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HNK Cibalia vs Solin Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Vs
56%
28%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Solin
Solin
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HNK Cibalia win✓ Hit
56.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Solin win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W20W00D00D11D00D20W00D02LH·BSK25/02A·SOL04/03A·DUG11/03H·CRO17/03H·CRO24/03A·KUS31/03H·BSK06/04A·HRV15/04H·DUG22/04A·DUB28/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.681.070.430.930.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.920.561.000.310.830.83
vs Weaker (3)1.671.672.002.001.501.50
Clean sheet %64% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolinSolin

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L01L04L11D01L06L30W40W40W33DA·RUD25/02H·HNK04/03A·VUK11/03H·DUG19/03H·KUS26/03A·BSK01/04H·HRV08/04A·DUG16/04H·DUB23/04H·ORI01/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.461.670.931.152.08
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (23)1.521.431.921.001.091.91
vs Weaker (3)1.331.330.501.003.002.00
Clean sheet %32% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.5%
Under 2.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.5%
No
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
3-1 ✓
4.4%
HNK Cibalia goals ↓
Solin goals →
01234
012%6.4%2.6%0.6%0.1%
116%13%3.9%0.9%0.1%
213%8.7%2.9%0.7%0.1%
36.5%4.4%1.5%0.3%0.1%
42.5%1.7%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Cibalia goals (down), columns = Solin goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
HNK Cibalia is 0.33 points better than Solin in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
HNK Cibalia is 0.30 goals worse than Solin in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
HNK Cibalia is 0.88 goals better than Solin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D01L00D10W00D00DH·BSK25/02A·SOL04/03A·DUG11/03H·CRO17/03H·CRO24/03A·KUS31/03H·BSK06/04A·HRV15/04H·DUG22/04A·DUB28/04
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.180.290.070.430.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.320.120.230.080.420.17
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %82% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolinSolin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D04L01L00D02L10W30W20W01LA·RUD25/02H·HNK04/03A·VUK11/03H·DUG19/03H·KUS26/03A·BSK01/04H·HRV08/04A·DUG16/04H·DUB23/04H·ORI01/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.540.600.270.310.85
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.430.670.330.360.55
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %61% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W20W00D00D10W00D10W00D02LH·BSK25/02A·SOL04/03A·DUG11/03H·CRO17/03H·CRO24/03A·KUS31/03H·BSK06/04A·HRV15/04H·DUG22/04A·DUB28/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.500.790.360.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.440.770.230.420.67
vs Weaker (3)1.001.001.002.001.000.50
Clean sheet %68% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolinSolin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L00D10W01L04L20W10W20W32WA·RUD25/02H·HNK04/03A·VUK11/03H·DUG19/03H·KUS26/03A·BSK01/04H·HRV08/04A·DUG16/04H·DUB23/04H·ORI01/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.931.070.670.851.23
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.001.001.250.670.731.36
vs Weaker (3)1.001.000.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %46% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
HC wins
1
Draws
0
SOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia vs Solin · H/A from HC
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23ASolin Vs HC0-1
08/10/22HHC Vs Solin0-0

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs HC2-0
22/04/23HHC Vs Dugopolje0-0
15/04/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs HC0-2
06/04/23HHC Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-0
31/03/23AKustosija Vs HC1-1
24/03/23HHC Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
17/03/23HHC Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
11/03/23ADugopolje Vs HC0-2
04/03/23ASolin Vs HC0-1
25/02/23HHC Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo4-0

SolinSolin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/23HSOL Vs Orijent 19193-3
23/04/23HSOL Vs Dubrava Zagreb4-0
16/04/23ADugopolje Vs SOL0-4
08/04/23HSOL Vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac3-0
01/04/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SOL6-0
26/03/23HSOL Vs Kustosija0-1
19/03/23HSOL Vs Dugopolje1-1
11/03/23AVukovar Vs SOL4-0
04/03/23HSOL Vs HNK Cibalia0-1
25/02/23ARudes Vs SOL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL1.64
HomeWDDDD1.86
AwayWWDWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%43%36%
AVG goals1.681.501.86
Over 1.5 %50%36%64%
Over 2.5 %25%29%21%
Over 3.5 %21%21%21%
Scored1.001.070.93
Conceded0.680.430.93
BTTS25%29%21%
Clean Sheet64%71%57%
Corners---
Cards---
Solin
Solin
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.39
HomeDLWWD1.80
AwayDLLLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%53%23%
AVG goals2.892.603.23
Over 1.5 %75%73%77%
Over 2.5 %54%47%62%
Over 3.5 %36%27%46%
Scored1.431.671.15
Conceded1.460.932.08
BTTS39%33%46%
Clean Sheet32%40%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3363
52%
1.9
5725+32
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2RudesRudes3361
55%
1.8
5327+26
2.4
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.60.8
-
3HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3354
39%
1.6
3726+11
1.9
58%
30%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.8
-
4Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3344
36%
1.3
4137+4
2.4
67%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
5JarunJarun3344
39%
1.3
4357-14
3.0
73%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193343
30%
1.3
4545+0
2.7
73%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
7Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3343
36%
1.3
3744-7
2.5
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
8SolinSolin3343
36%
1.3
4755-8
3.1
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
9Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3342
33%
1.3
3839-1
2.3
67%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.2
-
10DugopoljeDugopolje3341
27%
1.2
3035-5
2.0
70%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.1
-
11KustosijaKustosija3537
29%
1.1
3752-15
2.5
69%
46%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
12Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac3325
15%
0.8
3356-23
2.7
76%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
14Inter ZaprešićInter Zaprešić00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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