FC Copenhagen’s dominance at home is the clear driver behind the model’s 75 % chance of a win, especially after a 0-4 loss to Viborg that left them eager for a positive result. The opponent’s venue weakness is highlighted by Copenhagen’s 2.82 average goals scored and only one conceded against weaker teams, while Sonderjyske, struggling away with 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger sides, faces a steep uphill task. The model predicts a 3-goal match, with a 2-0 scoreline the most likely outcome at 11.4 %. The expected total of 3.4 goals aligns with the 3-goal expectation. The probabilities for the match result are 75 % home win, 16 % draw, and 8 % away win. Suggested picks include “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 99.2 %, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 98.6 % with a 6 % edge, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 98.4 %, “Under 7.5” at 97.5 % with a 2 % edge, “Home +2 handicap” at 96.0 %, “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 94.3 % with a 4 % edge, “Under 6.5” at 93.9 % with a 2 % edge, and “Away under 2.5 goals” at 92.9 % with a 2 % edge.
Results analysis
FC Copenhagen’s 3-1 victory over Sonderjyske kept the model’s prediction on target, extending their two-game winning run at home. The pre-match favourite was a Home win at 77%, and the model’s call was correct. The match produced the most likely 3-goal outcome, with the 3-0 and 2-1 scores close behind in probability. Every suggested pick settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Under 7.5 at 97.3%, Home +2 handicap at 96.6%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.5%, and Under 6.5 at 93.5%. All selections were successful.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Copenhagen win✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.32
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Dafabet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Draw✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied 17.8% · @ 5.24
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
5.65
Dafabet
5.60
Pinnacle
5.59
BetVictor
5.25
Bet365
5.25
Sonderjyske win✗ Miss
7.7%
Avg Implied 11.2% · @ 8.30
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.90
Pinnacle
8.85
10Bet
8.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.27
2.64
1.00
2.12
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (5)
1.20
1.60
0.50
1.50
1.67
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
2.74
1.09
3.18
0.91
2.33
1.25
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.57
1.40
1.47
1.07
1.67
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
2.10
1.17
2.50
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.30
1.56
0.78
1.00
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.4%
@ 1.12+2.4%
Under 1.5
13.6%
@ 5.86-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.31
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.8%
@ 1.43+1.2%
Under 2.5
33.2%
@ 2.73-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.0%
@ 2.10-0.0%
Under 3.5
55.0%
@ 1.72+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.19
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.7%
@ 1.68-4.4%
No
49.3%
@ 2.07+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
No
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.4%@ 7.52+5.4%
3-0
10.2%@ 9.09+5.2%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.92+3.1%
1-0
7.9%@ 8.91+2.8%
3-1 ✓
7.8%@ 9.41+3.0%
1-1
7.3%@ 9.73+2.6%
4-0
6.8%@ 13.77+3.5%
4-1
5.2%@ 14.56+2.1%
FC Copenhagen goals ↓
Sonderjyske goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
1.8%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
7.9%
7.3%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
2
11%
8.8%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
10%
7.8%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
4
6.8%
5.2%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Copenhagen goals (down), columns = Sonderjyske goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
FC Copenhagen is 2.33 points better than Sonderjyske in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
FC Copenhagen is 1.67 goals better than Sonderjyske in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
FC Copenhagen is 0.83 goals better than Sonderjyske in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
FC Copenhagen is 13.2 percentage points better than Sonderjyske in terms of average possession (52% vs 39%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Copenhagen
For 5.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sonderjyske
For 4.0 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Copenhagen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.4
9.9
3.0
2.8
3.1
23.7
21.9
25.3
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.5
11.0
4.3
4.0
5.0
22.7
22.5
23.0
vs Similar (11)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.5
3.6
5.2
29.8
27.0
31.7
vs Weaker (36)
10.1
10.6
9.7
2.4
2.4
2.5
21.8
20.4
23.1
% over line
63%
65%
61%
44%
39%
48%
63%
55%
70%
% under line
37%
35%
39%
56%
61%
52%
37%
45%
30%
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
3.3
3.7
3.0
22.0
22.1
21.9
vs Stronger (12)
9.3
9.0
9.8
3.9
4.6
3.0
24.2
25.4
22.6
vs Similar (37)
10.6
10.4
10.8
3.2
3.4
3.1
21.2
20.7
21.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
62%
65%
36%
42%
31%
49%
54%
43%
% under line
36%
38%
35%
64%
58%
69%
51%
46%
57%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
11.0
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.3
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.6
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Lyngby
3.9
Aarhus
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.7
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.8
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Lyngby
24.1
Aarhus
23.9
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Randers FC
22.1
Sonderjyske
22.0
Odense
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.5
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.1%
@ 1.56+3.0%
Under 9.5
37.9%
@ 2.25-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Under
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Unibet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.2%
@ 1.98-0.5%
Under 3.5
53.8%
@ 1.73+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
1.87
Under
Unibet
1.80
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.67
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.8%
Under 21.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Copenhagen or Draw✓ Hit
89.7%
Avg Implied 88.2% · @ 1.07
Edge
+1.6%
77%
15%
8%
covers FC Copenhagen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.09
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
FC Copenhagen or Sonderjyske✓ Hit
83.0%
Avg Implied 83.0% · @ 1.13
Edge
-0.1%
77%
15%
8%
covers FC Copenhagen + Sonderjyske
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw or Sonderjyske✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.27
Edge
-1.5%
77%
15%
8%
covers Draw + Sonderjyske
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
1xBet
3.32
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.5%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Under
7.5%
@ 9.02-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.03
Under
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Unibet
8.00
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
73.1%
@ 1.32+2.5%
Under
26.9%
@ 3.16-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.46
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.16
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
47.9%
@ 2.03+1.9%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.73-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
FC Copenhagen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.60+0.3%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.25-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.86
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.8%
@ 1.58+1.0%
Under
40.2%
@ 2.26-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
Unibet
2.38
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.2%
@ 3.84-1.0%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.23+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.94
Superbet
3.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 10.89-2.2%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Sonderjyske over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 29.50-1.9%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
35.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Copenhagen, so a minus line means FC Copenhagen give that many goals of a start and Sonderjyske receive them. At -1, FC Copenhagen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Copenhagen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: Draw
FC Copenhagen -2
31.1%
@ 3.09+1.9%
Draw -2
20.8%
@ 4.12-1.1%
Sonderjyske +2
48.1%
@ 1.84-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
2.92
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Away
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap -1 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen -1
51.9%
@ 1.85+3.3%
Draw -1
20.8%
@ 3.83-2.7%
Sonderjyske +1
27.3%
@ 3.24-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.32
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Handicap +1 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen +1
89.7%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Draw +1
6.8%
@ 10.17-2.2%
Sonderjyske -1
3.4%
@ 18.33-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
8.50
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Unibet
13.00
Handicap +2 (FC Copenhagen)Actual: FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen +2
96.6%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Draw +2
2.6%
@ 26.00-1.1%
Sonderjyske -2
0.8%
@ 66.00-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Away
Betfair
81.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
1.21
0.50
1.00
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.30
0.65
1.45
0.55
1.17
0.75
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.65
0.78
0.22
0.27
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.22+0.9%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 3.91-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.15
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.6%
@ 2.09-2.1%
Under 1.5
57.4%
@ 1.69+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
SBO
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Superbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
SBO
1.71
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 4.50-4.1%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.17+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
Betano
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Unibet
4.50
Under
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Unibet
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
67.6%
@ 1.41+1.2%
Under
32.4%
@ 2.78-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.00
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.70
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
27.0%
@ 2.92-4.9%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.37+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Pinnacle
2.98
10Bet
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 7.00-2.7%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.07+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.90
Superbet
6.70
Under
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
32.5%
@ 2.79-0.8%
Under
67.5%
@ 1.40+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
2.84
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.77
10Bet
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 9.74-3.5%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
1xBet
9.70
Betano
9.00
Under
Unibet
1.04
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 45.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.73
1.43
0.50
1.12
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.60
0.00
1.50
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.43
1.73
0.36
1.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.65
0.78
0.56
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
85.2%
@ 1.13+2.2%
Under 0.5
14.8%
@ 5.50-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.64-1.0%
Under 1.5
44.3%
@ 2.15+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Unibet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.9%
@ 3.01-3.1%
Under 2.5
72.1%
@ 1.35+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
2.95
Betano
2.92
Under
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
76.2%
@ 1.25+2.2%
Under
23.8%
@ 3.58-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.45
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.1%
@ 2.19-3.3%
Under
60.9%
@ 1.61+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.70-4.2%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.15+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.7%
@ 2.26-2.4%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.57+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 7.70+0.6%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.05-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 22.50-3.0%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.6%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.03
Unibet
1.04
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.03
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
89.7%
1.07
BetVictor
1.09
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
89.7%
1.07
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.12
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.9%
1.17
Betano
1.17
-
-
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.5%
1.17
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Unibet
1.16
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
83.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.1%
1.22
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home win
76.9%
1.32
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Dafabet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.8%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
73.8%
1.25
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.6%
1.33
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
73.1%
1.32
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.0%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.7%
1.35
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.29
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.5%
1.28
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.1%
1.35
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
+3.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Copenhagen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Elyounoussi40%
M. Emil Madsen30%
B. Meling29%
Andreas Cornelius29%
Gabriel Pereira22%
Alex Král20%
Robert20%
M. López11%
William Clem10%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Clem30%
B. Meling29%
M. López22%
Mohamed Elyounoussi20%
Robert20%
Geovanni Vianney14%
Thomas Delaney10%
M. Emil Madsen10%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Alex Král0%
Andreas Cornelius0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Elyounoussi40%
M. López22%
Alex Král20%
Andreas Cornelius14%
Marvin Nasnas14%
M. Emil Madsen10%
William Clem10%
Robert10%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
B. Meling0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
A. Markgráf0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Elyounoussi60%
Andreas Cornelius43%
Robert40%
M. Emil Madsen30%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason20%
M. López11%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
B. Meling0%
Alex Král0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
D. Ramaj0%
A. Sørensen0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
William Clem0%
Junnosuke Suzuki0%
T. Maseko0%
A. Markgráf0%
Marvin Nasnas0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Sonderjyske
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Cherif Haidara33%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Maxime Soulas0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefer Emini50%
Ismaïl Seydi40%
Matthew Hoppe33%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Maxime Soulas17%
Sefer Emini17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Cherif Haidara50%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Copenhagen's squad is €60m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€73m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Copenhagen's attack is €14m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€17m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Copenhagen's midfield is €13m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€17m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Copenhagen's defence is €33m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€39m vs €6m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby