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Floreşti vs Victoria Bardar Result & Analysis

Date: 19/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-3
Floreşti
Floreşti
Vs
76%
15%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Floreşti win✗ Miss
75.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar win✗ Miss
9.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-740W21W70W02L02L21W31W31W20W20WH·SPA17/03A·VIC23/03H·FĂL07/04A·DIN15/04A·DAC21/04A·SPA29/04H·VIC03/05A·FĂL06/05H·DIN10/05H·VĂS14/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.762.550.451.201.10
vs Stronger (19)2.000.792.600.501.331.11
vs Similar (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W12L14L15L51W02L13L13L13L62WA·DIN17/03H·FLO23/03A·SPA09/04H·DAC14/04A·FĂL21/04H·DIN29/04A·FLO03/05H·SPA06/05A·DAC10/05H·FĂL14/05
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.452.002.502.002.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)4.671.334.501.505.001.00
vs Weaker (8)1.002.880.753.001.252.75
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%117%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.2%
Under 1.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.8%
Under 2.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.0%
Under 3.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
Floreşti goals ↓
Victoria Bardar goals →
01234
03.1%1.6%1.0%0.3%0.1%
16.2%6.9%2.9%0.9%0.2%
29.5%8.8%4.1%1.3%0.3%
38.8%8.2%3.8%1.2%0.3%
46.2%5.7%2.6%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floreşti goals (down), columns = Victoria Bardar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Floreşti is 1.17 points better than Victoria Bardar in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Floreşti is 0.33 goals better than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Floreşti is 1.78 goals better than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 2.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D30W00D01L11D21W10W10W00DH·SPA17/03A·VIC23/03H·FĂL07/04A·DIN15/04A·DAC21/04A·SPA29/04H·VIC03/05A·FĂL06/05H·DIN10/05H·VĂS14/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.361.170.170.600.60
vs Stronger (11)0.910.361.170.170.600.60
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D12L20W01L12L02L01L01LA·DIN17/03H·FLO23/03H·DAC14/04A·FĂL21/04H·DIN29/04A·FLO03/05H·SPA06/05A·DAC10/05H·FĂL14/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.110.401.401.000.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
vs Weaker (7)0.571.290.501.500.671.00
Clean sheet %22% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W10W40W02L01L10W10W21W10W20WH·SPA17/03A·VIC23/03H·FĂL07/04A·DIN15/04A·DAC21/04A·SPA29/04H·VIC03/05A·FĂL06/05H·DIN10/05H·VĂS14/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.360.361.830.000.800.80
vs Stronger (11)1.360.361.830.000.800.80
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D01L03L31W01L01L11D12L61WA·DIN17/03H·FLO23/03H·DAC14/04A·FĂL21/04H·DIN29/04A·FLO03/05H·SPA06/05A·DAC10/05H·FĂL14/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.331.401.401.251.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)4.501.006.001.003.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.431.430.251.500.671.33
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.2%-------✓ Hit
Home win75.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.571.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
FLO wins
0
Draws
0
VB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floreşti vs Victoria Bardar · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/23HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar3-1
23/03/23AVictoria Bardar Vs FLO1-2

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HFLO Vs Văsieni2-0
10/05/23HFLO Vs Dinamo-Auto2-0
06/05/23AFăleşti Vs FLO1-3
03/05/23HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar3-1
29/04/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs FLO1-2
21/04/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs FLO2-0
15/04/23ADinamo-Auto Vs FLO2-0
07/04/23HFLO Vs Făleşti7-0
23/03/23AVictoria Bardar Vs FLO1-2
17/03/23HFLO Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HVB Vs Făleşti6-2
10/05/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs VB3-1
06/05/23HVB Vs Spartanii Selemet1-3
03/05/23AFloreşti Vs VB3-1
29/04/23HVB Vs Dinamo-Auto0-2
21/04/23AFăleşti Vs VB1-5
14/04/23HVB Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-5
09/04/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs VB4-1
23/03/23HVB Vs Floreşti1-2
17/03/23ADinamo-Auto Vs VB1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.19
HomeWWWWW2.55
AwayWLLWW1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%82%60%
AVG goals2.673.002.30
Over 1.5 %76%82%70%
Over 2.5 %52%55%50%
Over 3.5 %29%45%10%
Scored1.902.551.20
Conceded0.760.451.10
BTTS38%27%50%
Clean Sheet48%73%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.09
HomeLLLLW1.00
AwayWLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%40%
AVG goals4.454.504.40
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %91%83%100%
Over 3.5 %73%67%80%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded2.452.502.40
BTTS91%83%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
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Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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