This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.10
1.07
1.27
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.15
0.64
1.09
1.11
1.22
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.89
2.25
1.75
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (32%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.1%
Under 1.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.4%
Under 2.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
5.7%
Under 3.5
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
26.9%
No
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
25.1%
0-1
18.1%
1-0 ✓
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
Giresunspor goals ↓
Erzurumspor FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
25%
18%
7.8%
2.1%
0.4%
1
14%
13%
4.9%
1.3%
0.3%
2
4.7%
3.8%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.0%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Giresunspor goals (down), columns = Erzurumspor FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Eyüpspor
2.21
Göztepe
2.06
Sakaryaspor
1.74
Bodrum FK
1.66
Çorum FK
1.65
Kocaelispor
1.57
Boluspor
1.51
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Bandırmaspor
1.47
Erzurumspor FK
1.38
Ümraniyespor
1.26
Keçiörengücü
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Adanaspor
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.12
Şanlıurfaspor
1.12
Altay
0.56
Giresunspor
0.29
Giresunspor is 1.09 points worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average points per game (0.29 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eyüpspor
2.26
Göztepe
1.76
Çorum FK
1.57
Sakaryaspor
1.46
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Kocaelispor
1.40
Bodrum FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.03
Keçiörengücü
1.00
Boluspor
0.94
Şanlıurfaspor
0.94
Erzurumspor FK
0.88
Adanaspor
0.82
Giresunspor
0.47
Altay
0.47
Giresunspor is 0.41 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals scored per game (0.47 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Göztepe
0.59
Bodrum FK
0.63
Eyüpspor
0.91
Bandırmaspor
0.94
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Çorum FK
1.03
Sakaryaspor
1.03
Boluspor
1.06
Şanlıurfaspor
1.09
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Kocaelispor
1.23
Keçiörengücü
1.26
Adanaspor
1.32
Ümraniyespor
1.38
Beykoz Anadolu
1.38
Giresunspor
2.09
Altay
2.24
Giresunspor is 1.09 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals conceded per game (2.09 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Eyüpspor
64%
Manisa F.K.
54%
Kocaelispor
54%
Sakaryaspor
54%
Ümraniyespor
54%
Çorum FK
52%
Bandırmaspor
52%
Göztepe
51%
Boluspor
50%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Şanlıurfaspor
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Bodrum FK
47%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
44%
Adanaspor
44%
Giresunspor
41%
Giresunspor is 4.2 percentage points worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average possession (41% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Giresunspor
For 4.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
For 3.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Giresunspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.3
11.0
0.8
0.9
0.7
23.6
25.8
21.3
vs Stronger (33)
10.6
12.0
5.0
0.7
1.1
0.1
23.8
24.2
22.0
vs Similar (17)
10.7
7.0
12.2
1.1
0.4
1.6
23.4
29.0
21.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
50%
67%
10%
12%
8%
75%
83%
67%
% under line
42%
50%
33%
90%
88%
92%
25%
17%
33%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.2
8.7
4.0
4.0
3.9
26.7
25.5
27.8
vs Stronger (4)
11.2
12.0
10.5
7.0
9.0
5.0
29.8
24.5
35.0
vs Similar (30)
7.8
6.9
8.6
4.2
3.8
4.6
27.3
26.4
28.3
vs Weaker (16)
9.1
10.2
8.2
2.9
3.1
2.7
24.5
23.7
25.1
% over line
37%
36%
38%
52%
56%
48%
83%
77%
88%
% under line
63%
64%
62%
48%
44%
52%
17%
23%
12%
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Şanlıurfaspor
10.3
Giresunspor
9.7
Boluspor
9.3
Kocaelispor
9.0
Altay
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Beykoz Anadolu
8.9
Keçiörengücü
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.7
Sakaryaspor
8.7
Çorum FK
8.7
Göztepe
8.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
8.5
Adanaspor
8.5
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Manisa F.K.
8.3
Bandırmaspor
8.0
Bodrum FK
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ümraniyespor
6.2
Sakaryaspor
5.5
Bandırmaspor
5.3
Keçiörengücü
5.0
Bodrum FK
4.9
Manisa F.K.
4.8
Çorum FK
4.7
Beykoz Anadolu
4.6
Adanaspor
4.6
Boluspor
4.6
Göztepe
4.4
Eyüpspor
4.3
Şanlıurfaspor
4.3
Altay
4.3
Erzurumspor FK
4.2
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.1
Kocaelispor
4.1
Giresunspor
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bodrum FK
28.5
Bandırmaspor
27.4
Boluspor
27.4
Beykoz Anadolu
27.3
Erzurumspor FK
26.8
Eyüpspor
26.8
Ümraniyespor
26.6
Sakaryaspor
26.5
Altay
26.5
Manisa F.K.
26.5
Keçiörengücü
25.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.0
Kocaelispor
24.9
Adanaspor
24.1
Giresunspor
23.7
Göztepe
23.5
Çorum FK
23.3
Şanlıurfaspor
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.2%
Under 21.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Giresunspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.90
0.31
0.81
0.57
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.43
1.00
0.36
0.93
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.53
0.53
0.33
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.35
0.18
0.36
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.44
1.50
1.00
0.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Giresunspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Giresunspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
0.86
0.71
0.71
0.43
1.14
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.78
0.00
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.80
0.45
0.73
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.44
0.75
0.75
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Giresunspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS No
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Giresunspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sahin Dik12%
Kasim Kosker10%
Brandley Kuwas9%
Vukan Savićević9%
Mehmet Keskin7%
Talha Ülvan4%
Anil Yigit Cinar4%
Faruk Can Genç3%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu3%
Çekdar Orhan0%
Erkan Anapa0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Erol Can Akdag0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Fatih Yilmaz0%
Kadir Seven0%
Furkan Kütük0%
Emre Nizam0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Mert Kurt0%
Enishan Ceylan0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Furkan Kabaca0%
Senel Aydemi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erol Can Akdag30%
Brandley Kuwas27%
Vukan Savićević27%
Faruk Can Genç24%
Enishan Ceylan23%
Anil Yigit Cinar21%
Mert Kurt19%
Mehmet Keskin19%
Kadir Seven16%
Talha Ülvan15%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu13%
Fatih Yilmaz11%
Furkan Kütük11%
Furkan Kabaca8%
Erkan Anapa8%
Emre Nizam8%
Sahin Dik6%
Kasim Kosker5%
Çekdar Orhan0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Senel Aydemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandley Kuwas9%
Vukan Savićević9%
Kadir Seven8%
Çekdar Orhan6%
Talha Ülvan4%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu3%
Erkan Anapa0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Erol Can Akdag0%
Faruk Can Genç0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Fatih Yilmaz0%
Furkan Kütük0%
Emre Nizam0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Anil Yigit Cinar0%
Sahin Dik0%
Kasim Kosker0%
Mert Kurt0%
Enishan Ceylan0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Mehmet Keskin0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Furkan Kabaca0%
Senel Aydemi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandley Kuwas18%
Talha Ülvan12%
Erol Can Akdag10%
Vukan Savićević9%
Kasim Kosker5%
Mehmet Keskin4%
Faruk Can Genç3%
Çekdar Orhan0%
Erkan Anapa0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Fatih Yilmaz0%
Kadir Seven0%
Furkan Kütük0%
Emre Nizam0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Anil Yigit Cinar0%
Sahin Dik0%
Mert Kurt0%
Enishan Ceylan0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Furkan Kabaca0%
Senel Aydemi0%
Erzurumspor FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu29%
Mustafa Yumlu13%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan13%
Celal Hanalp10%
Mikhael Rosheuvel10%
Yakup Kirtay5%
Ozgur Sert3%
Herolind Shala0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mustafa Akbaş0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Sefa Akgün0%
Alican Özfesli0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Muhammed Yavas0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mustafa Yumlu39%
Eren Tozlu29%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş19%
Estrela17%
Sefa Akgün16%
Celal Hanalp13%
Süleyman Koç13%
Orhan Ovacıklı12%
Herolind Shala11%
Ufuk Budak11%
Batuhan Artarslan9%
Mustafa Akbaş9%
Alican Özfesli8%
Muhammed Yavas7%
Mikhael Rosheuvel6%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan6%
Yakup Kirtay5%
Ozgur Sert3%
Fırat Sasi0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alican Özfesli8%
Celal Hanalp7%
Mustafa Yumlu6%
Mikhael Rosheuvel6%
Eren Tozlu6%
Sefa Akgün6%
Yakup Kirtay5%
Mustafa Akbaş4%
Süleyman Koç4%
Orhan Ovacıklı3%
Herolind Shala0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Ozgur Sert0%
Muhammed Yavas0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu45%
Mustafa Yumlu13%
Celal Hanalp3%
Mikhael Rosheuvel3%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan3%
Sefa Akgün3%
Ozgur Sert3%
Herolind Shala0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mustafa Akbaş0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Alican Özfesli0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Muhammed Yavas0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Yakup Kirtay0%
Mustafa Varlik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
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Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Bodrum FK
Çorum FK
Sakaryaspor
Kocaelispor
Boluspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Bandırmaspor
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
Adanaspor
Şanlıurfaspor
Beykoz Anadolu
Altay