Getafe vs Alaves Result & Analysis

Getafe’s defensive solidity is the headline, with a 0.82 average conceded per game at home against similarly matched opposition, while Alavés has a comparable 0.8 conceded away. The model sees a tight, low-scoring affair, projecting an average of 2.1 goals. The most likely total is 2, with a 28% chance, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Getafe, a 15.6% probability. The favored result is a home win, with the model assigning 50% to a Getafe victory, 31% to a draw, and 20% to an Alavés win. Getafe’s home form shows 1.36 goals scored per game, while Alavés averages 0.9 away. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (95.7%), Over 2.5 cards (93.3%), Over 21.5 fouls (90.2%), Under 3.5 (84.5%), Over 23.5 fouls (81.3%), Under 11.5 corners (80.5%) and Under 10.5 corners (70.9%). The only pick that missed was Over 3.5 cards at 84.0%.

Getafe’s victory extended a run that had just seen two straight defeats, while Alavés returned to form after a win. The final score was 1-0, confirming the home win that the model had picked with a 50% probability. The prediction was correct. The model’s selections performed well: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 93.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 90.2%, Under 3.5 at 84.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 81.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.5% and Under 10.5 corners at 70.9% all hit, while Over 3.5 cards at 84.0% missed. The most likely score of 1-0, with a 28% chance, also materialised.