Getafe hosts Racing Santander in a La Liga match on August 23. The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 2-2 draw against Villarreal. This form contrasts with Getafe, who are coming off a 0-3 defeat to Alaves. The model predicts a home win, with a 50% chance of Getafe taking all three points, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of Racing Santander winning.
The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The model suggests a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 13.2% probability. Getafe has scored an average of 0.71 goals at home against similar opponents, while conceding 0.71 goals. Racing Santander has scored 1.5 goals away against similar opponents, while conceding 0.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (89.8%), Over 3.5 cards (81%), Home or Draw (77.5%), Under 3.5 (74.1%), Over 1.5 (74.0% with a 16% edge), and Home or Away (72.4% with a 4% edge). Getafe has a 50% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 22% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Getafe’s 2-game winning run continued as they edged Racing Santander 1-0, confirming the model’s home win pick and the predicted final score. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 50 % probability and was correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.5 %, Under 5.5 hit at 95.3 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.2 %. The match finished with the expected 1-0 scoreline, keeping the model’s predictions on target.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Getafe win✓ Hit
50.1%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.23
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 3.04
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.18
Marathonbet
3.12
Pinnacle
3.11
Dafabet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Racing Santander win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.68
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.85
1xBet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Getafe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.10
1.00
0.87
0.73
1.33
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.18
1.17
1.00
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.05
0.89
0.78
0.90
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.47
2.47
1.53
1.40
1.40
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.67
1.33
1.67
-
-
vs Similar (16)
2.06
1.19
3.00
1.12
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (11)
1.91
1.82
2.25
2.25
1.71
1.57
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.0%
@ 1.45+8.7%
Under 1.5
26.0%
@ 2.72-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
SBO
1.56
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
888Sport
2.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
@ 2.39+7.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
@ 1.59-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.41
SBO
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
SBO
1.61
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
@ 4.38+4.5%
Under 3.5
74.1%
@ 1.19-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.40
Unibet
4.40
888Sport
4.40
Under
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
BetVictor
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
@ 1.98+4.0%
No
48.8%
@ 1.77-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.05
888Sport
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
No
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.80
888Sport
1.80
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 5.55+5.0%
1-0 ✓
10.9%@ 5.92+3.3%
2-0
9.6%@ 9.40+4.8%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.72+4.3%
0-0
8.8%@ 7.01+2.4%
0-1
6.3%@ 8.25+0.9%
1-2
5.9%@ 11.90+2.1%
3-0
5.1%@ 21.06+2.9%
Getafe goals ↓
Racing Santander goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
6.3%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.5%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.1%
5.0%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Getafe goals (down), columns = Racing Santander goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Getafe is 0.24 points better than Racing Santander in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Getafe is 0.23 goals worse than Racing Santander in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Getafe is 0.69 goals better than Racing Santander in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Getafe
For 3.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 15.1 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Santander
For 5.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 14.7 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Getafe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
7.8
9.7
5.4
5.0
5.7
29.2
29.2
29.2
vs Stronger (16)
8.6
8.1
9.3
5.3
4.2
6.7
27.8
27.4
28.3
vs Similar (33)
8.8
7.6
9.8
5.5
5.5
5.6
29.9
30.3
29.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
35%
22%
46%
76%
74%
78%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
65%
78%
54%
24%
26%
22%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.5
9.5
6.2
5.6
6.9
26.7
25.8
27.7
vs Stronger (3)
13.7
13.7
-
6.0
6.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
vs Similar (25)
10.0
10.2
9.8
6.8
5.4
8.3
27.8
25.6
30.1
vs Weaker (22)
10.8
12.5
9.1
5.6
5.7
5.5
25.8
26.5
25.1
% over line
62%
73%
50%
86%
77%
96%
84%
85%
83%
% under line
38%
27%
50%
14%
23%
4%
16%
15%
17%
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Alaves
10.5
Real Madrid
10.5
Racing Santander
10.5
Real Sociedad
10.2
Levante
10.0
Espanyol
9.7
Valencia
9.7
Athletic Club
9.7
Sevilla
9.3
Osasuna
9.1
Villarreal
9.1
Deportivo La Coruna
9.0
Real Betis
9.0
Malaga
9.0
Getafe
8.7
Elche
8.3
Celta Vigo
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Getafe
5.4
Sevilla
5.3
Malaga
5.2
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Alaves
4.9
Osasuna
4.9
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.9
Real Betis
4.8
Levante
4.8
Elche
4.7
Athletic Club
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Barcelona
4.4
Villarreal
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.2
Alaves
28.9
Elche
27.9
Sevilla
27.6
Racing Santander
26.7
Real Sociedad
26.6
Espanyol
25.9
Rayo Vallecano
25.8
Athletic Club
25.5
Osasuna
25.3
Celta Vigo
24.9
Levante
24.8
Malaga
24.6
Villarreal
24.5
Valencia
24.4
Real Madrid
24.1
Real Betis
23.7
Deportivo La Coruna
23.6
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.8%
@ 2.29-3.5%
Under 9.5
63.2%
@ 1.55+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Under
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.1%
@ 1.24+7.6%
Under 3.5
17.9%
@ 3.62-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.15
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.1%
Under 21.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Getafe or Draw✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
+4.0%
50%
28%
22%
covers Getafe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Getafe or Racing Santander✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.37
Edge
+3.3%
50%
28%
22%
covers Getafe + Racing Santander
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betano
1.37
Draw or Racing Santander✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied 57.2% · @ 1.65
Edge
-7.3%
50%
28%
22%
covers Draw + Racing Santander
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
SBO
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Getafe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.5%
@ 1.29+7.3%
Under
20.5%
@ 3.37-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.73
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.40
Getafe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 2.44+8.7%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.52-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Superbet
1.52
Getafe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 5.83+5.3%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.11-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.50
888Sport
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Getafe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 16.25+1.8%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.02-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
21.00
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Racing Santander over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
62.9%
@ 1.52+1.3%
Under
37.1%
@ 2.42-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.47
888Sport
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Racing Santander over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.1%
@ 3.57-0.2%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.27+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.20
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.68
Marathonbet
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Racing Santander over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 9.90-1.7%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.50
888Sport
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
Unibet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Racing Santander over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 24.50-2.1%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Getafe, so a minus line means Getafe give that many goals of a start and Racing Santander receive them. At -1, Getafe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Getafe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Getafe)Actual: Racing Santander
Getafe -2
11.2%
@ 10.43+2.5%
Draw -2
15.7%
@ 6.40+1.5%
Racing Santander +2
73.1%
@ 1.18-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Away
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Getafe)Actual: Draw
Getafe -1
26.9%
@ 4.39+6.3%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.61-1.8%
Racing Santander +1
49.9%
@ 1.66-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.30
Draw
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Getafe)Actual: Getafe
Getafe +1
77.6%
@ 1.27+6.3%
Draw +1
14.0%
@ 5.00-4.1%
Racing Santander -1
8.4%
@ 8.57-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Draw
Superbet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Getafe)Actual: Getafe
Getafe +2
91.6%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Draw +2
6.1%
@ 12.00-1.6%
Racing Santander -2
2.3%
@ 24.50-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Getafe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.47
0.27
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.45
0.67
0.33
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.37
0.33
0.22
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.00
0.73
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.56
1.25
0.62
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.55
0.25
1.00
1.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.51+8.0%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 2.51-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Under
William Hil
2.70
SBO
2.66
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.9%
@ 3.36+3.0%
Under 1.5
69.1%
@ 1.30-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
BetVictor
3.40
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 9.06+1.0%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.05-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
BetVictor
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
9.10
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Getafe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.0%
@ 2.08+10.2%
Under
45.0%
@ 1.69-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Unibet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Getafe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 6.51+6.1%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.08-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Getafe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 16.50-1.1%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.8%
@ 2.65-8.3%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.43+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.73
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Unibet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.73-3.9%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 26.50-2.6%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
39.00
Betano
14.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Getafe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.73
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.68
0.56
0.56
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.90
1.47
0.80
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.62
1.75
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
1.27
2.00
1.25
0.43
1.29
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.2%
@ 1.32+11.3%
Under 0.5
17.8%
@ 3.24-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.8%
@ 2.50+15.3%
Under 1.5
47.2%
@ 1.50-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
888Sport
2.50
Superbet
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.7%
@ 5.89+12.8%
Under 2.5
71.3%
@ 1.11-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
6.00
888Sport
6.00
Betano
5.90
Under
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Getafe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
69.8%
@ 1.78+17.7%
Under
30.2%
@ 1.94-17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Getafe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 4.84+18.6%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.15-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.85
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Getafe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 12.88+5.1%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.02-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.17-2.2%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.63+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.60
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 7.03-2.4%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.80
Superbet
6.60
Under
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 17.25-3.0%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.3%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.3%
1.02
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.2%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.1%
1.05
Superbet
1.07
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
1.18
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.32
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.1%
1.24
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.5%
1.29
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.7%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.6%
1.28
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.6%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.5%
1.32
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.1%
1.19
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
BetVictor
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.0%
1.45
10Bet
1.57
SBO
1.56
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
+8.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
73.9%
1.27
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.43
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.1%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.5%
1.37
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betano
1.37
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.3%
1.11
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-12.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.51
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
+8.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Getafe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enes Ünal60%
Johan Mojica25%
Andrés García20%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Martín Satriano0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Alberto Risco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Borja Mayoral50%
Saba Sazonov50%
Orel Mangala40%
Djené40%
Abdel Abqar33%
Kiko Femenía25%
Johan Mojica25%
Enes Ünal20%
Zaid Romero20%
Martín Satriano20%
David Soria0%
Francho Serrano0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johan Mojica25%
Martín Satriano20%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Enes Ünal0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ramón Terrats40%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Enes Ünal0%
Johan Mojica0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Martín Satriano0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Racing Santander
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrés Martín33%
Yassir Zabiri33%
Sergio Canales0%
Iñigo Vicente0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Facundo González0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Jorge Salinas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alvaro Mantilla67%
Manu Hernando33%
Facundo González33%
Gustavo Puerta33%
Jorge Salinas33%
Sergio Canales0%
Andrés Martín0%
Iñigo Vicente0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iñigo Vicente33%
Sergio Canales0%
Andrés Martín0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Facundo González0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Jorge Salinas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrés Martín67%
Sergio Canales33%
Yassir Zabiri33%
Iñigo Vicente0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Facundo González0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Jorge Salinas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Getafe's squad is €1m more valuable than Racing Santander's (€90m vs €89m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Getafe's attack is €2m more valuable than Racing Santander's (€36m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Getafe and Racing Santander have a similar midfield value (both €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Getafe's defence is €2m less valuable than Racing Santander's (€26m vs €28m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Osasuna
Sevilla
Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
Levante
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Malaga