PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

HNK Cibalia vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo Result & Analysis

Date: 07/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Vs
51%
30%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

HNK Cibalia win✗ Miss
51.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo win✓ Hit
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L10W11D31W13L31W02L14L30WH·RUD28/05A·JAR02/06H·CRO12/08A·DUB19/08H·JAR26/08A·VUK02/09H·SOL10/09A·SIB18/09H·ZRI23/09A·ORI30/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.131.600.871.071.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.321.111.600.871.001.38
vs Weaker (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W00D11D03L00D01L11D01L00DA·HRV26/05H·DUG03/06A·SOL12/08H·DUG19/08A·SIB26/08H·CRO02/09A·ZRI09/09H·DUB16/09A·ORI23/09H·JAR30/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.290.710.621.06
vs Stronger (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.920.921.360.730.601.07
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.500.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.9%
Under 2.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.6%
No
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.7%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1 ✓
7.6%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
HNK Cibalia goals ↓
Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals →
01234
014%7.6%3.2%0.8%0.1%
116%13%4.4%1.0%0.2%
212%8.4%3.0%0.7%0.1%
35.4%3.9%1.4%0.3%0.1%
41.8%1.3%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Cibalia goals (down), columns = Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
HNK Cibalia is 0.09 points better than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia is 0.21 goals better than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.91).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
HNK Cibalia is 0.39 goals worse than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W01L20W02L00D01L12L10WH·RUD28/05A·JAR02/06H·CRO12/08A·DUB19/08H·JAR26/08A·VUK02/09H·SOL10/09A·SIB18/09H·ZRI23/09A·ORI30/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.430.530.270.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.390.530.270.150.54
vs Weaker (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D10W00D00D01L10W00D00DA·HRV26/05H·DUG03/06A·SOL12/08H·DUG19/08A·SIB26/08H·CRO02/09A·ZRI09/09H·DUB16/09A·ORI23/09H·JAR30/09
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.200.500.210.250.19
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.310.230.450.270.200.20
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D10W11D11D31W01L02L20WH·RUD28/05A·JAR02/06H·CRO12/08A·DUB19/08H·JAR26/08A·VUK02/09H·SOL10/09A·SIB18/09H·ZRI23/09A·ORI30/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.070.600.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.960.711.070.600.850.85
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W00D01L03L00D00D01L01L00DA·HRV26/05H·DUG03/06A·SOL12/08H·DUG19/08A·SIB26/08H·CRO02/09A·ZRI09/09H·DUB16/09A·ORI23/09H·JAR30/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.790.500.380.88
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.620.690.910.450.400.87
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.50--
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
HNK Cibalia and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
HNK Cibalia and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
HC wins
2
Draws
0
BBB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo · H/A from HC
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/23HHC Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-0
25/02/23HHC Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo4-0
01/10/22ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HC0-0

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23AOrijent 1919 Vs HC0-3
23/09/23HHC Vs Zrinski Jurjevac1-4
18/09/23ASibenik Vs HC2-0
10/09/23HHC Vs Solin3-1
02/09/23AVukovar Vs HC3-1
26/08/23HHC Vs Jarun3-1
19/08/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs HC1-1
12/08/23HHC Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-0
02/06/23AJarun Vs HC2-1
28/05/23HHC Vs Rudes1-1

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HBBB Vs Jarun0-0
23/09/23AOrijent 1919 Vs BBB1-0
16/09/23HBBB Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1
09/09/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs BBB1-0
02/09/23HBBB Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
26/08/23ASibenik Vs BBB3-0
19/08/23HBBB Vs Dugopolje1-1
12/08/23ASolin Vs BBB0-0
03/06/23HBBB Vs Dugopolje3-1
26/05/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs BBB0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.63
HomeDWWWL2.00
AwayLDLLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%52%30%
AVG goals2.152.192.10
Over 1.5 %63%52%75%
Over 2.5 %37%43%30%
Over 3.5 %29%38%20%
Scored1.221.431.00
Conceded0.930.761.10
BTTS41%48%35%
Clean Sheet49%52%45%
Corners---
Cards---
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.20
HomeWDDDD1.50
AwayWDLLL0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%35%24%
AVG goals2.122.102.14
Over 1.5 %61%65%57%
Over 2.5 %39%40%38%
Over 3.5 %15%15%14%
Scored1.051.350.76
Conceded1.070.751.38
BTTS41%55%29%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches