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Gent vs Mouscron Result & Analysis

Date: 26/02/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 3-1
Gent
Gent
Vs
66%
23%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
M
Mouscron
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gent win✓ Hit
65.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mouscron win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GentGent

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L23L02L10W00D20W11D01L11DH·OOS11/12A·ST.17/12H·AND22/12A·GEN27/12H·CHA20/01A·LOK25/01H·CLU29/01A·ZUL05/02H·EUP11/02A·STA19/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.971.930.670.801.27
vs Stronger (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.001.201.250.750.831.50
vs Weaker (18)1.610.892.200.700.881.12
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

M
Mouscron

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L02L00D12L21W01L30W01L12L12LH·KV 10/12A·CHA17/12H·KVC20/12A·CLU26/12H·LOK21/01A·ZUL24/01H·EUP29/01A·GEN04/02H·OOS11/02H·SK 18/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.851.001.860.851.85
vs Stronger (21)0.622.000.732.090.501.90
vs Similar (6)2.001.332.001.002.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-1 ✓
5.9%
4-0
4.2%
Gent goals ↓
Mouscron goals →
01234
08.4%4.1%1.7%0.4%0.1%
113%11%3.3%0.8%0.1%
214%9.3%3.2%0.7%0.1%
38.7%5.9%2.0%0.5%0.1%
44.2%2.8%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = Mouscron goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Anderlecht
2.03
Club Brugge KV
1.97
Zulte Waregem
1.80
Oostende
1.67
Gent
1.67
Charleroi
1.63
Genk
1.60
KV Mechelen
1.60
Standard Liege
1.40
Kortrijk
1.03
Lokeren
1.03
St. Truiden
1.00
Eupen
1.00
SK Beveren
1.00
Mouscron
0.80
KVC Westerlo
0.77
Gent is 0.87 points better than Mouscron in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Anderlecht
2.23
Club Brugge KV
1.87
Oostende
1.73
Zulte Waregem
1.63
Standard Liege
1.57
Gent
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.37
Genk
1.33
Eupen
1.33
Kortrijk
1.27
St. Truiden
1.17
Charleroi
1.13
KVC Westerlo
1.10
Mouscron
0.97
SK Beveren
0.93
Lokeren
0.80
Gent is 0.53 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.80
Charleroi
0.97
Gent
0.97
Anderlecht
1.00
Lokeren
1.13
Genk
1.17
KV Mechelen
1.20
Oostende
1.23
Zulte Waregem
1.27
Standard Liege
1.27
SK Beveren
1.43
St. Truiden
1.60
Mouscron
1.77
Kortrijk
1.83
Eupen
2.13
KVC Westerlo
2.17
Gent is 0.80 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

GentGent

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

M
Mouscron

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

GentGent

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (30)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

M
Mouscron

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GentGent

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D02L00D00D00D00D00D01LH·OOS11/12A·ST.17/12H·AND22/12A·GEN27/12H·CHA20/01A·LOK25/01H·CLU29/01A·ZUL05/02H·EUP11/02A·STA19/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.330.400.270.200.40
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.200.500.250.250.170.67
vs Weaker (18)0.390.220.500.300.250.12
Clean sheet %70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

M
Mouscron

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D10W01L00D20W01L11D11DH·KV 10/12A·CHA17/12H·KVC20/12A·CLU26/12H·LOK21/01A·ZUL24/01H·EUP29/01A·GEN04/02H·OOS11/02H·SK 18/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.740.640.790.460.69
vs Stronger (21)0.430.760.550.820.300.70
vs Similar (6)1.000.671.000.671.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GentGent

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L12L00D10W00D20W11D01L10WH·OOS11/12A·ST.17/12H·AND22/12A·GEN27/12H·CHA20/01A·LOK25/01H·CLU29/01A·ZUL05/02H·EUP11/02A·STA19/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.530.400.600.87
vs Stronger (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.800.701.000.500.670.83
vs Weaker (18)1.220.671.700.400.621.00
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

M
Mouscron

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D02L20W01L10W00D01L01LH·KV 10/12A·CHA17/12H·KVC20/12A·CLU26/12H·LOK21/01A·ZUL24/01H·EUP29/01A·GEN04/02H·OOS11/02H·SK 18/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.110.361.070.381.15
vs Stronger (21)0.191.240.181.270.201.20
vs Similar (6)1.000.671.000.331.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Gent · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josué Vergara75%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Christian Burgess25%
Tiago Araújo25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Davy Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger33%
Kyrell Wilson33%
Christian Burgess25%
Leonardo Lopes25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Davy Roef0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Josué Vergara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo50%
László Bénes33%
Siebe Van Der Heyden25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Matties Volckaert25%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Josué Vergara0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josué Vergara50%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
KW (26)
€38m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
GEN wins
0
Draws
0
MOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gent vs Mouscron · H/A from GEN
DateH/AGameScore
19/11/16AMouscron Vs GEN0-2

GentGent

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/17AStandard Liege Vs GEN1-1
11/02/17HGEN Vs Eupen0-1
05/02/17AZulte Waregem Vs GEN1-1
29/01/17HGEN Vs Club Brugge KV2-0
25/01/17ALokeren Vs GEN0-0
20/01/17HGEN Vs Charleroi1-0
27/12/16AGenk Vs GEN2-0
22/12/16HGEN Vs Anderlecht2-3
17/12/16ASt. Truiden Vs GEN3-1
11/12/16HGEN Vs Oostende1-1

M
Mouscron

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/17HMOU Vs SK Beveren1-2
11/02/17HMOU Vs Oostende1-2
04/02/17AGenk Vs MOU1-0
29/01/17HMOU Vs Eupen3-0
24/01/17AZulte Waregem Vs MOU1-0
21/01/17HMOU Vs Lokeren2-1
26/12/16AClub Brugge KV Vs MOU2-1
20/12/16HMOU Vs KVC Westerlo0-0
17/12/16ACharleroi Vs MOU2-0
10/12/16HMOU Vs KV Mechelen1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gent
Gent
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLD1.80
HomeDLWWL2.32
AwayLLDDD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%72%32%
AVG goals2.703.042.36
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %46%60%32%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.702.241.16
Conceded1.000.801.20
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners---
Cards---
M
Mouscron
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.67
HomeDWWLL0.79
AwayLLLLL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%21%15%
AVG goals2.782.862.69
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %63%71%54%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored0.931.000.85
Conceded1.851.861.85
BTTS52%57%46%
Clean Sheet11%14%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AnderlechtAnderlecht3061
60%
2.0
6730+37
3.2
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
91
5018242.21.0
-
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV3059
60%
2.0
5624+32
2.7
67%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
196
9223811.90.8
-
3Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem3054
50%
1.8
4938+11
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8491.61.3
-
4GentGent3050
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
58
1722191.51.0
-
5OostendeOostende3050
47%
1.7
5237+15
3.0
87%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.2
-
6CharleroiCharleroi3049
43%
1.6
3429+5
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
31
134141.11.0
-
7KV MechelenKV Mechelen3048
47%
1.6
4136+5
2.6
77%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
45
137251.41.2
-
8GenkGenk3048
47%
1.6
4035+5
2.5
73%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
113
3919551.31.2
-
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege3042
33%
1.4
4738+9
2.8
73%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
54
148311.61.3
-
10
L
Lokeren
3031
23%
1.0
2434-10
1.9
60%
47%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.1
-
11KortrijkKortrijk3031
27%
1.0
3855-17
3.1
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
9451.31.8
-
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden3030
27%
1.0
3548-13
2.8
70%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
30
114141.21.6
-
13SK BeverenSK Beveren3030
23%
1.0
2843-15
2.4
67%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4350.91.4
-
14
E
Eupen
3030
27%
1.0
4064-24
3.5
87%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
15
M
Mouscron
3024
23%
0.8
2953-24
2.7
73%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo3023
17%
0.8
3365-32
3.3
80%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
38
169121.12.2
-
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →

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