This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.20
1.70
2.70
0.70
1.70
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
3.33
2.00
3.50
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.12
2.00
1.62
2.50
0.67
1.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
5% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
FC Liefering goals ↓
SV Kapfenberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
3.4%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
7.5%
10%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
2
8.9%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.3%
7.0%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.4%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Liefering goals (down), columns = SV Kapfenberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
FC Liefering is 0.10 points better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
FC Liefering is 0.40 goals better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
FC Liefering is 0.07 goals better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
FC Liefering is 12.3 percentage points better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average possession (54% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Liefering
For 6.4 · Against 5.9 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Kapfenberg
For 3.6 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Liefering
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
11.2
11.9
10.6
3.2
3.0
3.5
24.7
25.8
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.5
3.0
2.3
22.2
25.0
21.3
vs Weaker (16)
11.2
12.0
10.4
3.4
3.0
4.0
25.4
25.9
24.9
% over line
67%
75%
60%
45%
40%
50%
72%
88%
60%
% under line
33%
25%
40%
55%
60%
50%
28%
12%
40%
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
10.8
11.0
10.6
2.0
1.8
2.2
25.9
32.5
20.6
vs Stronger (3)
14.0
15.0
13.0
1.7
1.0
3.0
24.0
25.0
23.0
vs Similar (17)
9.9
9.7
10.0
2.1
2.0
2.1
26.4
35.0
20.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
50%
40%
25%
20%
30%
78%
100%
60%
% under line
56%
50%
60%
75%
80%
70%
22%
0%
40%
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
14.5
Dornbirn
12.2
FC Liefering
11.2
Rapid Wien II
10.9
SV Kapfenberg
10.8
FC BW Linz
10.7
Admira Wacker
10.1
SKU Amstetten
10.1
SK Vorwarts Steyr
10.0
Floridsdorfer AC
9.8
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.7
Grazer AK
9.7
SKN ST. Polten
8.9
SV Horn
8.7
SV Lafnitz
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
5.1
Dornbirn
5.1
SV Kapfenberg
4.4
Admira Wacker
4.4
SV Lafnitz
4.3
FC BW Linz
4.2
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.2
Floridsdorfer AC
4.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
3.9
FC Liefering
3.8
Grazer AK
3.4
Rapid Wien II
3.2
SKU Amstetten
3.2
SKN ST. Polten
2.9
First Vienna
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
30.5
Floridsdorfer AC
30.0
SV Lafnitz
26.8
Grazer AK
26.3
FC BW Linz
26.0
SV Kapfenberg
25.9
Dornbirn
25.7
SKU Amstetten
25.6
Admira Wacker
24.9
FC Liefering
24.7
Rapid Wien II
23.8
First Vienna
23.5
Austria Vienna (Am)
23.4
SKN ST. Polten
22.7
SK Vorwarts Steyr
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.5%
Under 9.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.4%
Under 21.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Liefering
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.70
0.80
0.70
0.30
0.70
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.56
0.89
0.56
0.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.90
0.80
1.30
0.30
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.76
0.75
1.25
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Liefering
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
1.15
1.70
1.10
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.50
1.19
1.78
1.22
1.14
1.14
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
1.30
0.90
1.40
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.24
0.88
1.25
0.33
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Liefering
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karim Konaté53%
Dijon Kameri29%
Elias Havel20%
Oumar Diakité20%
Federico Crescenti18%
Zétény Jánó15%
Raphael Hofer8%
Marcel Moswitzer8%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo6%
Luka Reischl5%
Lawrence Agyekum5%
Mark Gevorgyan5%
Bryan Okoh0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Lukas Wallner0%
Sandro-Luca Molnar0%
Lukas Ibertsberger0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Benjamin Atiabou0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Tolgahan Sahin0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Douglas Mendes0%
Marcell Tibor Berki0%
Dario Bijelić0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Mohammad Sadeqi0%
Mario Pejazić0%
Dominik Lechner0%
Soumaila Diabate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Douglas Mendes67%
Soumaila Diabate67%
Julian Halwachs50%
Karim Konaté27%
Sandro-Luca Molnar25%
Tim Paumgartner25%
Mark Gevorgyan25%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo25%
Marcel Moswitzer23%
Raphael Hofer20%
Mohammad Sadeqi20%
Zétény Jánó19%
Lukas Wallner19%
Samson Baidoo17%
Lukas Ibertsberger15%
Bryan Okoh14%
Elias Havel12%
Dominik Lechner10%
Tolgahan Sahin9%
Mario Pejazić7%
Luka Reischl0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Benjamin Atiabou0%
Dijon Kameri0%
Federico Crescenti0%
Oumar Diakité0%
Marcell Tibor Berki0%
Dario Bijelić0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo25%
Oumar Diakité20%
Julian Halwachs17%
Zétény Jánó15%
Raphael Hofer12%
Lukas Ibertsberger10%
Mohammad Sadeqi10%
Elias Havel8%
Karim Konaté7%
Mario Pejazić7%
Luka Reischl5%
Lukas Wallner5%
Tolgahan Sahin5%
Bryan Okoh0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Sandro-Luca Molnar0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Benjamin Atiabou0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Dijon Kameri0%
Federico Crescenti0%
Douglas Mendes0%
Marcell Tibor Berki0%
Dario Bijelić0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Mark Gevorgyan0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Dominik Lechner0%
Soumaila Diabate0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karim Konaté60%
Oumar Diakité30%
Elias Havel28%
Dijon Kameri14%
Zétény Jánó12%
Lawrence Agyekum10%
Dominik Lechner10%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo6%
Raphael Hofer4%
Bryan Okoh0%
Luka Reischl0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Lukas Wallner0%
Sandro-Luca Molnar0%
Lukas Ibertsberger0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Benjamin Atiabou0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Tolgahan Sahin0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Federico Crescenti0%
Douglas Mendes0%
Marcell Tibor Berki0%
Dario Bijelić0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Mark Gevorgyan0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Mohammad Sadeqi0%
Mario Pejazić0%
Soumaila Diabate0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
FC Liefering's squad is €3m more valuable than SV Kapfenberg's (€5m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
FC Liefering's attack is €2m more valuable than SV Kapfenberg's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
FC Liefering and SV Kapfenberg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
AV( (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
FC Liefering and SV Kapfenberg have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
SKN ST. Polten
SV Horn
Floridsdorfer AC
SKU Amstetten
First Vienna
SV Lafnitz
Admira Wacker
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SK Vorwarts Steyr
Rapid Wien II
Austria Vienna (Am)