This highly anticipated Super League match between FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 on August 22nd is finely balanced, with no clear favourite. FC Basel 1893's recent form note suggests they're coming off a win, but FC Zurich's recent defeat against FC Lugano, a 0-5 loss, raises concerns. The model predicts a 40% chance of an away win, with FC Basel 1893 being the favourite, and a 33% chance of a home win.
The expected total goals is 3.0, with the most likely total goals being 2. The model's most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.4%. FC Zurich struggles at home, scoring an average of 1.25 goals and conceding 1.75, while facing stronger opponents. In contrast, FC Basel 1893 scores 2.4 goals and concedes 1.8 when playing away against weaker opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (83.1%), Over 1.5 goals (80.9%), and Over 3.5 cards (71.5%). The probabilities of a home win, draw, and away win are 33%, 27%, and 40% respectively.
Results analysis
After a run of two straight defeats, FC Zurich’s form has been shaky, while FC Basel 1893 have been on a two-game winning streak. The Pythia model’s favourite was an Away win with a 40 % probability, and the prediction proved correct as Basel edged Zurich 1-2. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3 %, Under 6.5 hit at 94.8 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93 %, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.7 %. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Zurich winâś— Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 3.04
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.35
888Sport
3.30
Unibet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Drawâś— Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.61
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.81
Betfair
3.80
Dafabet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.70
FC Basel 1893 winâś“ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.15
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.25
Dafabet
2.23
SBO
2.21
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Zurich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.97
1.47
1.67
1.00
2.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.20
1.96
1.31
1.77
1.08
2.17
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.33
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.67
1.29
1.29
1.31
2.15
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.76
1.33
1.33
1.20
2.40
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
@ 1.17-0.0%
Under 1.5
19.9%
@ 4.70+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.14
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.57-3.8%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 2.34+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.60
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Bet365
2.35
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
@ 2.37-5.6%
Under 3.5
66.3%
@ 1.53+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Betfair
2.45
888Sport
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.1%
@ 1.49-2.3%
No
39.9%
@ 2.47+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.50
No
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 7.01+6.2%
1-2 âś“
8.8%@ 8.27+3.3%
2-1
8.0%@ 10.24+3.6%
0-1
7.1%@ 10.04+2.6%
0-0
6.5%@ 14.24+3.3%
1-0
6.3%@ 12.32+2.7%
0-2
6.3%@ 11.90+2.5%
2-2
6.1%@ 10.61+1.9%
FC Zurich goals ↓
FC Basel 1893 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
7.1%
6.3%
3.2%
1.2%
1
6.3%
13%
8.8%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.2%
8.0%
6.1%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.4%
3.7%
2.8%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Zurich goals (down), columns = FC Basel 1893 goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Zurich is 0.67 points worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Zurich is 0.33 goals worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Zurich is 1.17 goals worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Zurich is 5.2 percentage points worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Zurich or Drawâś— Miss
57.4%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.68
Edge
+1.7%
34%
27%
40%
covers FC Zurich + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
888Sport
1.75
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.70
FC Zurich or FC Basel 1893âś“ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.8%
34%
27%
40%
covers FC Zurich + FC Basel 1893
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Draw or FC Basel 1893âś“ Hit
67.4%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.34
Edge
-2.5%
34%
27%
40%
covers Draw + FC Basel 1893
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.4%
@ 1.25+4.3%
Under
21.6%
@ 3.59-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Betano
3.65
FC Zurich over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 2.27+4.2%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.59-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.29
Unibet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
FC Zurich over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 5.08+1.6%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.14-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
888Sport
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
FC Zurich over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.96-0.9%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.0%
@ 1.15+2.3%
Under
17.0%
@ 4.83-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.80
888Sport
4.80
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.9%
@ 1.80+1.0%
Under
47.1%
@ 1.95-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.51-0.2%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.27+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.79
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
FC Basel 1893 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 7.64-1.7%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.06+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
888Sport
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.70
1xBet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Zurich, so a minus line means FC Zurich give that many goals of a start and FC Basel 1893 receive them. At -1, FC Zurich must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Zurich win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Zurich)Actual: FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich -2
6.1%
@ 12.62-1.0%
Draw -2
9.8%
@ 8.53-0.8%
FC Basel 1893 +2
84.1%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
12.50
Superbet
11.00
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Away
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Handicap -1 (FC Zurich)Actual: FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich -1
15.9%
@ 6.01+1.0%
Draw -1
16.6%
@ 5.01-1.3%
FC Basel 1893 +1
67.4%
@ 1.34+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.45
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Handicap +1 (FC Zurich)Actual: Draw
FC Zurich +1
57.4%
@ 1.69+4.4%
Draw +1
19.4%
@ 4.00-3.0%
FC Basel 1893 -1
23.3%
@ 3.63-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.74
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.75
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
10Bet
3.50
Handicap +2 (FC Zurich)Actual: FC Zurich
FC Zurich +2
76.7%
@ 1.23+4.3%
Draw +2
13.1%
@ 5.79-2.3%
FC Basel 1893 -2
10.1%
@ 7.39-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.50
Away
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Zurich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.53
0.80
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.88
0.46
0.85
0.75
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.47
0.46
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.68
0.53
0.47
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.1%
@ 1.26-1.1%
Under 0.5
27.9%
@ 3.45+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.9%
@ 2.27-4.1%
Under 1.5
63.1%
@ 1.58+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.36
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 5.12-5.5%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.14+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
William Hil
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.6%
@ 1.99-1.2%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.74+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 5.93-1.9%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.10+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Betano
5.90
Superbet
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 17.33-3.6%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 1.74-2.3%
Under
48.8%
@ 2.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Marathonbet
1.74
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 4.59-6.3%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.16+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 12.08-4.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Zurich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.13
0.93
0.87
0.33
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
-
-
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
1.08
0.85
0.92
0.33
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.76
0.82
0.85
1.15
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
1.08
0.80
0.87
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.8%
Under 0.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.0%
Under 1.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.2%
Under 2.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.6%
Under
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.2%
Under
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.3%
Under
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
âś“ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.4%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+1.2%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
+0.9%
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+1.7%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5
88.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Unibet
1.06
+0.6%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.14
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+5.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+1.9%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.16
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+6.3%
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.1%
1.10
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-
+1.8%
âś“ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+2.3%
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-0.0%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.0%
1.14
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-1.6%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
+4.3%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Home +2 handicap
76.7%
1.23
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+4.3%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5
76.1%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-1.4%
âś“ Hit
Home or Away
75.2%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+0.8%
âś“ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.0%
1.30
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
+4.6%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.8%
1.27
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+0.2%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.1%
1.26
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-1.1%
âś“ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Zurich's squad is €34m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€15m vs €49m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Zurich's attack is €10m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€6m vs €16m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Zurich's midfield is €14m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€3m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Zurich's defence is €11m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€6m vs €16m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz