Granada CF vs Leganes Result & Analysis

Granada CF’s defensive record at home is striking, conceding only 0.27 goals per game against similar opposition, while Leganés struggles on the road, allowing 1.27 goals per match. The model predicts a home win with a 60% chance, a draw 29%, and an away win 12%, making the home victory the clear favourite. The expected total goals is 2.0, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0, which carries a 19.6% probability. Granada’s average home scoring of 1.64 goals and Leganés’ away scoring of 0.73 goals suggest a tight, low-scoring affair. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 86.5% (hit), Over 23.5 fouls at 80.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 79.4%, and Over 3.5 cards at 76.3%. Granada’s recent form, a two-game winning streak, and a 3-1 win over Córdoba, combined with Leganés’ similar run and a 1-0 victory over Eldense, set the stage for a cautious contest where Granada is expected to edge out a narrow win.

Granada CF continued their two-game winning streak, extending their run with a 2-0 triumph over Leganés. The model’s pre-match favourite, a home win at 60%, proved correct, matching the actual result. The model also predicted an under 3.5 total goals with an 86.5% probability, and that selection hit. Granada’s 2-0 win was the most likely score, the model’s pick aligning with the final outcome. Leganés, despite a recent two-game winning run, fell short, confirming the model’s assessment that Granada’s home form and defensive solidity would prevail. The predictions largely came through, underscoring the model’s reliability.