This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.60
1.29
1.36
1.44
1.81
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
3.14
1.00
2.50
1.60
3.40
vs Similar (13)
0.85
1.08
0.50
1.17
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
2.00
1.20
2.17
1.17
1.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.8%
Under 1.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.9%
Under 2.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.1%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
Grenoble goals ↓
Metz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.5%
4.2%
1.4%
1
8.3%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
4.4%
5.8%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grenoble goals (down), columns = Metz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Metz
2.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.95
Estac Troyes
1.87
Paris FC
1.71
Lens
1.66
Lorient
1.66
Le Havre
1.42
Orleans
1.37
Grenoble
1.32
Clermont Foot
1.26
Chateauroux
1.26
Niort
1.24
Valenciennes
1.13
Nancy
1.11
Auxerre
1.08
Sochaux
1.08
Ajaccio
1.04
Beziers
1.00
Red Star
0.79
Grenoble is 0.82 points worse than Metz in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 2.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Brestois 29
1.68
Metz
1.58
Valenciennes
1.37
Orleans
1.34
Estac Troyes
1.34
Lorient
1.34
Lens
1.29
Le Havre
1.18
Clermont Foot
1.16
Grenoble
1.13
Chateauroux
0.97
Paris FC
0.95
Nancy
0.95
Auxerre
0.89
Niort
0.89
Beziers
0.87
Ajaccio
0.78
Red Star
0.74
Sochaux
0.71
Grenoble is 0.45 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris FC
0.58
Metz
0.61
Lens
0.74
Estac Troyes
0.74
Stade Brestois 29
0.92
Auxerre
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.97
Le Havre
1.05
Niort
1.08
Lorient
1.08
Chateauroux
1.11
Sochaux
1.13
Grenoble
1.24
Ajaccio
1.30
Beziers
1.32
Nancy
1.32
Orleans
1.39
Red Star
1.53
Valenciennes
1.61
Grenoble is 0.63 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grenoble
For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 14.6 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 10.3 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
9.7
9.9
9.6
3.8
3.8
3.9
28.1
26.2
30.3
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
8.0
10.0
4.0
3.0
4.3
30.0
22.0
32.7
vs Similar (10)
9.8
10.2
9.2
3.6
3.7
3.5
26.8
25.7
28.5
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
10.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
34.0
34.0
-
% over line
47%
50%
43%
47%
50%
43%
93%
88%
100%
% under line
53%
50%
57%
53%
50%
57%
7%
12%
0%
This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.1
9.0
3.9
4.0
3.8
26.2
26.2
26.1
vs Stronger (14)
9.6
11.1
8.1
3.6
3.4
3.7
26.6
26.6
26.7
vs Similar (22)
9.2
10.0
8.6
4.0
4.3
3.7
26.0
26.0
25.9
vs Weaker (14)
10.0
9.4
10.8
4.1
4.0
4.3
26.0
26.2
25.7
% over line
44%
42%
46%
48%
54%
42%
84%
79%
88%
% under line
56%
58%
54%
52%
46%
58%
16%
21%
12%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
11.3
Chateauroux
10.5
Stade Brestois 29
10.2
Lens
10.0
Estac Troyes
9.9
Niort
9.9
Clermont Foot
9.8
Auxerre
9.8
Sochaux
9.8
Grenoble
9.7
Orleans
9.5
Metz
9.5
Lorient
9.5
Valenciennes
9.2
Ajaccio
8.8
Paris FC
8.6
Red Star
8.4
Nancy
8.3
Beziers
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beziers
4.8
Ajaccio
4.6
Lorient
4.6
Niort
4.3
Nancy
4.2
Orleans
4.2
Paris FC
4.2
Valenciennes
4.1
Lens
4.0
Red Star
3.9
Sochaux
3.9
Metz
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Estac Troyes
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.7
Chateauroux
3.5
Le Havre
3.5
Auxerre
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lorient
33.0
Chateauroux
32.1
Sochaux
31.4
Valenciennes
31.2
Beziers
30.4
Niort
30.2
Ajaccio
30.0
Nancy
29.4
Le Havre
29.4
Paris FC
28.9
Red Star
28.2
Grenoble
28.1
Lens
28.0
Stade Brestois 29
27.9
Orleans
27.0
Metz
26.2
Estac Troyes
25.4
Clermont Foot
25.2
Auxerre
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.2%
Under 9.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.5%
Under 21.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.62
0.25
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.30
0.67
0.17
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.83
0.57
0.57
0.31
1.06
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.86
0.00
1.00
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.54
0.50
0.50
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.62
0.50
1.00
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (10)
1.10
0.60
0.83
0.50
1.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.71
0.79
1.12
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.29
1.00
1.50
1.40
1.20
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.54
0.00
0.67
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
0.70
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grenoble · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Yadaly Diaby33%
Samba Diba33%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yohann Magnin50%
Clément Vidal50%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro50%
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Samba Diba33%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yohann Magnin25%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby33%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Metz · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Idris Mohamed67%
Nampalys Mendy25%
Florian Miguel25%
Jessy Deminguet25%
Pape Moussa Fall25%
Jean Ruiz0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Deminguet25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Pape Moussa Fall0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ET (23)
€36m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Grenoble's squad is €31m less valuable than Metz's (€12m vs €43m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CHA (1)
€0m
Grenoble's attack is €12m less valuable than Metz's (€5m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
ET (6)
€11m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Grenoble's midfield is €15m less valuable than Metz's (€3m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
NAN (11)
€6m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Grenoble's defence is €4m less valuable than Metz's (€4m vs €8m).
France: Ligue 2 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Ajaccio
Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
Paris FC
Lens
Lorient
Le Havre
Orleans
Clermont Foot
Chateauroux
Niort
Valenciennes
Nancy
Auxerre
Sochaux