This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.63
1.60
1.73
1.47
1.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
0.50
1.25
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.73
1.77
1.90
2.00
1.58
1.58
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
FC Sion goals ↓
Servette FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.6%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.7%
12%
7.1%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.3%
9.3%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.1%
5.2%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.2%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Sion goals (down), columns = Servette FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Aarau
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Winterthur
0.61
FC Sion is 0.26 points better than Servette FC in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Winterthur
1.16
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion is 0.21 goals worse than Servette FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.87).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Winterthur
2.63
FC Sion is 0.61 goals better than Servette FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.66).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
FC Aarau
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Winterthur
44%
FC Sion is 0.8 percentage points worse than Servette FC in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Sion
For 3.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
For 5.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.0
10.6
4.0
4.7
3.4
24.0
23.7
24.4
vs Stronger (4)
11.8
8.0
13.0
5.8
8.0
5.0
25.0
22.0
26.0
vs Similar (36)
9.7
9.2
10.4
4.3
5.2
3.5
24.1
24.1
24.1
vs Weaker (10)
8.8
7.5
9.7
2.2
2.4
2.0
22.8
21.0
24.0
% over line
53%
43%
64%
64%
75%
54%
72%
67%
77%
% under line
47%
57%
36%
36%
25%
46%
28%
33%
23%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.9
11.5
12.2
4.1
4.1
4.0
21.9
21.5
22.3
vs Stronger (12)
12.2
11.4
13.0
3.8
5.2
2.5
18.7
19.8
17.6
vs Similar (35)
11.8
11.6
12.0
4.3
3.9
4.7
22.9
21.8
23.9
vs Weaker (3)
11.3
11.0
12.0
2.3
2.5
2.0
22.0
23.0
20.0
% over line
76%
70%
83%
58%
64%
52%
54%
61%
48%
% under line
24%
30%
17%
42%
36%
48%
46%
39%
52%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Servette FC
11.9
FC Zurich
10.8
BSC Young Boys
10.7
Lausanne
10.5
FC Basel 1893
10.3
FC ST. Gallen
10.3
FC Luzern
10.3
FC Winterthur
10.0
Grasshoppers
9.8
FC Sion
9.7
FC Lugano
8.8
FC Thun
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.5
FC Basel 1893
5.0
FC Lugano
5.0
FC Aarau
5.0
FC Luzern
4.9
FC Zurich
4.8
Lausanne
4.7
FC Sion
4.7
Grasshoppers
4.7
FC Thun
4.6
BSC Young Boys
4.4
Servette FC
4.1
FC Winterthur
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Thun
29.7
FC Basel 1893
26.0
FC Lugano
25.1
FC Zurich
24.7
FC Luzern
24.6
Lausanne
24.5
BSC Young Boys
24.2
FC ST. Gallen
24.1
Grasshoppers
23.6
FC Sion
23.4
Servette FC
21.9
FC Winterthur
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.4%
Under 3.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.61
0.83
0.58
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.73
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.68
0.70
0.80
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.86
0.71
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.83
1.00
0.58
0.55
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.97
1.07
1.00
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.57
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.09
1.20
1.20
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rilind Nivokazi27%
Benjamin Kololli25%
Ylyas Chouaref24%
Winsley Boteli Mokango24%
Donat Rrudhani14%
Liam Scott Chipperfield14%
Josias Lukembila12%
Ali Kabacalman8%
Franck Surdez6%
Baltazar Costa6%
Théo Berdayes6%
Noé Sow3%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Jan Kronig3%
Numa Lavanchy3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Nias Hefti0%
Lamine Diack0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Adrien Llukes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kreshnik Hajrizi41%
Baltazar Costa23%
Theo Bouchlarhem20%
Ali Kabacalman19%
Jan Kronig17%
Adrien Llukes14%
Numa Lavanchy14%
Franck Surdez12%
Josias Lukembila12%
Liam Scott Chipperfield11%
Nias Hefti11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Benjamin Kololli11%
Noé Sow10%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Ylyas Chouaref5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Théo Berdayes3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Lamine Diack0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franck Surdez19%
Ylyas Chouaref18%
Rilind Nivokazi14%
Nias Hefti11%
Théo Berdayes9%
Benjamin Kololli7%
Theo Bouchlarhem7%
Baltazar Costa6%
Numa Lavanchy5%
Ali Kabacalman5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Josias Lukembila3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Jan Kronig0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rilind Nivokazi30%
Ylyas Chouaref21%
Benjamin Kololli18%
Josias Lukembila9%
Théo Berdayes9%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Jan Kronig0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Baltazar Costa0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Franck Surdez0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Ayé35%
Junior Kadile31%
Thomas Lopes29%
Miroslav Stevanović27%
Samuel Mráz26%
Jérémy Guillemenot18%
David Douline14%
Alexis Antunes12%
Jamie Atangana11%
Keyan Varela9%
Steve Rouiller8%
Ablie Jallow7%
Lamine Fomba6%
Timothé Cognat6%
Yoan Severin6%
Marco Burch6%
Lilian Njoh5%
Dylan Bronn0%
Joel Mall0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Anthony Baron0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Giotto Morandi0%
Gaël Ondoua0%
Teo Allix0%
Théo Magnin0%
Loun Srdanovic0%
Tiemoko Ouattara0%
Mardochee Miguel0%
Malek Ishuayed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gaël Ondoua42%
Mardochee Miguel40%
Lamine Fomba34%
Tiemoko Ouattara33%
Houboulang Mendes31%
Loun Srdanovic29%
Timothé Cognat26%
Bradley Mazikou25%
Dylan Bronn22%
David Douline21%
Théo Magnin21%
Alexis Antunes19%
Teo Allix18%
Steve Rouiller17%
Yoan Severin17%
Florian Ayé15%
Junior Kadile15%
Malek Ishuayed15%
Giotto Morandi15%
Jérémy Guillemenot14%
Jeremy Frick8%
Ablie Jallow7%
Thomas Lopes7%
Marco Burch6%
Lilian Njoh5%
Miroslav Stevanović5%
Joel Mall3%
Anthony Baron0%
Samuel Mráz0%
Keyan Varela0%
Jamie Atangana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Kadile62%
Lilian Njoh21%
Miroslav Stevanović20%
Thomas Lopes14%
Anthony Baron13%
Houboulang Mendes12%
Timothé Cognat11%
Jérémy Guillemenot11%
Bradley Mazikou8%
Florian Ayé8%
Malek Ishuayed8%
David Douline7%
Loun Srdanovic7%
Lamine Fomba6%
Dylan Bronn6%
Steve Rouiller6%
Samuel Mráz5%
Giotto Morandi5%
Joel Mall0%
Ablie Jallow0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Yoan Severin0%
Alexis Antunes0%
Gaël Ondoua0%
Marco Burch0%
Teo Allix0%
Théo Magnin0%
Tiemoko Ouattara0%
Keyan Varela0%
Jamie Atangana0%
Mardochee Miguel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Junior Kadile38%
Alexis Antunes38%
Florian Ayé31%
Miroslav Stevanović22%
Samuel Mráz18%
Jérémy Guillemenot11%
David Douline7%
Thomas Lopes7%
Lamine Fomba3%
Dylan Bronn0%
Joel Mall0%
Ablie Jallow0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Anthony Baron0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Yoan Severin0%
Timothé Cognat0%
Giotto Morandi0%
Gaël Ondoua0%
Marco Burch0%
Teo Allix0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Théo Magnin0%
Loun Srdanovic0%
Tiemoko Ouattara0%
Keyan Varela0%
Jamie Atangana0%
Mardochee Miguel0%
Malek Ishuayed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
FC Sion's squad is €8m more valuable than Servette FC's (€30m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
FC Sion's attack is €8m more valuable than Servette FC's (€15m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
FC Sion's midfield is €1m less valuable than Servette FC's (€6m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Sion's defence is €1m more valuable than Servette FC's (€9m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
FC Aarau