Frosinone faces a tough test against Juventus, with the visitors looking to continue their recent form. The away side has been in decent shape, scoring 1.5 goals on average against weaker opponents, while conceding just 0.4. Frosinone, on the other hand, has been on a four-game winning run, but this may be their toughest challenge yet. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability.
The model predicts an away win, with a 46% chance of Juventus taking all three points. The draw is a possibility, with a 28% probability. The home win is the least likely outcome, with a 26% chance. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with 2 goals being the most likely total.
The model's selections include a Draw or Away pick, with a 77.9% probability, an Over 1.5 selection, with a 74.1% probability, an Under 3.5 selection, with a 74.1% probability and an edge of 5%, a Home or Away pick, with a 72.4% probability.
Results analysis
The win extends Juventus’ recent run, with the away side coming off a victory to secure a 0-1 triumph over Frosinone. The model’s favourite, an away win at 41 %, proved correct, matching the final score and the actual result. The prediction that the match would finish 0-1 was the most likely score, a 13.7 % chance. Every model selection hit: Under 7.5 (99.5 %) and Under 6.5 (98.4 %) both came in, as did Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %) and Home under 3.5 goals (98.3 %). The remaining picks - Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %), Under 5.5 (95.4 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7 %), and Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.6 %) - also performed as forecast. The model’s predictions were remarkably accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Frosinone win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 13.1% · @ 7.28
Edge
+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.60
Pinnacle
7.54
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.64
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.92
Superbet
4.90
Dafabet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.85
Pinnacle
4.78
Juventus win✓ Hit
41.5%
Avg Implied 66.4% · @ 1.43
Edge
-24.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Dafabet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Frosinone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.87
2.33
0.73
1.87
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
2.17
0.96
2.36
0.82
2.00
1.08
vs Weaker (7)
1.86
0.57
2.25
0.50
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juventus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.90
2.00
0.67
1.53
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.73
1.27
2.50
0.25
1.29
1.86
vs Weaker (19)
1.79
0.68
1.82
0.82
1.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.2%
@ 1.21-4.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
@ 4.40+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
BetVictor
5.00
888Sport
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.66-9.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 2.25+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.36
SBO
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
@ 2.61-10.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
@ 1.48+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.5%
@ 1.83+2.3%
No
46.5%
@ 1.92-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.91
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
888Sport
1.83
No
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 8.16+8.2%
0-1 ✓
9.4%@ 7.20+3.1%
1-2
8.8%@ 7.65+2.9%
0-0
8.8%@ 13.39+5.4%
0-2
7.6%@ 6.96+1.1%
1-0
7.6%@ 18.36+5.1%
2-1
7.3%@ 18.56+4.8%
2-2
5.2%@ 16.05+2.3%
Frosinone goals ↓
Juventus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
9.4%
7.6%
3.6%
1.3%
1
7.6%
14%
8.8%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.1%
7.3%
5.2%
2.4%
0.9%
3
2.0%
2.8%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Frosinone goals (down), columns = Juventus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Venezia
1.12
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Frosinone
1.03
Monza
1.01
Lecce
1.00
Frosinone is 0.79 points worse than Juventus in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Venezia
1.00
Frosinone
0.91
Monza
0.90
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Frosinone is 0.70 goals worse than Juventus in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
AC Milan
0.92
Inter
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Parma
1.21
Bologna
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Venezia
1.48
Frosinone
1.62
Monza
1.64
Torino
1.66
Frosinone is 0.72 goals worse than Juventus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Frosinone
For 7.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Juventus
For 6.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.5
4.6
4.7
4.6
30.3
28.7
31.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
9.9
10.2
9.7
4.6
4.6
4.5
30.0
28.5
31.2
vs Weaker (12)
10.2
11.1
9.0
4.9
4.9
5.0
31.2
29.1
34.2
% over line
56%
54%
58%
70%
71%
69%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
44%
46%
42%
30%
29%
31%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juventus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
3.6
3.5
3.6
23.1
21.9
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.4
9.4
9.2
3.9
4.0
3.8
24.1
24.9
23.2
vs Weaker (33)
9.9
10.6
9.2
3.4
3.2
3.6
22.6
20.2
24.9
% over line
44%
48%
40%
56%
52%
60%
66%
60%
72%
% under line
56%
52%
60%
44%
48%
40%
34%
40%
28%
This opponent (Frosinone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
10.0
Lecce
9.9
Juventus
9.7
Bologna
9.4
Udinese
9.3
Inter
9.3
Atalanta
9.1
Venezia
9.0
Monza
9.0
Sassuolo
9.0
Fiorentina
8.9
Cagliari
8.8
AC Milan
8.7
AS Roma
8.7
Genoa
8.6
Lazio
8.6
Parma
8.5
Torino
8.5
Napoli
8.4
Como
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
4.8
Frosinone
4.8
Como
4.6
Monza
4.5
Genoa
4.4
Sassuolo
4.4
AS Roma
4.3
Venezia
4.3
Bologna
4.0
Cagliari
3.9
Parma
3.9
Lecce
3.8
Udinese
3.8
AC Milan
3.8
Juventus
3.6
Atalanta
3.6
Torino
3.5
Napoli
3.4
Inter
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
30.3
Venezia
29.8
Bologna
28.4
AS Roma
28.3
Fiorentina
28.1
Monza
27.4
Genoa
27.3
Cagliari
27.2
Como
26.3
Lecce
25.5
Udinese
25.1
Lazio
24.9
Sassuolo
24.7
Torino
24.6
Parma
24.4
Inter
24.1
Napoli
23.5
Juventus
23.1
Atalanta
21.9
AC Milan
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.8%
@ 1.86-4.3%
Under 9.5
54.2%
@ 1.87+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.88
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.8%
@ 1.50-10.2%
Under 3.5
48.2%
@ 2.44+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.30
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.5%
Under 21.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Frosinone or Draw✗ Miss
49.8%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.79
Edge
+15.8%
30%
29%
41%
covers Frosinone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.90
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
SBO
2.85
Superbet
2.85
Frosinone or Juventus✓ Hit
72.4%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.19
Edge
-7.4%
30%
29%
41%
covers Frosinone + Juventus
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Draw or Juventus✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 86.2% · @ 1.10
Edge
-8.4%
30%
29%
41%
covers Draw + Juventus
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Frosinone over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
62.3%
@ 1.65+5.7%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.14-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Under
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.22
888Sport
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Frosinone over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 4.23+3.4%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.20-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Pinnacle
4.52
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Frosinone over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 11.96-0.3%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Frosinone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 33.83-1.2%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
37.00
Betano
13.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Juventus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.4%
@ 1.07-7.2%
Under
20.6%
@ 6.96+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Juventus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.8%
@ 1.48-16.2%
Under
53.2%
@ 2.53+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.68
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Juventus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 2.52-16.0%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.49+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.55
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Juventus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 4.88-11.5%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.15+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Frosinone, so a minus line means Frosinone give that many goals of a start and Juventus receive them. At -1, Frosinone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Frosinone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Frosinone)Actual: Juventus
Frosinone -2
2.2%
@ 52.33+0.4%
Draw -2
6.0%
@ 21.67+1.6%
Juventus +2
91.8%
@ 1.02-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
71.00
Superbet
45.00
Bet365
41.00
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Handicap -1 (Frosinone)Actual: Juventus
Frosinone -1
8.2%
@ 15.60+2.4%
Draw -1
13.9%
@ 7.90+2.5%
Juventus +1
77.9%
@ 1.09-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Unibet
16.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Superbet
8.10
10Bet
7.50
Away
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Handicap +1 (Frosinone)Actual: Draw
Frosinone +1
49.8%
@ 2.79+17.3%
Draw +1
23.3%
@ 3.54-2.2%
Juventus -1
26.9%
@ 2.15-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.89
Unibet
2.85
Superbet
2.80
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.55
Unibet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Away
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Handicap +2 (Frosinone)Actual: Frosinone
Frosinone +2
73.1%
@ 1.65+18.4%
Draw +2
15.7%
@ 4.17-5.9%
Juventus -2
11.2%
@ 3.82-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.62
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
0.80
0.27
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.35
0.82
0.18
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juventus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.36
0.75
0.00
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (19)
0.68
0.26
0.64
0.45
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.7%
@ 1.31-5.3%
Under 0.5
33.3%
@ 3.36+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.5%
@ 2.42-8.3%
Under 1.5
69.5%
@ 1.53+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
SBO
2.51
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
SBO
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 5.47-4.4%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Superbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.7%
@ 2.94+4.0%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.36-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.14
Unibet
3.05
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 11.05-1.3%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
11.70
Marathonbet
11.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 50.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.6%
@ 1.52-4.6%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.41+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Unibet
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Juventus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 3.51-10.3%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.26+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Juventus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 9.00-4.9%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Unibet
9.50
Betano
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Under
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.50
1.53
0.47
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.26
0.61
1.55
0.64
1.00
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.14
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juventus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.60
1.33
0.33
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.18
0.91
1.75
0.25
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (19)
1.11
0.42
1.18
0.36
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.18+0.3%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 4.50-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.70
Unibet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.8%
@ 1.87-3.3%
Under 1.5
53.2%
@ 1.88+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 3.73-5.0%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.25+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
888Sport
3.90
Superbet
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
888Sport
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
@ 2.35+6.7%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.54-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.36
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 7.92+1.5%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.05-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
7.80
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 21.25-2.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Juventus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.1%
@ 1.35-9.9%
Under
40.9%
@ 3.01+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Juventus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.6%
@ 2.57-10.4%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.45+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Juventus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 6.00-10.2%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.10+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.20
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.6%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.4%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.4%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.0%
1.26
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.2%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.32
-
+14.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
888Sport
1.25
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.18
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
79.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-7.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
78.9%
1.49
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
+16.0%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-8.4%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.9%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
1.30
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
74.5%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.45
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-4.2%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.9%
1.48
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.50
Superbet
1.50
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
73.1%
1.65
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.62
+18.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.4%
1.23
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
-
-
-
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.4%
1.19
1xBet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
-7.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Frosinone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Antonio Raimondo67%
Giorgi Kvernadze33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
Romano Schmid0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Patrizio Masini0%
Lorenzo Palmisani0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Romano Schmid67%
Gabriele Calvani67%
Antonio Raimondo33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Patrizio Masini0%
Giorgi Kvernadze0%
Lorenzo Palmisani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giorgi Kvernadze67%
Giacomo Calò33%
Antonio Raimondo33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
Romano Schmid0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Patrizio Masini0%
Lorenzo Palmisani0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Raimondo33%
Romano Schmid0%
Alessio Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Patrizio Masini0%
Giorgi Kvernadze0%
Lorenzo Palmisani0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Gabriele Bracaglia0%
Juventus · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dušan Vlahović35%
Jérémie Boga24%
Kenan Yıldız21%
Jonathan David20%
Weston McKennie19%
Federico Gatti14%
Filip Kostić13%
Juan Cabal11%
Bremer10%
Francisco Conceição10%
Khéphren Thuram9%
Manuel Locatelli6%
Andrea Cambiaso6%
Loïs Openda6%
Vasilije Adžić6%
Lloyd Kelly4%
Pierre Kalulu4%
Fabio Miretti3%
Teun Koopmeiners2%
Mattia Perin0%
Daniele Rugani0%
Michele Di Gregorio0%
João Mário0%
Emil Holm0%
Edon Zhegrova0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Locatelli23%
Juan Cabal21%
Bremer16%
Lloyd Kelly15%
Weston McKennie12%
Teun Koopmeiners11%
Andrea Cambiaso11%
Francisco Conceição10%
Kenan Yıldız9%
João Mário8%
Federico Gatti7%
Fabio Miretti6%
Pierre Kalulu6%
Jérémie Boga6%
Vasilije Adžić6%
Khéphren Thuram4%
Filip Kostić4%
Edon Zhegrova4%
Michele Di Gregorio3%
Loïs Openda0%
Mattia Perin0%
Daniele Rugani0%
Jonathan David0%
Dušan Vlahović0%
Emil Holm0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kenan Yıldız17%
Francisco Conceição12%
Jonathan David11%
Andrea Cambiaso11%
Weston McKennie10%
Pierre Kalulu10%
Fabio Miretti10%
Khéphren Thuram9%
Dušan Vlahović9%
João Mário8%
Bremer6%
Filip Kostić4%
Lloyd Kelly4%
Manuel Locatelli4%
Teun Koopmeiners2%
Loïs Openda0%
Mattia Perin0%
Daniele Rugani0%
Jérémie Boga0%
Michele Di Gregorio0%
Emil Holm0%
Edon Zhegrova0%
Juan Cabal0%
Federico Gatti0%
Vasilije Adžić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dušan Vlahović26%
Kenan Yıldız21%
Jérémie Boga18%
Francisco Conceição14%
Khéphren Thuram11%
Jonathan David11%
Weston McKennie8%
Federico Gatti7%
Bremer6%
Fabio Miretti6%
Manuel Locatelli6%
Vasilije Adžić6%
Loïs Openda3%
Teun Koopmeiners2%
Andrea Cambiaso2%
Mattia Perin0%
Daniele Rugani0%
Filip Kostić0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Michele Di Gregorio0%
João Mário0%
Emil Holm0%
Edon Zhegrova0%
Juan Cabal0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
Frosinone's squad is €484m less valuable than Juventus's (€84m vs €569m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
Frosinone's attack is €206m less valuable than Juventus's (€34m vs €240m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
Frosinone's midfield is €113m less valuable than Juventus's (€27m vs €140m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
Frosinone's defence is €165m less valuable than Juventus's (€24m vs €189m).
Italy: Serie A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
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AS Roma
Inter
AC Milan
Atalanta
Lazio
Udinese
Como
Napoli
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Lecce
Torino
Bologna
Parma
Genoa
Monza
Venezia
Fiorentina