HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 Result & Analysis

HNK Gorica are tipped to win this HNL fixture, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of an Istra 1961 victory. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals on average, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.5% probability. Gorica’s home form shows they average 1.22 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Istra 1961, on the road, averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.5%, Under 3.5 at 76.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.7%, Over 23.5 fouls at 71.5% and Over 1.5 at 71.4%. All picks are presented with their exact probabilities.

The win extends HNK Gorica’s run, ending a string of draws and losses with a 1-0 victory over Istra 1961. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 49% probability, and it proved correct. The suggested picks performed mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.9%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 83.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.5%, Under 3.5 hit at 76.9%, and Over 23.5 fouls hit at 71.5%. Under 11.5 corners missed at 84.4%, Under 10.5 corners missed at 75.7%, and Over 1.5 missed at 71.4%. The model’s prediction of a 1-0 scoreline matched the final result, confirming its accuracy.