Genk’s attacking rhythm and defensive solidity suggest a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting an average of 3.2 goals. The most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.3% chance. The model favours a home win, with probabilities of 61% for Genk, 22% for a draw, and 17% for SK Beveren. Genk, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Beveren, away against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Recent form hints at a cautious start: Genk came off a 4-4 draw with a mixed five-game run, whereas Beveren returned from a 0-4 loss. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.6% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7% with a 2% edge), Under 6.5 (96.2% with a 2% edge), Home +2 handicap (93.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (91.1% with a 2% edge), and Away under 2.5 goals (90.8% with a 1% edge).
Results analysis
Genk’s recent form, highlighted by a win that extended their run, proved decisive as they secured a 4-0 victory over SK Beveren. The model’s pre-match favourite, a home win with a 60% probability, was correct. The match outcome matched the predicted result, and the total of four goals surpassed the expected 3.1. The model’s selections largely came in: Under 7.5 (98.6%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%) hit, Under 6.5 (96.2%) hit, Home +2 handicap (93.0%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (91.1%) missed, and Away under 2.5 goals (90.8%) hit. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection was reported with its outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Genk win✓ Hit
59.6%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.47
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.52
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.90
BetVictor
4.75
Pinnacle
4.72
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.70
SK Beveren win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied 15.7% · @ 5.94
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
6.50
Unibet
6.50
1xBet
6.39
Dafabet
6.20
10Bet
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Genk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.33
1.36
0.86
1.81
1.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.67
1.33
1.40
0.60
1.86
1.86
vs Weaker (18)
1.56
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.78
1.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.03
1.93
0.73
2.27
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
2.25
1.04
2.09
0.73
2.38
1.31
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
@ 1.14-0.6%
Under 1.5
17.9%
@ 5.43+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.86
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.48-4.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
@ 2.56+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Betano
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.8%
@ 2.23-5.7%
Under 3.5
63.2%
@ 1.65+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
@ 1.60-1.1%
No
43.1%
@ 2.21+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Unibet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
No
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%@ 8.23+5.3%
2-1
10.0%@ 7.35+3.9%
2-0
9.6%@ 7.89+4.0%
1-0
8.5%@ 8.47+3.2%
3-1
6.8%@ 9.84+2.2%
3-0
6.6%@ 10.26+2.2%
0-0
5.6%@ 15.76+2.8%
2-2
5.1%@ 13.34+1.8%
Genk goals ↓
SK Beveren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
3.8%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
1
8.5%
11%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.6%
10.0%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
6.6%
6.8%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Genk goals (down), columns = SK Beveren goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Genk is 0.48 points better than SK Beveren in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 0.99).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Genk is 0.37 goals better than SK Beveren in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Genk is 0.58 goals better than SK Beveren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Genk
For 6.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SK Beveren
For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
11.2
8.1
3.5
3.3
3.6
22.5
22.4
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
9.0
10.9
7.6
3.5
3.3
3.7
23.0
23.3
22.8
vs Weaker (28)
10.0
11.4
8.6
3.5
3.3
3.6
22.1
21.9
22.3
% over line
46%
70%
24%
44%
40%
48%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
54%
30%
76%
56%
60%
52%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.8
2.7
2.2
3.1
22.8
21.6
23.8
vs Stronger (3)
10.5
13.0
8.0
2.0
0.5
5.0
23.0
24.0
22.0
vs Similar (42)
9.7
9.4
9.9
2.9
2.5
3.4
23.1
21.9
23.9
vs Weaker (5)
11.5
14.0
9.0
0.8
1.0
0.7
18.5
15.0
22.0
% over line
44%
56%
35%
34%
25%
42%
53%
44%
60%
% under line
56%
44%
65%
66%
75%
58%
47%
56%
40%
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Anderlecht
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.9
SK Beveren
9.8
Lommel United
9.7
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.5
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Antwerp
4.1
Lommel United
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
RAAL La Louvière
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
Lommel United
24.2
Antwerp
24.0
SK Beveren
23.5
Kortrijk
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
22.4
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
@ 1.89+9.1%
Under 9.5
41.7%
@ 1.83-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.9%
@ 1.74-4.5%
Under 3.5
51.1%
@ 1.99+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.66
Under
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Superbet
1.87
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.0%
Under 21.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Genk or Draw✓ Hit
81.7%
Avg Implied 84.0% · @ 1.12
Edge
-2.3%
60%
23%
17%
covers Genk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Genk or SK Beveren✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.17
Edge
-3.1%
60%
23%
17%
covers Genk + SK Beveren
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Draw or SK Beveren✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.60
Edge
+5.4%
60%
23%
17%
covers Draw + SK Beveren
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.67
Betano
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Genk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.7%
@ 1.07-0.5%
Under
13.3%
@ 7.28+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Under
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Unibet
7.00
Genk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.9%
@ 1.43-5.3%
Under
40.1%
@ 2.68+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
1xBet
2.78
BetVictor
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Genk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
32.9%
@ 2.36-6.8%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.55+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Unibet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Genk over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
14.6%
@ 4.43-6.3%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.17+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Unibet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.17
SK Beveren over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.4%
@ 1.47+1.8%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.56-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.57
BetVictor
2.55
SK Beveren over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.6%
@ 3.29+0.3%
Under
71.4%
@ 1.30-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.50
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
SK Beveren over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 8.56-1.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
SK Beveren over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 21.33-2.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Genk, so a minus line means Genk give that many goals of a start and SK Beveren receive them. At -1, Genk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Genk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Genk)Actual: Genk
Genk -2
17.9%
@ 3.99-4.7%
Draw -2
18.1%
@ 4.39-2.4%
SK Beveren +2
63.9%
@ 1.58+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.70
Draw
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.20
Away
Superbet
1.63
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Handicap -1 (Genk)Actual: Genk
Genk -1
36.1%
@ 2.19-4.9%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.71-1.7%
SK Beveren +1
41.4%
@ 2.58+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Unibet
2.14
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.64
Unibet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Away
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.53
Handicap +1 (Genk)Actual: Genk
Genk +1
81.7%
@ 1.12+1.6%
Draw +1
11.3%
@ 7.09-1.3%
SK Beveren -1
7.0%
@ 12.37-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (Genk)Actual: Genk
Genk +2
93.0%
@ 1.02+0.2%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 19.50+0.1%
SK Beveren -2
2.0%
@ 42.50-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Draw
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
19.00
Away
Betfair
51.00
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.88
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.50
0.56
0.67
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.47
1.00
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.50
1.00
0.36
0.92
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.25-1.6%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 3.62+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.85
William Hil
3.80
Unibet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.5%
@ 2.15-4.0%
Under 1.5
60.5%
@ 1.66+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Unibet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.7%
@ 4.65-1.4%
Under 2.5
81.3%
@ 1.17+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.90
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.0%
@ 1.47-13.2%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.53+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
22.6%
@ 3.19-6.4%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.30+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.26
Superbet
3.20
Unibet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
8.9%
@ 7.96-2.7%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.05+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.3%
@ 2.50+1.2%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.48-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.59
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Under
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 8.87+0.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.04-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
10.50
1xBet
9.10
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Superbet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 34.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
0.86
0.36
0.94
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.83
1.00
0.40
1.14
1.14
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.83
0.78
0.33
0.78
1.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.57
0.93
0.33
1.40
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
0.54
1.09
0.36
1.46
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.14-0.5%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 4.96+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.9%
@ 1.73-2.0%
Under 1.5
48.1%
@ 2.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.7%
@ 3.21-6.1%
Under 2.5
77.3%
@ 1.30+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.0%
@ 1.33-5.8%
Under
36.0%
@ 3.08+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
10Bet
2.95
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.1%
@ 2.52-3.7%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.46+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.42
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 5.86-6.4%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.10+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
5.85
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.1%
@ 2.07-4.7%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.68+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 6.39-3.0%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.08+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 19.67-2.8%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
90.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.4%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
1.37
Unibet
1.37
-
-
-
-
+17.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.1%
1.14
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.7%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.7%
1.12
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.3%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.15
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.2%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.30
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
+6.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.29
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.9%
1.17
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.25
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.4%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
1.51
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.45
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.3%
1.47
Unibet
1.53
Superbet
1.40
-
-
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.1%
1.34
Superbet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Genk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
SK Beveren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jearl Margaritha67%
Sieben Dewaele50%
Christophe Janssens25%
Christian Brüls25%
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Brüls25%
Ferre Slegers25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Genk's squad is €101m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€113m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Genk's attack is €35m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€39m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Genk's midfield is €16m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€19m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Genk's defence is €50m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€55m vs €5m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk