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.6%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.11
-0.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
83.2%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.11
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.5%
1.37
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
79.5%
1.36
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+13.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.2%
1.19
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
77.6%
1.29
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.9%
1.24
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.36
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.5%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.5%
1.32
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.3%
1.31
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Copenhagen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Elyounoussi40%
M. Emil Madsen30%
B. Meling29%
Andreas Cornelius29%
Gabriel Pereira22%
Alex Král20%
Robert20%
M. López11%
William Clem10%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Clem30%
B. Meling29%
M. López22%
Mohamed Elyounoussi20%
Robert20%
Geovanni Vianney14%
Thomas Delaney10%
M. Emil Madsen10%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Alex Král0%
Andreas Cornelius0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Elyounoussi40%
M. López22%
Alex Král20%
Andreas Cornelius14%
Marvin Nasnas14%
M. Emil Madsen10%
William Clem10%
Robert10%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
B. Meling0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Elyounoussi60%
Andreas Cornelius43%
Robert40%
M. Emil Madsen30%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason20%
M. López11%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
B. Meling0%
Alex Král0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
William Clem0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Walker67%
Levy Nene33%
N. Røjkjær30%
Villum Berthelsen30%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
A. Lind17%
Lamine Sadio14%
Ibrahim Adel11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
Juho Lähteenmäki10%
Justin Janssen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Stephen Acquah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Adel33%
Juho Lähteenmäki30%
Justin Janssen30%
Peter Ankersen22%
Noah Markmann17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
A. Lind0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen0%
Lamine Sadio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ibrahim Adel33%
Lamine Sadio29%
M. Brink22%
Juho Lähteenmäki20%
A. Lind17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Peter Ankersen11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen10%
Andreas Hansen0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Adel33%
Levy Nene33%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
Lamine Sadio29%
Prince Amoako Junior22%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
N. Røjkjær0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
A. Lind0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Copenhagen's squad is €37m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€73m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Copenhagen and FC Nordsjaelland have a similar attack value (both €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Copenhagen's midfield is €10m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€17m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Copenhagen's defence is €27m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€39m vs €12m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
Viborg
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske