This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.46
1.68
1.79
1.64
1.14
1.71
vs Stronger (12)
1.25
1.50
1.67
1.00
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (16)
1.62
1.81
1.88
2.12
1.38
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
11% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2 ✓
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
FC Winterthur goals ↓
Grasshoppers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.5%
7.2%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Winterthur goals (down), columns = Grasshoppers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
FC Winterthur is 0.33 points worse than Grasshoppers in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Winterthur is 0.67 goals worse than Grasshoppers in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
FC Winterthur is 0.06 goals worse than Grasshoppers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.78).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
FC Winterthur is 5.0 percentage points worse than Grasshoppers in terms of average possession (41% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Winterthur
For 5.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grasshoppers
For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Winterthur
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.8
10.2
9.4
5.3
4.6
5.9
23.1
23.2
23.1
vs Stronger (25)
9.6
9.8
9.3
5.2
4.2
6.2
23.0
23.2
22.8
vs Similar (3)
11.3
15.0
9.5
6.0
10.0
4.0
24.3
23.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
46%
43%
75%
64%
86%
70%
77%
64%
% under line
56%
54%
57%
25%
36%
14%
30%
23%
36%
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
11.7
12.0
11.4
5.1
4.3
6.0
24.8
24.6
25.0
vs Stronger (12)
12.3
13.8
10.8
5.2
4.7
5.8
24.3
25.0
23.7
vs Similar (16)
11.2
10.6
11.9
5.1
4.0
6.1
25.2
24.4
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
75%
71%
79%
79%
64%
93%
82%
79%
86%
% under line
25%
29%
21%
21%
36%
7%
18%
21%
14%
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
11.7
FC Luzern
11.2
FC Sion
10.8
Servette FC
10.6
FC Basel 1893
10.6
FC ST. Gallen
10.4
BSC Young Boys
10.0
FC Winterthur
9.8
FC Lugano
9.7
FC Zurich
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
6.0
FC Zurich
5.8
FC Sion
5.8
FC Luzern
5.7
FC Basel 1893
5.7
FC Winterthur
5.5
FC Lugano
5.5
Servette FC
5.2
Grasshoppers
5.1
BSC Young Boys
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
24.8
FC Zurich
24.8
FC Sion
24.4
BSC Young Boys
24.2
FC Luzern
24.1
FC ST. Gallen
24.1
FC Basel 1893
23.7
FC Winterthur
23.1
Servette FC
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.6%
Under 9.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.7%
Under 3.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.8%
Under 21.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.96
0.50
0.71
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (25)
0.60
1.00
0.54
0.77
0.67
1.25
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.68
0.86
0.64
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.75
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.62
0.88
0.62
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.39
0.82
0.43
0.93
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (25)
0.36
0.80
0.38
1.00
0.33
0.58
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
1.00
0.93
1.00
0.57
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.75
0.83
0.33
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (16)
0.88
1.19
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
36% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Winterthur
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquín Ardaiz31%
Roman Buess18%
Samir Ramizi17%
Matteo Di Giusto15%
Stephan Seiler14%
Nishan Burkart12%
Noe Holenstein12%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez9%
Florian Kamberi8%
Sayfallah Ltaief7%
Samuel Ballet5%
Hekuran Kryeziu0%
Markus Kuster0%
Neftali Manzambi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Michael Gonçalves0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samir Ramizi42%
Remo Arnold30%
Stephan Seiler29%
Granit Lekaj27%
Sayfallah Ltaief27%
Samuel Ballet26%
Michael Gonçalves24%
Roy Gelmi23%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez18%
Timothy Fayulu18%
Souleymane Diaby17%
Florian Kamberi15%
Thibault Corbaz15%
Eris Abedini15%
Hekuran Kryeziu13%
Adrian Gantenbein13%
Yannick Schmid12%
Nishan Burkart12%
Noe Holenstein12%
Roman Buess12%
Tobias Schättin8%
Matteo Di Giusto6%
Neftali Manzambi6%
Markus Kuster0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Ardaiz19%
Neftali Manzambi11%
Hekuran Kryeziu9%
Adrian Gantenbein9%
Thibault Corbaz8%
Roman Buess6%
Matteo Di Giusto6%
Nishan Burkart4%
Michael Gonçalves4%
Souleymane Diaby3%
Markus Kuster0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Noe Holenstein0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joaquín Ardaiz12%
Matteo Di Giusto9%
Sayfallah Ltaief7%
Roman Buess6%
Hekuran Kryeziu0%
Markus Kuster0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Neftali Manzambi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Michael Gonçalves0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Noe Holenstein0%
Grasshoppers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guilherme Schettine26%
Renat Dadaşov24%
Shkelqim Demhasaj23%
Hayao Kawabe21%
Christián Herc16%
Petar Pušić12%
Meritan Shabani12%
Tsiy William Ndenge11%
Tomás Ribeiro11%
Francis Momoh9%
Dion Kacuri8%
Giotto Morandi6%
Bendegúz Bolla6%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira6%
Noah Loosli3%
Nadjack0%
Lei Li0%
Georg Margreitter0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Teruki Hara0%
André Moreira0%
Dominik Schmid0%
Justin Hammel0%
Sangbin Jeong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Renat Dadaşov32%
Guilherme Schettine32%
Amir Abrashi30%
Christián Herc28%
Tomás Ribeiro26%
Bendegúz Bolla24%
Ayumu Seko19%
Francis Momoh18%
Dominik Schmid18%
Lei Li17%
Noah Loosli17%
Tsiy William Ndenge15%
Nadjack14%
Sangbin Jeong14%
Hayao Kawabe12%
Petar Pušić12%
André Moreira11%
Meritan Shabani8%
Shkelqim Demhasaj8%
Giotto Morandi6%
Georg Margreitter6%
Teruki Hara0%
Justin Hammel0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francis Momoh36%
Hayao Kawabe18%
Petar Pušić18%
Shkelqim Demhasaj15%
Renat Dadaşov15%
Giotto Morandi12%
Guilherme Schettine11%
Bendegúz Bolla9%
Christián Herc6%
Tsiy William Ndenge4%
Tomás Ribeiro4%
Noah Loosli3%
Ayumu Seko3%
Dominik Schmid3%
Meritan Shabani0%
Nadjack0%
Lei Li0%
Georg Margreitter0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Teruki Hara0%
André Moreira0%
Justin Hammel0%
Sangbin Jeong0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guilherme Schettine21%
Shkelqim Demhasaj15%
Renat Dadaşov12%
Hayao Kawabe9%
Francis Momoh9%
Meritan Shabani4%
Christián Herc3%
Bendegúz Bolla3%
Dominik Schmid3%
Nadjack0%
Lei Li0%
Georg Margreitter0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Teruki Hara0%
André Moreira0%
Tsiy William Ndenge0%
Petar Pušić0%
Noah Loosli0%
Giotto Morandi0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Justin Hammel0%
Sangbin Jeong0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FC Winterthur's squad is €10m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€6m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's attack is €2m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
FC Winterthur's midfield is €2m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's defence is €5m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€2m vs €7m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Zurich
FC Sion
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy