FK Crvena Zvezda vs Trabzonspor Result & Analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda are tipped to lift the trophy, with the model picking a home win and a 56% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of a Trabzonspor win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a lively match, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.7% chance, even though the final result ended 2-1 for the hosts.

At home, Crvena Zvezda average four goals scored and one conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Trabzonspor, on the road, average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded to the same tier. The model’s picks include an 87.3% chance of over 2.5 cards, a 79.4% chance of over 1.5 goals, a 79.2% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 77.9% chance of under 11.5 corners, and a 73.1% chance of over 3.5 cards. The home side’s recent form, coming off a win, and Trabzonspor’s recent struggles after two defeats add context to the predicted outcome.

The 2-1 victory for FK Crvena Zvezda extended their winning run, confirming the model’s pick of a home win at 56 percent probability, a correct call. The match finished 2-1, matching the actual result. The model’s suggested picks delivered a mix of hits and misses: Over 1.5 goals hit at 79.4 percent, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 79.2 percent, Under 11.5 corners hit at 77.9 percent, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 87.3 percent and Over 3.5 cards missed at 73.1 percent. The predicted most likely score of 2-0 at 24 percent was close, but the 2-1 outcome was the actual. Overall, the model’s selections were largely accurate, with only two of five picks falling short.