This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Lugano
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.72
1.44
1.67
1.56
1.78
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.80
1.25
1.75
1.29
1.86
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.33
3.00
1.00
2.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
22% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
FC Sion goals ↓
FC Lugano goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
6.1%
7.3%
5.0%
2.6%
1
3.5%
10%
9.6%
6.6%
3.4%
2
2.9%
6.0%
6.3%
4.3%
2.2%
3
1.3%
2.6%
2.7%
1.9%
1.0%
4
0.4%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Sion goals (down), columns = FC Lugano goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
FC Sion is 0.77 points worse than FC Lugano in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion is 0.51 goals worse than FC Lugano in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.64).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
FC Sion is 0.77 goals worse than FC Lugano in terms of goals conceded per game (2.08 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
FC Sion is 6.6 percentage points worse than FC Lugano in terms of average possession (48% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Sion
For 4.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Lugano
For 3.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
11.1
10.9
11.4
6.0
6.6
5.4
24.6
26.1
23.0
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
10.0
8.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
24.5
24.0
25.0
vs Similar (12)
11.4
10.5
12.3
6.6
7.0
6.2
25.1
27.3
22.8
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
14.0
9.0
4.0
6.0
2.0
21.5
21.0
22.0
% over line
69%
75%
62%
75%
88%
62%
81%
88%
75%
% under line
31%
25%
38%
25%
12%
38%
19%
12%
25%
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Lugano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
9.4
9.2
9.6
5.4
5.4
5.3
24.8
25.3
24.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.6
9.4
9.9
5.8
5.6
6.0
25.7
26.1
25.3
vs Weaker (3)
8.3
8.0
8.5
3.3
4.0
3.0
20.3
19.0
21.0
% over line
44%
33%
56%
89%
89%
89%
78%
78%
78%
% under line
56%
67%
44%
11%
11%
11%
22%
22%
22%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
12.5
FC Luzern
11.7
FC Sion
11.1
FC Basel 1893
10.7
Servette FC
10.0
FC ST. Gallen
9.9
FC Zurich
9.5
FC Lugano
9.4
BSC Young Boys
9.3
FC Winterthur
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Basel 1893
6.2
FC ST. Gallen
6.1
FC Sion
6.0
FC Zurich
5.9
FC Winterthur
5.5
FC Lugano
5.4
Grasshoppers
5.2
FC Luzern
5.2
Servette FC
4.9
BSC Young Boys
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Lugano
24.8
FC Zurich
24.8
FC Sion
24.6
BSC Young Boys
24.4
FC ST. Gallen
24.2
Grasshoppers
23.9
FC Basel 1893
23.8
FC Luzern
23.4
FC Winterthur
22.5
Servette FC
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.5%
Under 9.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.1%
Under 3.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.7%
Under 21.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.94
0.62
1.12
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.92
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Lugano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.78
0.78
0.56
0.89
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.80
0.62
0.75
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.81
0.81
0.50
1.00
1.12
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.75
0.67
0.83
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Lugano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.89
0.67
0.89
1.00
0.89
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mario Balotelli33%
Giovanni Sio33%
Filip Stojilković28%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Yassin Fortune14%
Itaitinga11%
Anto Grgić6%
Musa Araz6%
Luca Zuffi5%
Dimitri Cavaré4%
Joel Schmied4%
Kevin Bua4%
Denis Will Poha3%
Ylyas Chouaref3%
François Moubandje0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Baltazar0%
Gaetan Karlen0%
Heinz Lindner0%
Dennis Iapichino0%
Reto Ziegler0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Kevin Halabaku0%
Abdel Rachid Zagré0%
Gora Diouf0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Balotelli50%
Baltazar35%
Wylan Cyprien33%
Numa Lavanchy33%
Gora Diouf33%
Musa Araz29%
Reto Ziegler27%
François Moubandje25%
Giovanni Sio22%
Gaetan Karlen21%
Dimitri Cavaré21%
Anto Grgić19%
Denis Will Poha17%
Joel Schmied17%
Filip Stojilković17%
Abdel Rachid Zagré17%
Nathanaël Saintini15%
Kevin Bua14%
Yassin Fortune14%
Ylyas Chouaref9%
Itaitinga7%
Dennis Iapichino7%
Luca Zuffi5%
Kevin Halabaku5%
Heinz Lindner4%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reto Ziegler20%
Kevin Bua11%
Numa Lavanchy9%
Itaitinga7%
Denis Will Poha7%
Dennis Iapichino7%
Anto Grgić6%
Musa Araz6%
Filip Stojilković6%
Luca Zuffi5%
Kevin Halabaku5%
Dimitri Cavaré4%
Baltazar4%
Nathanaël Saintini4%
Mario Balotelli0%
Ylyas Chouaref0%
François Moubandje0%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Gaetan Karlen0%
Heinz Lindner0%
Joel Schmied0%
Giovanni Sio0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Abdel Rachid Zagré0%
Gora Diouf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
François Moubandje25%
Mario Balotelli22%
Itaitinga21%
Filip Stojilković17%
Giovanni Sio15%
Anto Grgić6%
Ylyas Chouaref6%
Wylan Cyprien6%
Denis Will Poha3%
Musa Araz3%
Dimitri Cavaré0%
Kevin Bua0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Kevin Fickentscher0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Baltazar0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Gaetan Karlen0%
Heinz Lindner0%
Dennis Iapichino0%
Joel Schmied0%
Reto Ziegler0%
Alexandros Safarikas0%
Kevin Halabaku0%
Abdel Rachid Zagré0%
Gora Diouf0%
FC Lugano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Celar45%
Ignacio Aliseda30%
Renato Steffen25%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura22%
Reto Ziegler18%
Jonathan Sabbatini8%
Ousmane Doumbia8%
Boris Babić7%
Uran Bislimi7%
Milton Valenzuela6%
Maren Haile-Selassie6%
Kreshnik Hajrizi5%
Hicham Mahou5%
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud5%
Mattia Bottani4%
Allan Arigoni4%
Lars Lukas Mai0%
Mickaël Facchinetti0%
Jhon Espinoza0%
Fabio Daprelà0%
Roman Macek0%
Sebastian Osigwe0%
Amir Saipi0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Chinwendu Johan Nkama0%
Albian Hajdari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Allan Arigoni43%
Kreshnik Hajrizi42%
Albian Hajdari42%
Renato Steffen36%
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud29%
Milton Valenzuela28%
Hicham Mahou20%
Fabio Daprelà19%
Amir Saipi13%
Jhon Espinoza12%
Mickaël Facchinetti11%
Jonathan Sabbatini11%
Ousmane Doumbia11%
Boris Babić11%
Roman Macek10%
Uran Bislimi10%
Žan Celar10%
Reto Ziegler9%
Mattia Bottani7%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura6%
Maren Haile-Selassie6%
Lars Lukas Mai5%
Ignacio Aliseda0%
Sebastian Osigwe0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Chinwendu Johan Nkama0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Renato Steffen21%
Roman Macek21%
Adrian Durrer20%
Maren Haile-Selassie18%
Jhon Espinoza12%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura12%
Allan Arigoni11%
Hicham Mahou10%
Milton Valenzuela9%
Reto Ziegler9%
Ignacio Aliseda9%
Žan Celar6%
Jonathan Sabbatini5%
Ousmane Doumbia5%
Mattia Bottani4%
Boris Babić4%
Lars Lukas Mai0%
Mickaël Facchinetti0%
Fabio Daprelà0%
Sebastian Osigwe0%
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud0%
Amir Saipi0%
Kreshnik Hajrizi0%
Uran Bislimi0%
Chinwendu Johan Nkama0%
Albian Hajdari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Celar35%
Renato Steffen14%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura12%
Maren Haile-Selassie12%
Mattia Bottani11%
Ignacio Aliseda9%
Jonathan Sabbatini8%
Ousmane Doumbia8%
Boris Babić4%
Milton Valenzuela3%
Lars Lukas Mai0%
Mickaël Facchinetti0%
Jhon Espinoza0%
Fabio Daprelà0%
Roman Macek0%
Allan Arigoni0%
Sebastian Osigwe0%
Reto Ziegler0%
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud0%
Amir Saipi0%
Hicham Mahou0%
Kreshnik Hajrizi0%
Uran Bislimi0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Chinwendu Johan Nkama0%
Albian Hajdari0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FC Sion's squad is €9m less valuable than FC Lugano's (€30m vs €39m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Sion's attack is €7m more valuable than FC Lugano's (€15m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
FC Sion's midfield is €1m less valuable than FC Lugano's (€6m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Sion's defence is €15m less valuable than FC Lugano's (€9m vs €24m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC Zurich
FC Winterthur
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy