This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.97
0.80
2.07
0.53
1.87
vs Stronger (28)
0.71
1.96
0.86
1.93
0.57
2.00
vs Similar (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0 ✓
10.0%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
Frosinone goals ↓
Chievo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.7%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
1
9.0%
14%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.0%
7.6%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.4%
3.0%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Frosinone goals (down), columns = Chievo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Juventus
2.37
Napoli
2.08
Inter
1.82
Atalanta
1.82
AC Milan
1.79
AS Roma
1.74
Torino
1.66
Lazio
1.55
Sampdoria
1.39
Bologna
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Udinese
1.13
Spal
1.11
Cagliari
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Parma
1.08
Empoli
1.00
Genoa
1.00
Frosinone
0.66
Chievo
0.53
Frosinone is 0.13 points better than Chievo in terms of average points per game (0.66 vs 0.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Atalanta
2.03
Napoli
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.74
Sampdoria
1.58
Inter
1.50
Lazio
1.47
AC Milan
1.45
Sassuolo
1.39
Torino
1.37
Empoli
1.34
Bologna
1.26
Fiorentina
1.24
Spal
1.16
Parma
1.08
Udinese
1.03
Genoa
1.03
Cagliari
0.95
Frosinone
0.76
Chievo
0.66
Frosinone is 0.11 goals better than Chievo in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 0.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Juventus
0.79
Inter
0.87
Napoli
0.95
AC Milan
0.95
Torino
0.97
Fiorentina
1.18
Atalanta
1.21
Lazio
1.21
AS Roma
1.26
Sampdoria
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Cagliari
1.42
Bologna
1.47
Spal
1.47
Genoa
1.50
Sassuolo
1.58
Parma
1.61
Frosinone
1.82
Empoli
1.84
Chievo
1.97
Frosinone is 0.16 goals better than Chievo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.97).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Frosinone
For 5.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 16.4 · Total 32.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
For 2.5 · Against 7.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 11.7 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.2
4.6
4.3
5.0
29.7
29.2
30.1
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
8.2
11.6
3.4
3.8
3.0
25.4
27.1
23.6
vs Similar (25)
9.9
10.4
9.4
5.0
4.7
5.2
31.3
29.8
32.6
vs Weaker (9)
10.4
11.2
9.8
6.0
4.2
7.4
32.8
31.5
33.8
% over line
54%
42%
65%
64%
62%
65%
90%
96%
85%
% under line
46%
58%
35%
36%
38%
35%
10%
4%
15%
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
8.8
11.8
4.9
4.7
5.0
27.7
27.0
28.3
vs Stronger (45)
10.6
9.0
12.1
5.0
4.9
5.1
27.5
27.3
27.8
vs Similar (5)
8.4
8.0
9.0
3.8
3.3
4.5
28.8
25.3
34.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
56%
72%
64%
64%
64%
80%
76%
84%
% under line
36%
44%
28%
36%
36%
36%
20%
24%
16%
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Inter
12.0
AS Roma
11.4
Fiorentina
11.3
Udinese
11.0
AC Milan
10.9
Napoli
10.8
Atalanta
10.8
Sassuolo
10.7
Juventus
10.6
Torino
10.6
Lazio
10.4
Spal
10.4
Chievo
10.3
Sampdoria
10.3
Bologna
10.1
Parma
10.0
Frosinone
10.0
Empoli
10.0
Cagliari
10.0
Genoa
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spal
6.0
Fiorentina
5.6
Torino
5.5
Bologna
5.2
Lazio
5.2
Sassuolo
5.0
Cagliari
4.9
Genoa
4.9
Sampdoria
4.9
Chievo
4.9
Inter
4.8
Parma
4.7
Juventus
4.6
Frosinone
4.6
Udinese
4.6
Napoli
4.5
Atalanta
4.4
AC Milan
4.4
AS Roma
4.2
Empoli
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torino
31.0
Frosinone
29.7
Spal
28.4
Fiorentina
27.9
Chievo
27.7
Sassuolo
27.6
Cagliari
27.1
Genoa
27.0
Bologna
26.9
Parma
26.2
Sampdoria
25.5
Atalanta
25.0
Udinese
25.0
Juventus
24.6
Inter
24.0
AC Milan
23.9
Empoli
23.8
Lazio
23.6
AS Roma
22.6
Napoli
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.5%
Under 9.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.2%
Under 3.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.1%
Under 21.5
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.43
1.07
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
1.08
0.14
1.14
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.73
0.83
1.00
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.83
0.33
1.07
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (28)
0.29
0.86
0.36
1.07
0.21
0.64
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.50
1.00
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.43
1.00
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.73
0.67
1.17
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.13
0.47
1.00
0.33
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
0.43
1.11
0.50
0.86
0.36
1.36
vs Similar (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Frosinone · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Raimondo67%
A. Terzić33%
G. Kvernadze33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
Matteo Cichella33%
Romano Schmid0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
P. Masini0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
G. Calvani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Romano Schmid67%
G. Calvani67%
A. Raimondo33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
P. Masini25%
A. Terzić0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
G. Kvernadze0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
Matteo Cichella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
G. Kvernadze67%
Giacomo Calò33%
A. Raimondo33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
A. Terzić0%
Romano Schmid0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
P. Masini0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
G. Calvani0%
Matteo Cichella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Raimondo33%
Matteo Cichella33%
A. Terzić0%
Romano Schmid0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
P. Masini0%
G. Kvernadze0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
G. Calvani0%
Gabriele Bracaglia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie A 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →