Genk vs Anderlecht Result & Analysis

Genk are the clear favourites, with the model picking a home win and assigning a 47% chance to that outcome, a 26% chance of a draw and a 27% chance for Anderlecht. The expected total of goals is three, yet the most likely total is two with a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12% chance. Genk’s home form shows an average of 1.75 goals scored and conceded against similar opposition, while Anderlecht’s away record against similar teams sees them scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.67. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 92.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 84.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 81.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.1%, Over 23.5 fouls at 73.3% and Under 10.5 corners at 73.1%. Genk entered the match on a win, Anderlecht after a defeat.

The pre-match favourite, Genk, failed to deliver, with Anderlecht snatching a 1-2 away win. The model had tipped a home victory at 47 percent, but its call was wrong. The match produced two goals, matching the most likely total of two, though the expected total of three was missed. All of the model’s other selections hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 92.7 percent, Over 21.5 fouls at 84.8 percent, Under 11.5 corners at 82.4 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81.3 percent, Under 5.5 cards at 78.6 percent, Over 2.5 cards at 76.1 percent, Over 23.5 fouls at 73.3 percent, and Under 10.5 corners at 73.1 percent. Genk’s recent form, a win after a 4-0 triumph, was not enough to overcome Anderlecht’s 0-3 loss at home.