This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.40
1.00
0.87
1.80
1.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.68
1.21
1.10
0.70
2.33
1.78
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
1.83
0.50
1.50
1.25
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
@ 1.71+9.9%
Under 2.5
34.8%
@ 2.12-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.8%
No
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
4.4%
Gent goals ↓
Charleroi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
4.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
1
5.8%
11%
6.8%
3.2%
1.1%
2
6.6%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
3
4.3%
6.0%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
4
2.1%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = Charleroi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Gent is 0.21 points better than Charleroi in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Gent is 0.26 goals better than Charleroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Gent is 0.21 goals better than Charleroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 4.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
For 5.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.4
9.6
3.9
3.7
4.2
26.3
26.7
25.8
vs Stronger (3)
10.7
8.5
15.0
4.0
3.0
6.0
28.0
26.5
31.0
vs Similar (21)
8.2
8.4
8.1
4.2
4.7
3.8
27.8
28.6
27.0
vs Weaker (26)
9.4
8.5
10.4
3.7
3.0
4.3
24.9
25.3
24.5
% over line
40%
36%
44%
52%
44%
60%
76%
80%
72%
% under line
60%
64%
56%
48%
56%
40%
24%
20%
28%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.1
3.7
3.6
3.8
25.9
24.9
26.8
vs Stronger (10)
9.7
9.2
10.0
3.7
3.2
4.0
26.0
23.8
27.5
vs Similar (27)
10.6
10.6
10.5
4.0
4.1
3.8
25.9
24.5
27.3
vs Weaker (13)
10.5
11.7
9.4
3.3
2.8
3.7
25.8
26.7
25.1
% over line
58%
54%
62%
48%
42%
54%
80%
75%
85%
% under line
42%
46%
38%
52%
58%
46%
20%
25%
15%
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
10.4
Oostende
10.4
Charleroi
10.4
Eupen
10.2
OH Leuven
10.2
Cercle Brugge
10.0
SK Beveren
10.0
Kortrijk
9.8
KV Mechelen
9.7
St. Truiden
9.7
Antwerp
9.6
Standard Liege
9.6
Mouscron
9.5
Zulte Waregem
9.5
Genk
9.4
Club Brugge KV
9.4
Anderlecht
9.2
Gent
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
4.5
Antwerp
4.4
St. Truiden
4.4
Cercle Brugge
4.3
Eupen
4.3
Beerschot VA
4.1
Standard Liege
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Genk
4.0
Mouscron
4.0
Anderlecht
3.9
Gent
3.9
Kortrijk
3.8
Club Brugge KV
3.7
Charleroi
3.7
KV Mechelen
3.6
Oostende
3.6
Zulte Waregem
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
28.4
Kortrijk
28.0
Anderlecht
27.5
Genk
27.2
St. Truiden
26.7
Gent
26.3
SK Beveren
26.1
KV Mechelen
26.1
Cercle Brugge
25.9
Charleroi
25.9
Eupen
25.7
Club Brugge KV
25.6
Antwerp
25.3
Beerschot VA
25.2
Oostende
25.1
Zulte Waregem
25.1
OH Leuven
25.1
Mouscron
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.6%
Under 9.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.3%
Under 21.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.55
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.59
0.89
0.67
1.12
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.20
0.33
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.58
0.30
0.20
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.87
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
4.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.36
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.71
1.22
0.44
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.73
0.80
0.53
1.33
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.63
0.80
0.50
1.78
0.78
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gent · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josué Vergara75%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Christian Burgess25%
Tiago Araújo25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Davy Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger33%
Kyrell Wilson33%
Christian Burgess25%
Leonardo Lopes25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Davy Roef0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Josué Vergara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo50%
László Bénes33%
Siebe Van Der Heyden25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Matties Volckaert25%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Josué Vergara0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josué Vergara50%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Charleroi · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof50%
Aurélien Scheidler33%
Aiham Ousou33%
Cheick Keita33%
Antoine Colassin25%
Freddy Mbemba25%
Amine Boukamir25%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aiham Ousou33%
Antoine Bernier25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Pflücke25%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof25%
Antoine Colassin25%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Adama Bojang25%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Pflücke75%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
Gent's squad is €27m more valuable than Charleroi's (€58m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
Gent's attack is €4m more valuable than Charleroi's (€17m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
BV (2)
€0m
Gent's midfield is €18m more valuable than Charleroi's (€22m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
Gent's defence is €5m more valuable than Charleroi's (€19m vs €14m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren