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Gorica vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2024
Time: 18:00
Final 3-3
Gorica
Gorica
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica win✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GoricaGorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W20W51W41W00D20W23L22D13L00DA·DRA16/03H·KRK22/03A·BIS30/03H·ILI07/04H·TRI13/04A·FUŽ20/04H·PRI28/04A·TAB04/05H·BEL12/05A·TOL18/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.931.871.331.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.561.281.441.781.670.78
vs Weaker (12)1.920.422.500.671.330.17
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L31W20W12L11D00D10W00D05LH·TAB17/03A·BEL23/03H·TOL29/03A·BRI06/04H·BIL12/04A·TRI19/04A·NAF27/04H·DEK04/05A·DRA12/05H·KRK19/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.631.001.271.202.00
vs Stronger (8)0.751.250.751.750.750.75
vs Similar (22)1.231.771.091.091.362.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
Gorica goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
05.7%4.7%3.6%1.5%0.5%
17.4%12%6.6%2.7%0.9%
27.7%9.6%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.7%5.8%3.6%1.5%0.5%
42.1%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gorica goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Gorica is 0.90 points better than Rudar in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Gorica is 1.10 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Gorica is 0.33 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GoricaGorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W21W30W00D10W00D11D01L00DA·DRA16/03H·KRK22/03A·BIS30/03H·ILI07/04H·TRI13/04A·FUŽ20/04H·PRI28/04A·TAB04/05H·BEL12/05A·TOL18/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.330.800.400.530.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.390.560.330.780.44
vs Weaker (12)0.670.251.170.500.170.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D02L11D00D00D00D02LH·TAB17/03A·BEL23/03H·TOL29/03A·BRI06/04H·BIL12/04A·TRI19/04A·NAF27/04H·DEK04/05A·DRA12/05H·KRK19/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.470.730.470.93
vs Stronger (8)0.250.750.251.000.250.50
vs Similar (22)0.550.860.550.640.551.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GoricaGorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W11D00D10W23L11D12L00DA·DRA16/03H·KRK22/03A·BIS30/03H·ILI07/04H·TRI13/04A·FUŽ20/04H·PRI28/04A·TAB04/05H·BEL12/05A·TOL18/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.070.931.000.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.890.890.891.440.890.33
vs Weaker (12)1.250.171.330.171.170.17
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W20W10W00D00D10W00D03LH·TAB17/03A·BEL23/03H·TOL29/03A·BRI06/04H·BIL12/04A·TRI19/04A·NAF27/04H·DEK04/05A·DRA12/05H·KRK19/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.530.530.731.07
vs Stronger (8)0.500.500.500.750.500.25
vs Similar (22)0.680.910.550.450.821.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
GOR wins
1
Draws
0
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gorica vs Rudar · H/A from GOR
DateH/AGameScore
18/11/23HGOR Vs Rudar2-0
26/10/23ARudar Vs GOR0-0

GoricaGorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/24ATolmin Vs GOR0-0
12/05/24HGOR Vs Beltinci1-3
04/05/24ATabor Sežana Vs GOR2-2
28/04/24HGOR Vs Primorje2-3
20/04/24AFužinar Vs GOR0-2
13/04/24HGOR Vs Triglav0-0
07/04/24HGOR Vs Ilirija4-1
30/03/24ABistrica Vs GOR1-5
22/03/24HGOR Vs Krka2-0
16/03/24ADravinja Vs GOR0-1

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24HRUD Vs Krka0-5
12/05/24ADravinja Vs RUD0-0
04/05/24HRUD Vs Dekani1-0
27/04/24ANafta Vs RUD0-0
19/04/24ATriglav Vs RUD1-1
12/04/24HRUD Vs Bilje1-2
06/04/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs RUD0-2
29/03/24HRUD Vs Tolmin3-1
23/03/24ABeltinci Vs RUD1-0
17/03/24HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Gorica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.38
HomeWWDLL1.36
AwayWWWDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.642.842.44
Over 1.5 %70%84%56%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.421.481.36
Conceded1.221.361.08
BTTS52%64%40%
Clean Sheet34%28%40%
Corners9.449.449.44
Cards4.224.224.22
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL1.20
HomeWWLWL1.56
AwayLWDDD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.902.323.48
Over 1.5 %72%60%84%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %38%28%48%
Scored1.221.081.36
Conceded1.681.242.12
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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