This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.00
1.33
1.93
1.07
2.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
3.33
0.33
3.67
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.64
1.64
1.55
1.18
1.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0 ✓
9.1%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
FK Jablonec goals ↓
Zbrojovka Brno goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.7%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.1%
12%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.7%
2.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Jablonec goals (down), columns = Zbrojovka Brno goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
FK Jablonec is 0.20 points better than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
FK Jablonec is 0.23 goals better than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
FK Jablonec is 0.03 goals better than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
FK Jablonec is 1.7 percentage points worse than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Jablonec
For 5.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zbrojovka Brno
For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
9.8
9.3
10.3
3.8
3.9
3.8
24.5
24.1
24.9
vs Stronger (6)
9.8
9.5
10.0
3.7
6.0
1.3
24.8
26.5
23.7
vs Similar (24)
9.5
9.2
9.8
4.0
3.7
4.4
24.4
23.6
25.2
vs Weaker (2)
17.0
-
17.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
59%
57%
60%
47%
38%
56%
71%
77%
67%
% under line
41%
43%
40%
53%
62%
44%
29%
23%
33%
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
10.3
11.3
9.2
3.4
4.1
2.6
22.8
23.7
21.8
vs Stronger (6)
11.7
11.3
12.0
4.7
4.7
4.7
23.8
24.7
23.0
vs Similar (24)
9.8
11.2
8.2
3.1
4.0
2.2
22.9
23.8
21.8
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
13.0
11.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
18.5
19.0
18.0
% over line
55%
67%
43%
50%
62%
38%
54%
53%
54%
% under line
45%
33%
57%
50%
38%
62%
46%
47%
46%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pardubice
11.9
Sigma Olomouc
11.4
Plzen
11.2
Baník Ostrava
11.1
Slovan Liberec
10.9
Slavia Praha
10.9
České Budějovice
10.6
Mlada Boleslav
10.3
Zbrojovka Brno
10.3
Sparta Praha
10.2
Teplice
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Hradec Králové
9.6
Slovácko
9.6
Bohemians 1905
9.1
Zlin
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.7
Hradec Králové
5.2
Baník Ostrava
4.9
Slavia Praha
4.6
Slovan Liberec
4.3
Teplice
4.3
Plzen
4.3
FK Jablonec
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
Bohemians 1905
4.0
Pardubice
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.8
Zbrojovka Brno
3.7
České Budějovice
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.7
Mlada Boleslav
28.4
Zlin
26.0
Slovan Liberec
25.9
Slovácko
25.9
Teplice
25.6
Sparta Praha
25.6
Sigma Olomouc
25.1
Slavia Praha
25.0
FK Jablonec
24.5
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Pardubice
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.9
České Budějovice
23.5
Plzen
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.1%
Under 3.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.3%
Under 21.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.50
0.64
0.27
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.53
1.00
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.86
0.55
0.91
0.27
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.13
1.13
0.87
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.00
0.67
1.33
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (22)
1.14
0.91
1.18
0.82
1.09
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.07
0.80
0.93
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.77
1.09
0.64
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Král33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Stepanek67%
Michal Surzyn33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Považanec33%
Matěj Polidar33%
Václav Sejk33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Zbrojovka Brno
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jiří Texl33%
Jakub Řezníček0%
Wale Musa Alli0%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hladík0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Řezníček0%
Wale Musa Alli0%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Jiří Texl0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hladík0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wale Musa Alli33%
Jakub Řezníček0%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Jiří Texl0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hladík0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Řezníček67%
Jan Hladík67%
Wale Musa Alli33%
Matěj Hrabina0%
Jakub Nečas0%
Šimon Falta0%
Jiří Texl0%
Adam Fousek0%
Jan Hlavica0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
FK Jablonec's squad is €5m more valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€14m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's attack is €1m more valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€4m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's midfield is €2m more valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
FK Jablonec's defence is €1m more valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€6m vs €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
České Budějovice
Vyškov
Příbram