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Gorica vs Krka Result & Analysis

Date: 24/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
Gorica
Gorica
Vs
46%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica win✗ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krka win✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GoricaGorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L22D01L11D03L22D03L11D12LH·DEK16/08A·TAB24/08H·BIS31/08A·NAF06/09H·BIL13/09A·BEL20/09H·BRI26/09A·TRI03/10H·SLO12/10A·RUD18/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.371.601.331.201.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.071.131.711.000.501.25
vs Weaker (15)1.731.601.501.622.001.57
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L24L01L04L03L22D21W00D11D22DH·BIS18/08A·NAF24/08H·BIL31/08A·BEL07/09H·BRI12/09A·TRI20/09H·SLO28/09A·RUD05/10A·ILI12/10H·DRA18/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.301.081.540.711.12
vs Stronger (8)1.121.880.801.601.672.33
vs Similar (22)0.771.091.251.500.500.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
Gorica goals ↓
Krka goals →
01234
09.7%7.3%4.3%1.4%0.4%
111%14%6.3%2.1%0.5%
29.1%9.1%4.6%1.5%0.4%
34.4%4.4%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gorica goals (down), columns = Krka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Gorica is 0.23 points worse than Krka in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Gorica is 0.03 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Gorica is 0.20 goals better than Krka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GoricaGorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D00D01L01L11D02L11D12LH·DEK16/08A·TAB24/08H·BIS31/08A·NAF06/09H·BIL13/09A·BEL20/09H·BRI26/09A·TRI03/10H·SLO12/10A·RUD18/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.530.600.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.530.430.570.250.50
vs Weaker (15)0.670.670.620.620.710.71
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L00D02L01L12L20W00D10W02LH·BIS18/08A·NAF24/08H·BIL31/08A·BEL07/09H·BRI12/09A·TRI20/09H·SLO28/09A·RUD05/10A·ILI12/10H·DRA18/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.460.770.350.53
vs Stronger (8)0.500.880.400.600.671.33
vs Similar (22)0.360.550.500.880.290.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GoricaGorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D01L10W02L11D01L00D00DH·DEK16/08A·TAB24/08H·BIS31/08A·NAF06/09H·BIL13/09A·BEL20/09H·BRI26/09A·TRI03/10H·SLO12/10A·RUD18/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.771.070.730.730.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.730.601.290.430.250.75
vs Weaker (15)1.070.930.881.001.290.86
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L01L02L02L10W01L00D01L20WH·BIS18/08A·NAF24/08H·BIL31/08A·BEL07/09H·BRI12/09A·TRI20/09H·SLO28/09A·RUD05/10A·ILI12/10H·DRA18/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.620.770.350.59
vs Stronger (8)0.621.000.401.001.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.410.550.750.620.210.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
4
GOR wins
0
Draws
0
KRK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gorica vs Krka · H/A from GOR
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25AKrka Vs GOR1-3
21/09/24HGOR Vs Krka1-0
22/03/24HGOR Vs Krka2-0
08/09/23AKrka Vs GOR1-2

GoricaGorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25ARudar Vs GOR2-1
12/10/25HGOR Vs Slovan Ljubljana1-1
03/10/25ATriglav Vs GOR3-0
26/09/25HGOR Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-2
20/09/25ABeltinci Vs GOR3-0
13/09/25HGOR Vs Bilje1-1
06/09/25ANafta Vs GOR1-0
31/08/25HGOR Vs Bistrica2-2
24/08/25ATabor Sežana Vs GOR1-0
16/08/25HGOR Vs Dekani1-2

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HKRK Vs Dravinja2-2
12/10/25AIlirija Vs KRK1-1
05/10/25ARudar Vs KRK0-0
28/09/25HKRK Vs Slovan Ljubljana2-1
20/09/25ATriglav Vs KRK2-2
12/09/25HKRK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-3
07/09/25ABeltinci Vs KRK4-0
31/08/25HKRK Vs Bilje0-1
24/08/25ANafta Vs KRK4-2
18/08/25HKRK Vs Bistrica0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Gorica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.58
HomeLDDDD1.64
AwayLLLLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.963.042.88
Over 1.5 %80%92%68%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %38%32%44%
Scored1.721.721.72
Conceded1.241.321.16
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD1.14
HomeLLLWD1.33
AwayLLDDD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.302.462.15
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored0.961.000.92
Conceded1.341.461.23
BTTS40%33%46%
Clean Sheet34%33%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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