This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.53
1.93
1.29
1.19
1.75
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
1.50
2.00
1.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.55
1.90
1.40
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
-
-
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
Feyenoord goals ↓
Heerenveen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
5.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.5%
12%
5.7%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.8%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.6%
5.8%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.5%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feyenoord goals (down), columns = Heerenveen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Feyenoord is 0.33 points worse than Heerenveen in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Feyenoord and Heerenveen are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
Feyenoord and Heerenveen are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Feyenoord
For 6.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heerenveen
For 7.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feyenoord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.5
9.8
3.3
2.7
3.8
21.2
20.0
22.4
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
11.0
11.0
-
vs Similar (19)
10.2
9.7
10.5
4.5
4.0
4.8
24.1
22.4
25.1
vs Weaker (30)
9.1
9.2
9.1
2.5
2.0
3.1
19.8
19.5
20.2
% over line
50%
46%
54%
42%
33%
50%
40%
29%
50%
% under line
50%
54%
46%
58%
67%
50%
60%
71%
50%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.4
9.2
2.9
3.2
2.6
21.9
20.8
23.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.6
10.2
9.0
2.5
2.0
3.2
18.5
17.2
20.2
vs Similar (36)
10.1
10.8
9.5
3.1
3.9
2.4
23.4
22.1
24.6
vs Weaker (3)
7.0
6.0
7.5
1.7
0.0
2.5
18.7
22.0
17.0
% over line
53%
74%
33%
36%
48%
26%
55%
48%
62%
% under line
47%
26%
67%
64%
52%
74%
45%
52%
38%
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Excelsior Maassluis
15.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
Quick Boys
12.0
Den Bosch
11.7
Dordrecht
11.6
VVV Venlo
11.4
Waalwijk
11.3
De Graafschap
11.3
Almere City FC
10.9
FC OSS
10.8
GO Ahead Eagles
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Willem II
10.6
PSV Eindhoven
10.5
Helmond Sport
10.4
FC Volendam
10.4
Heracles
10.4
MVV
10.4
Fortuna Sittard
10.4
Telstar
10.3
Vitesse
10.3
NEC Nijmegen
10.3
Emmen
10.0
Roda
10.0
De Treffers
10.0
AZ Alkmaar
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
FC Eindhoven
9.9
ADO Den Haag
9.9
Heerenveen
9.7
Utrecht
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
NAC Breda
9.6
Ajax
9.6
Katwijk
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.4
Groningen
9.4
Twente
9.2
Cambuur
9.2
Hoek
9.0
AFC Amsterdam
9.0
Hoogeveen
9.0
GVVV Veenendaal
9.0
HHC
8.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
De Treffers
8.0
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
AFC Amsterdam
5.0
Excelsior Maassluis
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.4
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Twente
4.1
Dordrecht
4.1
FC OSS
4.1
Vitesse
4.1
Gemert
4.0
Hoek
4.0
HHC
4.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
4.0
Ajax
4.0
Fortuna Sittard
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Groningen
3.9
Cambuur
3.8
Heracles
3.8
Emmen
3.7
NAC Breda
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Excelsior
3.7
PEC Zwolle
3.7
Sparta Rotterdam
3.6
Feyenoord
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
Den Bosch
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
VVV Venlo
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
Roda
3.4
Telstar
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
FC Eindhoven
3.3
Heerenveen
3.2
Almere City FC
3.2
MVV
3.2
Willem II
3.0
Katwijk
3.0
Quick Boys
3.0
GVVV Veenendaal
3.0
Waalwijk
2.9
Hoogeveen
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rijnsburgse Boys
32.0
Excelsior Maassluis
31.0
FC OSS
29.2
Vitesse
27.4
Helmond Sport
27.0
Cambuur
26.9
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Dordrecht
26.4
Emmen
25.8
AFC Amsterdam
25.0
Telstar
24.5
MVV
24.1
Roda
24.0
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
VVV Venlo
23.9
De Graafschap
23.5
Fortuna Sittard
23.5
Heracles
23.4
Ajax
23.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.4
FC Volendam
23.4
Den Bosch
23.1
Gemert
23.0
De Treffers
23.0
Excelsior
23.0
PEC Zwolle
22.7
Utrecht
22.5
FC Eindhoven
22.2
AZ Alkmaar
22.0
Twente
21.9
NAC Breda
21.9
Heerenveen
21.9
Feyenoord
21.2
Quick Boys
21.0
GVVV Veenendaal
21.0
Groningen
20.9
Waalwijk
20.8
Almere City FC
20.7
Willem II
20.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.3
Hoek
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
18.7
Sparta Rotterdam
18.5
Katwijk
17.0
Hoogeveen
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.8%
Under 21.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Feyenoord or Draw✗ Miss
79.1%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Feyenoord + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord or Heerenveen✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Feyenoord + Heerenveen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heerenveen✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Draw + Heerenveen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
Under
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.2%
Under
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.5%
Under
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.6%
Under
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Feyenoord, so a minus line means Feyenoord give that many goals of a start and Heerenveen receive them. At -1, Feyenoord must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Feyenoord win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Feyenoord)Actual: Heerenveen
Feyenoord -2
14.0%
Draw -2
16.8%
Heerenveen +2
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Feyenoord)Actual: Heerenveen
Feyenoord -1
30.8%
Draw -1
22.9%
Heerenveen +1
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Feyenoord)Actual: Draw
Feyenoord +1
79.1%
Draw +1
12.9%
Heerenveen -1
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Feyenoord)Actual: Feyenoord
Feyenoord +2
92.0%
Draw +2
5.7%
Heerenveen -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feyenoord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.47
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.45
0.35
1.60
0.20
1.30
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.00
1.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.65
0.90
0.50
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feyenoord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.03
1.00
1.07
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.80
0.60
1.80
0.60
1.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.65
1.20
0.70
1.30
0.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.79
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.90
1.00
0.90
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feyenoord
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayase Ueda38%
Anis Hadj Moussa28%
Sem Steijn25%
Casper Tengstedt22%
Quinten Timber17%
Gonçalo Borges17%
Shaqueel van Persie14%
Leo Sauer14%
Jordan Bos11%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe10%
Givairo Read10%
Jakub Moder9%
Luciano Valente7%
Cyle Larin7%
Oussama Targhalline6%
Bart Nieuwkoop4%
Aymen Sliti4%
In-Beom Hwang4%
Raheem Sterling0%
Jordan Lotomba0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Gernot Trauner0%
Timon Wellenreuther0%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Mats Deijl0%
Gijs Smal0%
Jaden Slory0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Jan Plug0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Tobias van den Elshout0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Moder27%
Luciano Valente26%
Oussama Targhalline24%
Anel Ahmedhodžić22%
Anis Hadj Moussa18%
Givairo Read15%
Mats Deijl14%
Jaden Slory14%
Shaqueel van Persie14%
Timon Wellenreuther14%
Cyle Larin13%
Bart Nieuwkoop13%
Raheem Sterling12%
In-Beom Hwang12%
Thijs Kraaijeveld12%
Gonçalo Borges11%
Quinten Timber8%
Sem Steijn7%
Leo Sauer7%
Ayase Ueda5%
Gijs Smal4%
Jordan Lotomba4%
Jordan Bos3%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe3%
Gernot Trauner0%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Casper Tengstedt0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Jan Plug0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Tobias van den Elshout0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan Bos22%
Anis Hadj Moussa18%
In-Beom Hwang17%
Quinten Timber17%
Luciano Valente16%
Givairo Read15%
Mats Deijl14%
Sem Steijn14%
Shaqueel van Persie14%
Raheem Sterling12%
Gijs Smal12%
Oussama Targhalline12%
Jakub Moder9%
Tobias van den Elshout9%
Leo Sauer7%
Cyle Larin7%
Anel Ahmedhodžić6%
Gonçalo Borges6%
Aymen Sliti4%
Jordan Lotomba4%
Ayase Ueda2%
Gernot Trauner0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Timon Wellenreuther0%
Bart Nieuwkoop0%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Casper Tengstedt0%
Jaden Slory0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Jan Plug0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayase Ueda42%
Anis Hadj Moussa22%
Sem Steijn18%
Casper Tengstedt17%
Shaqueel van Persie14%
Quinten Timber12%
Gaoussou Diarra11%
Tobias van den Elshout9%
Jordan Bos8%
Luciano Valente7%
Leo Sauer7%
Cyle Larin7%
Gonçalo Borges6%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe3%
Raheem Sterling0%
Jordan Lotomba0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
In-Beom Hwang0%
Gernot Trauner0%
Timon Wellenreuther0%
Bart Nieuwkoop0%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Mats Deijl0%
Gijs Smal0%
Jakub Moder0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Givairo Read0%
Jaden Slory0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Jan Plug0%
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Trenskow39%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås28%
Dylan Vente24%
Václav Sejk21%
Ringo Meerveld21%
Maxence Rivera15%
Luuk Brouwers14%
Luca Oyen12%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen11%
Eser Gürbüz6%
Joris van Overeem5%
Vasilios Zagaritis5%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland5%
Maas Willemsen3%
Sam Kersten3%
Marcus Linday3%
Oliver Braude3%
Andries Noppert0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Mats Egbring0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Linday19%
Oliver Braude19%
Nolhan Courtens17%
Maxence Rivera15%
Maas Willemsen14%
Sam Kersten14%
Luuk Brouwers11%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås11%
Mats Egbring11%
Joris van Overeem11%
Vasilios Zagaritis11%
Hristiyan Petrov8%
Bernt Klaverboer6%
Eser Gürbüz6%
Václav Sejk5%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland5%
Dylan Vente3%
Ringo Meerveld3%
Jacob Trenskow3%
Andries Noppert0%
Luca Oyen0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joris van Overeem24%
Jacob Trenskow18%
Maxence Rivera18%
Luuk Brouwers14%
Ringo Meerveld12%
Mats Egbring11%
Vasilios Zagaritis11%
Dylan Vente9%
Oliver Braude8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås6%
Marcus Linday5%
Václav Sejk5%
Andries Noppert0%
Sam Kersten0%
Luca Oyen0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lasse Selvåg Nordås28%
Dylan Vente26%
Jacob Trenskow26%
Maxence Rivera24%
Ringo Meerveld6%
Luca Oyen6%
Luuk Brouwers6%
Vasilios Zagaritis3%
Andries Noppert0%
Joris van Overeem0%
Sam Kersten0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Marcus Linday0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Václav Sejk0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Oliver Braude0%
Mats Egbring0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Feyenoord's squad is €179m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€229m vs €50m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
Feyenoord's attack is €69m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€93m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Feyenoord's midfield is €36m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€43m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Feyenoord's defence is €73m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€93m vs €20m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Heracles