This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.47
1.20
1.13
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
-
-
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.48
1.50
1.14
1.18
1.91
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
FC Thun goals ↓
FC Sion goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
4.6%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.6%
11%
6.3%
2.5%
0.8%
2
8.1%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.0%
6.0%
3.6%
1.5%
0.4%
4
2.3%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Thun goals (down), columns = FC Sion goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Aarau
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Winterthur
0.61
FC Thun is 0.32 points better than FC Sion in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Winterthur
1.16
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Thun is 0.45 goals better than FC Sion in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Winterthur
2.63
FC Thun is 0.32 goals worse than FC Sion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
FC Aarau
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Winterthur
44%
FC Thun is 4.9 percentage points worse than FC Sion in terms of average possession (46% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Thun
For 4.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
For 5.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Thun
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.2
8.3
1.1
1.2
1.0
29.5
31.2
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
8.7
9.3
8.3
4.6
4.7
4.5
29.6
32.3
28.2
vs Weaker (41)
9.0
9.0
-
0.3
0.7
0.0
29.5
29.5
-
% over line
36%
40%
33%
20%
21%
19%
91%
100%
83%
% under line
64%
60%
67%
80%
79%
81%
9%
0%
17%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.4
10.8
4.7
5.1
4.3
24.1
23.9
24.4
vs Stronger (4)
11.8
8.0
13.0
5.8
8.0
5.0
25.0
22.0
26.0
vs Similar (40)
10.0
9.6
10.6
4.8
5.1
4.3
24.2
24.2
24.2
vs Weaker (6)
8.8
7.5
9.7
3.7
4.0
3.3
22.8
21.0
24.0
% over line
55%
48%
62%
74%
81%
67%
73%
68%
79%
% under line
45%
52%
38%
26%
19%
33%
27%
32%
21%
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Servette FC
11.6
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.7
BSC Young Boys
10.7
FC Luzern
10.1
FC ST. Gallen
10.1
FC Sion
10.0
FC Winterthur
9.9
FC Basel 1893
9.9
Grasshoppers
9.8
FC Lugano
8.8
FC Thun
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.5
FC Lugano
5.2
FC Aarau
5.0
FC Luzern
5.0
Grasshoppers
4.9
FC Zurich
4.8
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Sion
4.8
Lausanne
4.6
FC Thun
4.6
Servette FC
4.2
BSC Young Boys
4.1
FC Winterthur
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Thun
29.5
FC Basel 1893
26.3
FC Zurich
25.7
FC Lugano
25.7
FC Luzern
25.0
FC ST. Gallen
24.7
BSC Young Boys
24.5
Lausanne
24.3
FC Sion
24.0
Grasshoppers
23.6
Servette FC
22.4
FC Winterthur
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.4%
Under 3.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.5%
Under 21.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Thun
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.00
0.43
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
0.76
0.48
1.00
0.27
0.50
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.72
0.79
0.64
0.27
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Thun
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.60
1.43
0.43
1.06
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (21)
1.29
0.57
1.55
0.36
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
63% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.76
0.71
0.50
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Thun
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elmin Rastoder39%
Leonardo Bertone30%
Christopher Ibayi30%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry23%
Kastriot Imeri20%
Valmir Matoshi15%
Genís Montolio14%
Nils Reichmuth12%
Brighton Labeau8%
Furkan Dursun8%
Mattias Käit7%
Fabio Fehr7%
Michael Heule6%
Marco Bürki6%
Lucien Dähler5%
Justin Roth4%
Jan Bamert3%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Dominik Franke0%
Layton Stewart0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Tim Spycher0%
Noah Rupp0%
Marc Gutbub0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Bürki33%
Michael Heule26%
Leonardo Bertone24%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry23%
Fabio Fehr21%
Valmir Matoshi21%
Dominik Franke17%
Christopher Ibayi17%
Justin Roth14%
Kastriot Imeri13%
Niklas Steffen11%
Genís Montolio11%
Lucien Dähler11%
Mattias Käit10%
Nils Reichmuth9%
Jan Bamert9%
Elmin Rastoder8%
Marc Gutbub7%
Noah Rupp6%
Brighton Labeau6%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Layton Stewart0%
Tim Spycher0%
Furkan Dursun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Heule23%
Fabio Fehr21%
Kastriot Imeri20%
Elmin Rastoder14%
Christopher Ibayi13%
Lucien Dähler11%
Nils Reichmuth9%
Valmir Matoshi9%
Furkan Dursun8%
Marco Bürki6%
Leonardo Bertone6%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry6%
Brighton Labeau6%
Genís Montolio4%
Justin Roth4%
Mattias Käit3%
Jan Bamert3%
Niklas Steffen3%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Dominik Franke0%
Layton Stewart0%
Tim Spycher0%
Noah Rupp0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elmin Rastoder22%
Leonardo Bertone18%
Brighton Labeau17%
Kastriot Imeri13%
Christopher Ibayi13%
Michael Heule13%
Nils Reichmuth9%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry9%
Furkan Dursun8%
Mattias Käit7%
Jan Bamert6%
Lucien Dähler5%
Justin Roth4%
Valmir Matoshi3%
Marco Bürki0%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Dominik Franke0%
Genís Montolio0%
Layton Stewart0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Fabio Fehr0%
Tim Spycher0%
Noah Rupp0%
Marc Gutbub0%
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rilind Nivokazi27%
Benjamin Kololli25%
Ylyas Chouaref24%
Winsley Boteli Mokango24%
Donat Rrudhani14%
Liam Scott Chipperfield14%
Josias Lukembila12%
Ali Kabacalman8%
Franck Surdez6%
Baltazar Costa6%
Théo Berdayes6%
Noé Sow3%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Jan Kronig3%
Numa Lavanchy3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Nias Hefti0%
Lamine Diack0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Adrien Llukes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kreshnik Hajrizi41%
Baltazar Costa23%
Theo Bouchlarhem20%
Ali Kabacalman19%
Jan Kronig17%
Adrien Llukes14%
Numa Lavanchy14%
Franck Surdez12%
Josias Lukembila12%
Liam Scott Chipperfield11%
Nias Hefti11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Benjamin Kololli11%
Noé Sow10%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Ylyas Chouaref5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Théo Berdayes3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Lamine Diack0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franck Surdez19%
Ylyas Chouaref18%
Rilind Nivokazi14%
Nias Hefti11%
Théo Berdayes9%
Benjamin Kololli7%
Theo Bouchlarhem7%
Baltazar Costa6%
Numa Lavanchy5%
Ali Kabacalman5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Josias Lukembila3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Jan Kronig0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rilind Nivokazi30%
Ylyas Chouaref21%
Benjamin Kololli18%
Josias Lukembila9%
Théo Berdayes9%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Jan Kronig0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Baltazar Costa0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Franck Surdez0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
FC Thun's squad is €13m less valuable than FC Sion's (€17m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
FC Thun's attack is €11m less valuable than FC Sion's (€4m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
FC Thun and FC Sion have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Thun's defence is €2m less valuable than FC Sion's (€8m vs €9m).
Switzerland: Super League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
Servette FC
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
FC Aarau