This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
0.86
1.50
0.88
1.06
vs Stronger (17)
1.00
1.41
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.29
vs Similar (13)
0.69
1.08
0.50
1.50
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.0%
Under 1.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.8%
@ 2.36-11.0%
Under 2.5
71.2%
@ 1.56+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.0%
Under 3.5
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.8%
No
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.7%
1-0
16.0%
1-1
14.2%
0-1 ✓
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
Grenoble goals ↓
Chateauroux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
10%
4.3%
1.1%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.9%
1.2%
0.2%
2
9.7%
7.2%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
3
3.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.0%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grenoble goals (down), columns = Chateauroux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
1.93
Lens
1.89
Ajaccio
1.86
Estac Troyes
1.82
Clermont Foot
1.79
Le Havre
1.57
Valenciennes
1.50
Guingamp
1.39
Grenoble
1.25
Chambly
1.25
Auxerre
1.21
Caen
1.21
Nancy
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Chateauroux
1.21
Rodez
1.14
Paris FC
1.00
Le Mans
0.93
Niort
0.93
Orleans
0.68
Grenoble is 0.04 points better than Chateauroux in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
1.61
Guingamp
1.43
Lens
1.39
Le Havre
1.36
Ajaccio
1.36
Clermont Foot
1.25
Estac Troyes
1.21
Caen
1.18
Auxerre
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Le Mans
1.07
Niort
1.07
Sochaux
1.00
Grenoble
0.96
Nancy
0.96
Chambly
0.93
Valenciennes
0.86
Paris FC
0.79
Chateauroux
0.79
Orleans
0.75
Grenoble is 0.18 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Valenciennes
0.71
Ajaccio
0.79
Lens
0.86
Le Havre
0.89
Clermont Foot
0.89
Estac Troyes
0.89
Lorient
0.89
Nancy
0.93
Grenoble
1.04
Auxerre
1.07
Sochaux
1.07
Chambly
1.14
Guingamp
1.18
Caen
1.21
Rodez
1.21
Chateauroux
1.36
Paris FC
1.43
Niort
1.46
Orleans
1.54
Le Mans
1.61
Grenoble is 0.32 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grenoble
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.7
3.7
4.0
3.4
27.5
27.6
27.4
vs Stronger (16)
9.1
8.0
10.1
3.8
4.0
3.5
28.3
28.8
27.9
vs Similar (30)
9.0
10.4
7.7
3.6
3.8
3.5
27.4
26.7
28.1
vs Weaker (4)
11.8
16.0
10.3
4.2
8.0
3.0
24.8
32.0
22.3
% over line
38%
42%
35%
56%
58%
54%
84%
92%
77%
% under line
62%
58%
65%
44%
42%
46%
16%
8%
23%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
11.2
8.4
4.0
4.1
3.8
25.4
24.5
26.3
vs Stronger (27)
9.7
10.6
8.4
4.3
4.1
4.5
25.0
24.8
25.3
vs Similar (23)
9.9
12.2
8.4
3.6
4.2
3.2
25.9
24.0
27.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
72%
40%
54%
64%
44%
82%
76%
88%
% under line
44%
28%
60%
46%
36%
56%
18%
24%
12%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
10.0
Guingamp
9.9
Chateauroux
9.8
Estac Troyes
9.6
Lorient
9.6
Lens
9.5
Nancy
9.4
Auxerre
9.4
Niort
9.3
Grenoble
9.3
Valenciennes
9.3
Rodez
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Orleans
9.2
Caen
9.1
Clermont Foot
8.8
Ajaccio
8.7
Paris FC
8.2
Chambly
7.8
Le Mans
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lens
4.8
Lorient
4.6
Chambly
4.6
Rodez
4.6
Estac Troyes
4.5
Sochaux
4.5
Paris FC
4.5
Valenciennes
4.5
Le Havre
4.5
Nancy
4.4
Caen
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.3
Le Mans
4.2
Niort
4.1
Ajaccio
4.0
Chateauroux
4.0
Guingamp
3.9
Orleans
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Auxerre
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
30.2
Caen
29.3
Paris FC
29.3
Nancy
29.2
Lens
29.1
Chambly
28.2
Estac Troyes
27.8
Ajaccio
27.8
Sochaux
27.8
Grenoble
27.5
Lorient
27.1
Rodez
26.8
Valenciennes
26.8
Orleans
26.7
Le Havre
26.6
Niort
26.6
Guingamp
25.9
Chateauroux
25.4
Clermont Foot
25.2
Auxerre
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.4%
Under 3.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.6%
Under 21.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.43
0.21
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.25
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.26
0.44
0.00
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.36
0.64
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.53
0.40
0.50
0.29
0.57
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.46
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.68
0.56
0.67
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.50
0.86
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (17)
0.65
0.88
0.60
1.00
0.71
0.71
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
71.2%
1.56
-
-
-
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grenoble · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Yadaly Diaby33%
Samba Diba33%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yohann Magnin50%
Clément Vidal50%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro50%
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Samba Diba33%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yohann Magnin25%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby33%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Grenoble's squad is €11m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€12m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
LM (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CHA (1)
€0m
Grenoble's attack is €5m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€5m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Grenoble's midfield is €2m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€3m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Grenoble's defence is €4m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€4m vs €0m).
France: Ligue 2 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Lens
Ajaccio
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Valenciennes
Guingamp
Auxerre
Nancy
Caen
Sochaux
Rodez
Paris FC
Niort
Le Mans
Orleans