This opponent (St. Truiden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.50
1.33
1.20
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.71
1.25
2.00
0.33
3.67
vs Similar (16)
1.38
1.25
1.25
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.86
1.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.50-11.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 2.52+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2 ✓
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Genk goals ↓
St. Truiden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
5.8%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
1
9.7%
13%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.1%
9.6%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.0%
5.3%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.1%
2.2%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Genk goals (down), columns = St. Truiden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.41
Gent
1.90
Charleroi
1.86
Antwerp
1.83
Standard Liege
1.69
Genk
1.52
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.24
Mouscron
1.24
Kortrijk
1.14
St. Truiden
1.14
Eupen
1.03
Cercle Brugge
0.79
Oostende
0.76
SK Beveren
0.69
Genk is 0.38 points better than St. Truiden in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gent
2.03
Club Brugge KV
2.00
Charleroi
1.69
Antwerp
1.69
Standard Liege
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
Anderlecht
1.55
Genk
1.55
Zulte Waregem
1.41
Kortrijk
1.38
Mouscron
1.31
St. Truiden
1.14
Oostende
1.00
Eupen
0.97
Cercle Brugge
0.93
SK Beveren
0.72
Genk is 0.41 goals better than St. Truiden in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.48
Charleroi
0.79
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.10
Standard Liege
1.10
Gent
1.17
Mouscron
1.38
Genk
1.45
KV Mechelen
1.48
Kortrijk
1.52
Zulte Waregem
1.69
St. Truiden
1.72
Eupen
1.76
Cercle Brugge
1.86
Oostende
2.00
SK Beveren
2.07
Genk is 0.28 goals better than St. Truiden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Genk
For 6.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
For 5.1 · Against 8.0 · Total 13.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.3
10.1
4.1
4.0
4.1
26.1
27.8
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.8
11.1
10.3
4.1
3.9
4.5
29.2
29.3
29.0
vs Weaker (35)
10.6
11.4
10.0
4.1
4.1
4.0
25.0
26.8
23.7
% over line
60%
64%
56%
64%
60%
68%
88%
100%
75%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
36%
40%
32%
12%
0%
25%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.0
10.0
4.6
4.5
4.8
27.1
28.2
25.9
vs Stronger (14)
11.4
12.1
10.3
4.8
4.8
4.8
27.0
26.5
27.5
vs Similar (24)
10.5
10.6
10.4
4.2
3.8
4.5
27.6
29.2
26.2
vs Weaker (12)
9.4
10.0
8.8
5.4
5.5
5.3
25.7
28.0
21.0
% over line
56%
56%
56%
68%
64%
72%
88%
100%
75%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
32%
36%
28%
12%
0%
25%
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Genk
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.5
St. Truiden
10.5
Eupen
10.4
Gent
10.3
SK Beveren
10.3
Kortrijk
10.2
Antwerp
9.9
KV Mechelen
9.9
Anderlecht
9.8
Mouscron
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.7
Oostende
9.7
Standard Liege
9.4
Charleroi
9.4
Zulte Waregem
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
5.0
Standard Liege
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.8
Gent
4.7
St. Truiden
4.6
Mouscron
4.6
KV Mechelen
4.5
Anderlecht
4.5
Charleroi
4.5
SK Beveren
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.3
Oostende
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
Genk
4.1
Kortrijk
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Charleroi
30.1
Kortrijk
29.6
Mouscron
28.8
Antwerp
28.8
Zulte Waregem
28.8
KV Mechelen
28.7
Anderlecht
28.4
Gent
28.3
Eupen
28.3
Standard Liege
28.2
Cercle Brugge
28.0
SK Beveren
27.8
St. Truiden
27.1
Club Brugge KV
26.1
Genk
26.1
Oostende
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.3%
Under 21.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.75
0.20
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.68
0.64
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.60
0.47
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.29
0.25
0.75
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.25
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.38
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.30
1.00
0.92
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.43
1.00
1.25
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Genk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
St. Truiden · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Matsuzawa33%
Ryan Merlen25%
I. Sebaoui25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Ishiwatari75%
J. Pupe33%
A. Sissako25%
L. Kokubo25%
Ryan Merlen25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
V. Musliu0%
T. Hata0%
I. Sebaoui0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Genk's squad is €84m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€113m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
Genk's attack is €28m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€39m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Genk's midfield is €15m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€19m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
Genk's defence is €41m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€55m vs €14m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
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Club Brugge KV
Gent
Charleroi
Antwerp
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
Kortrijk
Cercle Brugge
Oostende
SK Beveren