This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.53
1.73
1.87
1.47
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.47
1.14
1.71
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (15)
2.00
1.60
2.25
2.00
1.71
1.14
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
3-1 ✓
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
FC Nordsjaelland goals ↓
Brondby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
4.9%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.9%
12%
6.4%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.1%
9.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.9%
5.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals (down), columns = Brondby goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Midtjylland
1.97
Brondby
1.94
FC Copenhagen
1.88
FC Nordsjaelland
1.81
Aarhus
1.38
Viborg
1.25
Randers FC
1.24
Silkeborg
1.12
Lyngby
1.12
Vejle
1.12
Odense
1.00
Hvidovre
0.62
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.12 points worse than Brondby in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.00
FC Midtjylland
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.88
Brondby
1.88
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.27
Silkeborg
1.22
Lyngby
1.22
Viborg
1.19
Odense
1.16
Vejle
1.00
Hvidovre
0.84
FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby are level in goals scored per game (both 1.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Nordsjaelland
1.06
Brondby
1.09
Vejle
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.18
FC Midtjylland
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Viborg
1.50
Odense
1.50
Randers FC
1.55
Silkeborg
1.56
Lyngby
1.66
Hvidovre
1.91
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.03 goals better than Brondby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
54%
Silkeborg
53%
Hvidovre
51%
Viborg
50%
Odense
49%
Randers FC
49%
Aarhus
49%
FC Midtjylland
47%
Lyngby
47%
Vejle
40%
FC Nordsjaelland is 2.6 percentage points better than Brondby in terms of average possession (57% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland
For 4.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
For 3.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 8.7 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.3
8.7
9.9
4.4
4.9
3.9
21.1
20.7
21.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.3
10.3
10.2
4.9
6.0
4.0
21.5
22.1
20.9
vs Weaker (19)
8.5
7.6
9.6
4.0
4.1
3.9
20.8
19.7
22.0
% over line
53%
47%
59%
71%
71%
71%
50%
53%
47%
% under line
47%
53%
41%
29%
29%
29%
50%
47%
53%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
10.9
11.1
10.7
4.1
3.8
4.5
19.6
18.9
20.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
10.7
11.6
9.8
4.6
4.4
4.9
20.5
19.2
21.9
vs Weaker (16)
11.1
10.4
11.9
3.4
3.0
3.9
18.4
18.6
18.1
% over line
61%
58%
63%
53%
47%
58%
37%
37%
37%
% under line
39%
42%
37%
47%
53%
42%
63%
63%
63%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hvidovre
12.5
Brondby
10.9
Odense
10.7
Randers FC
10.6
Lyngby
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.0
FC Copenhagen
9.7
Aarhus
9.5
Silkeborg
9.4
Vejle
9.3
FC Nordsjaelland
9.3
Viborg
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.0
FC Midtjylland
4.7
Vejle
4.7
Brondby
4.5
FC Nordsjaelland
4.4
Odense
4.1
Lyngby
4.0
Aarhus
3.9
Randers FC
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Silkeborg
3.2
Hvidovre
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vejle
24.3
Hvidovre
23.5
Aarhus
22.8
Lyngby
22.4
FC Midtjylland
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.1
Randers FC
21.0
FC Copenhagen
20.2
Viborg
20.1
Odense
20.1
Brondby
19.6
Silkeborg
16.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.5%
Under 21.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
1.00
0.47
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.43
1.00
0.29
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.38
1.00
0.62
0.38
0.12
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.87
0.80
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.53
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.67
1.12
0.88
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.20
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.00
0.71
0.86
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.56
1.62
0.38
0.38
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
0.87
1.07
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.93
0.57
1.00
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.93
1.12
1.12
0.86
0.71
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ernest Nuamah50%
Marcus Ingvartsen31%
Benjamin Nygren28%
Conrad Harder20%
Andreas Schjelderup19%
Ibrahim Osman18%
Oliver Antman14%
Jeppe Tverskov14%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew12%
Martin Frese11%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen11%
Daniel Svensson8%
Oliver Villadsen6%
Mads Hansen5%
Lucas Hey4%
Mario Dorgeles4%
Kian Hansen3%
Adamo Nagalo3%
Erik Marxen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammed Diomande47%
Rocco Ascone33%
Martin Frese26%
Ernest Nuamah25%
Kaare Barslund25%
Andreas Schjelderup16%
Zidan Sertdemir12%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ibrahim Osman12%
Adamo Nagalo11%
Lucas Hey8%
Jeppe Tverskov8%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen7%
Andreas Hansen6%
Daniel Svensson5%
Mads Hansen5%
Oliver Antman5%
Marcus Ingvartsen3%
Kian Hansen3%
Erik Marxen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ernest Nuamah25%
Mohammed Diomande24%
Daniel Svensson22%
Ibrahim Osman21%
Andreas Schjelderup19%
Martin Frese14%
Jeppe Tverskov11%
Marcus Ingvartsen9%
Lucas Hey8%
Zidan Sertdemir6%
Mads Hansen5%
Oliver Antman5%
Benjamin Nygren4%
Conrad Harder4%
Oliver Villadsen3%
Andreas Hansen3%
Kian Hansen3%
Adamo Nagalo3%
Erik Marxen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Schjelderup32%
Ibrahim Osman26%
Marcus Ingvartsen25%
Ernest Nuamah25%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen15%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Conrad Harder8%
Mads Hansen5%
Lucas Hey4%
Martin Frese3%
Daniel Svensson3%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Jeppe Tverskov0%
Oliver Antman0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolai Vallys42%
Mathias Kvistgaarden33%
Ohi Omoijuanfo32%
Yuito Suzuki23%
Sean Klaiber13%
Daniel Wass10%
Håkon Evjen9%
Jordi Vanlerberghe8%
Marko Divković7%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen7%
Filip Bundgaard7%
Josip Radošević6%
Frederik Alves Ibsen6%
Rasmus Lauritsen5%
Mathias Greve4%
Jacob Rasmussen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Blás Riveros0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Noah Nartey0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Clement Bischoff0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Frederik Alves Ibsen38%
Yousef Salech33%
Jordi Vanlerberghe25%
Clement Bischoff25%
Henrik Heggheim23%
Daniel Wass23%
Blás Riveros20%
Jacob Rasmussen17%
Mathias Kvistgaarden17%
Rasmus Lauritsen16%
Ohi Omoijuanfo13%
Mathias Greve12%
Kevin Tshiembe12%
Josip Radošević10%
Nicolai Vallys10%
Patrick Pentz7%
Marko Divković7%
Oscar Schwartau7%
Sean Klaiber4%
Yuito Suzuki4%
Kevin Mensah0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Håkon Evjen0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Noah Nartey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yuito Suzuki23%
Blás Riveros20%
Daniel Wass19%
Nicolai Vallys19%
Håkon Evjen18%
Marko Divković18%
Mathias Kvistgaarden17%
Filip Bundgaard13%
Noah Nartey11%
Mathias Greve8%
Jacob Rasmussen7%
Kevin Tshiembe6%
Kevin Mensah6%
Sean Klaiber4%
Josip Radošević3%
Ohi Omoijuanfo3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Frederik Alves Ibsen0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Clement Bischoff0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Kvistgaarden17%
Yuito Suzuki15%
Ohi Omoijuanfo13%
Nicolai Vallys10%
Filip Bundgaard7%
Daniel Wass6%
Frederik Alves Ibsen6%
Marko Divković4%
Jacob Rasmussen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Mathias Greve0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Mensah0%
Thomas Mikkelsen0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Sean Klaiber0%
Håkon Evjen0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Blás Riveros0%
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen0%
Henrik Heggheim0%
Yousef Salech0%
Noah Nartey0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Clement Bischoff0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
HVI (21)
€5m
FC Nordsjaelland's squad is €11m less valuable than Brondby's (€37m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
HVI (6)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €3m more valuable than Brondby's (€18m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €4m less valuable than Brondby's (€7m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
HVI (9)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €10m less valuable than Brondby's (€12m vs €22m).
Denmark: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus
Randers FC
Viborg
Vejle
Silkeborg
Lyngby
Odense
Hvidovre