This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.13
1.69
0.88
1.36
1.43
vs Stronger (26)
1.50
1.19
1.69
1.00
1.31
1.38
vs Similar (4)
1.75
0.75
1.67
0.33
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.56-6.0%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 2.37+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1 ✓
6.3%
1-2
5.0%
Gent goals ↓
Mouscron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
4.5%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.9%
12%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.5%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.1%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = Mouscron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.41
Gent
1.90
Charleroi
1.86
Antwerp
1.83
Standard Liege
1.69
Genk
1.52
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.24
Mouscron
1.24
Kortrijk
1.14
St. Truiden
1.14
Eupen
1.03
Cercle Brugge
0.79
Oostende
0.76
SK Beveren
0.69
Gent is 0.66 points better than Mouscron in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gent
2.03
Club Brugge KV
2.00
Charleroi
1.69
Antwerp
1.69
Standard Liege
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
Anderlecht
1.55
Genk
1.55
Zulte Waregem
1.41
Kortrijk
1.38
Mouscron
1.31
St. Truiden
1.14
Oostende
1.00
Eupen
0.97
Cercle Brugge
0.93
SK Beveren
0.72
Gent is 0.72 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.48
Charleroi
0.79
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.10
Standard Liege
1.10
Gent
1.17
Mouscron
1.38
Genk
1.45
KV Mechelen
1.48
Kortrijk
1.52
Zulte Waregem
1.69
St. Truiden
1.72
Eupen
1.76
Cercle Brugge
1.86
Oostende
2.00
SK Beveren
2.07
Gent is 0.21 goals better than Mouscron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 4.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.9 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
For 5.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.4
10.2
4.6
4.6
4.7
28.3
26.3
30.1
vs Stronger (4)
11.8
9.0
14.5
6.5
4.5
8.5
25.5
26.0
25.0
vs Similar (17)
8.9
9.5
8.4
5.4
6.5
4.4
31.1
29.0
32.4
vs Weaker (29)
10.9
11.1
10.6
3.9
3.5
4.3
26.7
25.0
28.8
% over line
52%
48%
56%
58%
64%
52%
90%
80%
100%
% under line
48%
52%
44%
42%
36%
48%
10%
20%
0%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.1
10.1
4.3
4.0
4.6
28.2
29.0
27.3
vs Stronger (43)
9.9
9.7
10.1
4.3
3.9
4.8
28.4
29.1
27.6
vs Similar (7)
11.1
12.2
9.7
4.1
4.5
3.7
26.5
28.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
62%
67%
62%
58%
67%
95%
100%
90%
% under line
36%
38%
33%
38%
42%
33%
5%
0%
10%
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Genk
10.5
St. Truiden
10.5
Gent
10.3
Oostende
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.1
Mouscron
10.1
Eupen
10.1
SK Beveren
10.0
Anderlecht
10.0
Kortrijk
10.0
Club Brugge KV
10.0
Antwerp
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Charleroi
9.6
Standard Liege
9.4
Zulte Waregem
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
5.0
Standard Liege
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Gent
4.6
Anderlecht
4.4
St. Truiden
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.4
KV Mechelen
4.4
Charleroi
4.3
Mouscron
4.3
SK Beveren
4.3
Eupen
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.0
Kortrijk
4.0
Genk
3.9
Oostende
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
30.6
Charleroi
29.9
Antwerp
29.3
Cercle Brugge
28.9
Eupen
28.8
Zulte Waregem
28.6
Gent
28.3
SK Beveren
28.3
Standard Liege
28.3
Anderlecht
28.2
Mouscron
28.2
KV Mechelen
28.1
Oostende
26.3
St. Truiden
26.3
Genk
25.9
Club Brugge KV
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.0%
Under 9.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.9%
Under 3.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.5%
Under 21.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.21
0.29
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.40
1.20
0.20
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.59
1.38
0.38
0.78
0.78
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (26)
0.62
0.58
0.69
0.62
0.54
0.54
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
1.00
0.43
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.60
0.80
0.40
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.35
1.12
0.38
0.78
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
1.00
0.31
0.86
0.86
vs Stronger (26)
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.38
0.77
0.85
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gent · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josué Vergara75%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Christian Burgess25%
Tiago Araújo25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Davy Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger33%
Kyrell Wilson33%
Christian Burgess25%
Leonardo Lopes25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Davy Roef0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Josué Vergara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo50%
László Bénes33%
Siebe Van Der Heyden25%
Momodou Sonko25%
Matties Volckaert25%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Josué Vergara0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josué Vergara50%
Davy Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
László Bénes0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Abdelkahar Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
Mathias Delorge0%
Momodou Sonko0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Charleroi
Antwerp
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Genk
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
Oostende
SK Beveren