Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Result & Analysis

The encounter between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Maccabi Tel Aviv is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 41%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 32%. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, which carries a 12.9% chance, while the expected total goals hover around 2.8, with a 25% chance of exactly two goals. Hapoel Beer Sheva, playing at home, averages two goals scored and 1.67 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, whereas Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the road, averages 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include an 89.8% chance that over 2.5 cards will be shown, an 87.8% probability of over 19.5 fouls, an 80.4% chance of under 11.5 corners, a 78.6% likelihood of over 1.5 goals, a 77.4% probability of over 3.5 cards, a 77.0% chance of over 21.5 fouls and a 70.7% probability of under 10.5 corners. Both teams have been coming off wins in their last fixtures, with Hapoel Beer Sheva having won 2-1 at home and Maccabi Tel Aviv securing a 3-1 victory away. The match promises a competitive contest with plenty of action.

The pre-match favourite, Hapoel Beer Sheva, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s Home win pick wrong. The model had given the home side a 41% chance of victory, yet the outcome was a stalemate. Both teams came off recent wins, with Hapoel’s last five showing a win-loss-win-loss-win pattern and Maccabi’s ending on a win after a 3-1 victory over Haifa. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 89.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.0%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.7%. All of these predictions were fulfilled.