This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.44
1.48
1.79
1.50
1.08
1.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.00
1.47
1.00
1.38
1.00
1.57
vs Weaker (12)
2.00
1.50
2.83
1.67
1.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
26% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
FC Nordsjaelland goals ↓
Brondby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.8%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.1%
12%
5.7%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.7%
6.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.6%
2.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals (down), columns = Brondby goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.34 points better than Brondby in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.06 goals better than Brondby in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.53 goals better than Brondby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
FC Nordsjaelland is 3.4 percentage points better than Brondby in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland
For 5.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
For 5.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 8.7 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
9.6
8.9
10.2
4.6
4.8
4.3
21.3
20.1
22.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.0
9.8
10.2
5.3
5.8
5.0
21.8
22.0
21.6
vs Weaker (14)
9.4
8.4
10.3
4.1
4.3
3.9
20.9
19.0
22.9
% over line
61%
55%
67%
70%
64%
75%
57%
55%
58%
% under line
39%
45%
33%
30%
36%
25%
43%
45%
42%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
11.5
12.5
10.5
4.0
3.8
4.3
19.1
18.4
19.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
12.1
13.5
10.6
4.5
4.5
4.6
19.6
18.1
21.3
vs Weaker (12)
10.8
11.2
10.3
3.4
2.8
4.0
18.4
18.8
18.0
% over line
74%
79%
69%
52%
50%
54%
33%
36%
31%
% under line
26%
21%
31%
48%
50%
46%
67%
64%
69%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
11.5
Lyngby
10.4
Randers FC
10.4
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Odense
10.2
AC Horsens
10.0
Aarhus
9.7
FC Nordsjaelland
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.5
Aalborg
9.3
Silkeborg
9.2
Viborg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.1
FC Midtjylland
4.9
FC Nordsjaelland
4.6
Brondby
4.5
Odense
4.3
Lyngby
4.3
Aarhus
4.0
AC Horsens
4.0
Randers FC
4.0
Aalborg
3.9
Viborg
3.9
Silkeborg
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aarhus
23.1
FC Midtjylland
22.1
Lyngby
22.0
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Aalborg
21.2
Randers FC
20.9
Odense
20.5
FC Copenhagen
19.5
Viborg
19.4
Brondby
19.1
AC Horsens
18.5
Silkeborg
15.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.0%
Under 21.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.26
1.00
0.36
0.67
0.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.22
1.00
0.25
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.29
1.00
0.43
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
78% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.86
0.71
0.46
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.73
0.38
0.62
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.67
1.50
0.83
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
48% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
1.18
0.64
0.58
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.89
0.75
0.75
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.57
1.43
0.57
0.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
39% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.78
0.93
0.79
0.62
0.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.73
0.62
0.75
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.83
1.33
0.83
0.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Schjelderup53%
Emiliano Marcondes38%
Ernest Nuamah37%
Wahid Faghir19%
Rocco Ascone17%
Mohammed Diomande16%
Oliver Antman12%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Martin Frese8%
Daniel Svensson7%
Mads Hansen4%
Adamo Nagalo4%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Leo Walta0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Osman33%
Martin Frese27%
Jacob Christensen27%
Adamo Nagalo18%
Mads Bidstrup17%
Erik Marxen16%
Ernest Nuamah13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Andreas Schjelderup12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Oliver Villadsen10%
Rocco Ascone8%
Benjamin Nygren8%
Mads Hansen8%
Daniel Svensson7%
Kian Hansen6%
Andreas Hansen6%
Oliver Antman0%
Leo Walta0%
Wahid Faghir0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Christensen20%
Ernest Nuamah13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Oliver Villadsen10%
Daniel Svensson7%
Kian Hansen6%
Oliver Antman6%
Wahid Faghir6%
Erik Marxen5%
Benjamin Nygren4%
Martin Frese4%
Mads Hansen4%
Adamo Nagalo4%
Mads Bidstrup3%
Andreas Hansen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Leo Walta0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emiliano Marcondes38%
Ernest Nuamah37%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Andreas Schjelderup12%
Mads Hansen12%
Mohammed Diomande6%
Wahid Faghir6%
Martin Frese4%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Oliver Antman0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Leo Walta0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Lasso Coulibaly0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ohi Omoijuanfo54%
Oscar Schwartau21%
Håkon Evjen20%
Nicolai Vallys17%
Mathias Kvistgaarden15%
Jens Martin Gammelby10%
Josip Radošević10%
Anis Ben Slimane9%
Andreas Maxsø9%
Christian Cappis9%
Simon Hedlund7%
Marko Divković7%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen5%
Daniel Wass4%
Blás Riveros4%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Mathias Greve0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Frederik Winther0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Joe Bell0%
Peter Bjur0%
Carl Björk0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yousef Salech33%
Andreas Maxsø27%
Daniel Wass25%
Christian Cappis23%
Kevin Tshiembe23%
Nicolai Vallys21%
Henrik Heggheim20%
Anis Ben Slimane19%
Mathias Kvistgaarden18%
Sigurd Rosted17%
Josip Radošević17%
Simon Hedlund14%
Joe Bell14%
Frederik Winther13%
Ohi Omoijuanfo12%
Kevin Mensah11%
Rasmus Lauritsen11%
Jens Martin Gammelby10%
Mathias Greve7%
Marko Divković7%
Mads Hermansen7%
Håkon Evjen7%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen5%
Blás Riveros4%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Peter Bjur0%
Carl Björk0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Divković21%
Nicolai Vallys21%
Daniel Wass17%
Mathias Kvistgaarden12%
Rasmus Lauritsen11%
Simon Hedlund11%
Mathias Greve7%
Håkon Evjen7%
Joe Bell5%
Christian Cappis5%
Ohi Omoijuanfo4%
Mads Hermansen3%
Josip Radošević3%
Anis Ben Slimane3%
Andreas Maxsø0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Frederik Winther0%
Blás Riveros0%
Peter Bjur0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Carl Björk0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ohi Omoijuanfo29%
Mathias Kvistgaarden18%
Nicolai Vallys17%
Simon Hedlund11%
Marko Divković7%
Oscar Schwartau5%
Daniel Wass4%
Blás Riveros4%
Anis Ben Slimane3%
Andreas Maxsø0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Christian Cappis0%
Mathias Greve0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Frederik Winther0%
Håkon Evjen0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Joe Bell0%
Peter Bjur0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Carl Björk0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FC Nordsjaelland's squad is €11m less valuable than Brondby's (€37m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €3m more valuable than Brondby's (€18m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €4m less valuable than Brondby's (€7m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €10m less valuable than Brondby's (€12m vs €22m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Aarhus
Viborg
Odense
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Lyngby
AC Horsens
Aalborg