This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.53
1.60
1.40
1.47
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
2.14
1.00
2.00
0.67
2.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.74
1.35
1.82
1.18
1.67
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.1%
@ 1.56+6.6%
Under 2.5
32.9%
@ 2.39-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.6%
No
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.4%
Gent goals ↓
Genk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.8%
3.5%
1.8%
0.7%
1
5.3%
10%
6.9%
3.4%
1.3%
2
6.1%
9.1%
6.8%
3.4%
1.3%
3
4.0%
5.9%
4.4%
2.2%
0.8%
4
2.0%
2.9%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = Genk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Gent is 0.21 points worse than Genk in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Gent is 0.35 goals worse than Genk in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Gent is 0.18 goals better than Genk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
For 4.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.0
9.9
4.1
4.0
4.1
26.0
24.8
27.1
vs Stronger (3)
11.7
6.0
14.5
7.3
5.0
8.5
25.5
26.0
25.0
vs Similar (18)
8.5
8.8
8.2
4.7
5.6
3.8
28.2
27.6
28.9
vs Weaker (29)
9.9
9.4
10.3
3.3
2.9
3.7
24.6
23.0
26.2
% over line
44%
42%
46%
48%
50%
46%
74%
68%
79%
% under line
56%
58%
54%
52%
50%
54%
26%
32%
21%
This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.4
3.8
3.8
3.8
27.1
28.5
25.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
10.3
9.9
11.0
3.6
4.6
2.2
28.9
31.6
25.5
vs Weaker (38)
9.8
9.3
10.2
3.9
3.6
4.2
26.6
27.4
25.8
% over line
50%
40%
60%
54%
48%
60%
89%
95%
84%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
46%
52%
40%
11%
5%
16%
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
10.8
Oostende
10.7
Beerschot VA
10.4
Charleroi
10.2
SK Beveren
10.1
St. Truiden
10.0
Genk
9.9
Anderlecht
9.9
Eupen
9.8
KV Mechelen
9.8
Kortrijk
9.8
Antwerp
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.7
Club Brugge KV
9.6
Standard Liege
9.6
Gent
9.5
Mouscron
9.4
Zulte Waregem
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St. Truiden
4.7
Standard Liege
4.6
Antwerp
4.6
Eupen
4.4
Cercle Brugge
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.3
KV Mechelen
4.2
Charleroi
4.2
Anderlecht
4.2
OH Leuven
4.1
Gent
4.1
Mouscron
4.0
SK Beveren
4.0
Kortrijk
3.9
Genk
3.8
Beerschot VA
3.7
Oostende
3.6
Zulte Waregem
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.5
Standard Liege
28.6
Anderlecht
28.5
Charleroi
28.2
St. Truiden
27.9
Eupen
27.9
SK Beveren
27.8
Cercle Brugge
27.7
KV Mechelen
27.4
Antwerp
27.3
Genk
27.1
Club Brugge KV
27.0
Oostende
26.9
Zulte Waregem
26.8
OH Leuven
26.0
Gent
26.0
Mouscron
25.7
Beerschot VA
25.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.7%
Under 21.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
1.00
0.57
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.75
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.69
1.43
0.43
0.78
0.89
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
0.65
0.52
0.91
0.55
0.42
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.21
0.64
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
1.17
0.50
1.17
0.50
1.17
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.69
1.29
0.71
0.44
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.93
0.87
0.73
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.29
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.83
0.91
0.64
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gent · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josué Vergara75%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Christian Burgess25%
Tiago Araújo25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Davy Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger33%
Kyrell Wilson33%
Christian Burgess25%
Leonardo Lopes25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Davy Roef0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Josué Vergara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo50%
László Bénes33%
Siebe Van Der Heyden25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Matties Volckaert25%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Josué Vergara0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josué Vergara50%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Genk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
Gent's squad is €55m less valuable than Genk's (€58m vs €113m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
Gent's attack is €23m less valuable than Genk's (€17m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
BV (2)
€0m
Gent's midfield is €4m more valuable than Genk's (€22m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
Gent's defence is €37m less valuable than Genk's (€19m vs €55m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Oostende
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren